Off the Rails: Sarah Palin's Very Bad Day.
That's the lead-in title. The link headline is "The Palin Meltdown in
Slo-Mo." I mostly wanted to use the picture, which unlike most quickie
photoshop kluges does a nice job of capturing this story. Palin reminds me
of randomocracy:
the half-baked idea that we can eliminate the biases in the election
system by simply picking someone at random. Compared to a political
process that promotes safe picks like Joe Biden (or steathily sinister
ones like Dick Cheney), Palin is almost a random American, at least
within Republican white middle class female constraints -- what proves
this is the ordinariness of her baggage. Even the corruption issues
are normal reactions to the company she keeps: as Molly Ivins used to
say, "lie down with dogs, get up with fleas."
Billmon: Ready, shoot, aim
On the art and science of vetting vice presidential nominees. One
point, which others have also made, bears repeating:
I'm glad to see Obama come out and warn his troops away from the
really personal stuff. It's already clear that Palin offers an
embarrassment of riches for the Obama campaign, and a wealth of
embarrassments for McCain's. There's no need to get greedy -- or cruel
and vindicative, which is the one thing that could cause this whole
freeding frenzy to circle back and start munching on the
Democrats. McCain's people wanted to toss the pregnancy story into
Hurricane Gustav? Good. Let it be buried in the muck.
Except for one obvious point: When Sarah Palin praises her
17-year-old daughter for "choosing" to give birth to a baby conceived
out of wedlock (and assures us that she is doing it of her own free
will) it should never be forgotten that she (and her party) would, if
they could, deny that same right of choice to every other American
woman, without exception.
Michael Kinsley: No Experience Necessary.
And what does the Palin pick tell us about McCain?
That's why the important point about Palin's lack of experience
isn't about Palin. It's about McCain. And the question is not how his
choice of Palin might complicate his ability to use the "experience"
issue, or whether he will have to drop experience as an issue. It's
not even about the proper role of experience as an issue. In fact,
it's not about experience at all. It's about honesty. The question
should be whether McCain -- and all the other Republicans who have
been going on for months about Obama's dangerous lack of
foreign-policy experience -- ever meant a word of it.
Matthew Yglesias: Alaska Independence.
Not a good post, but I felt like adding a comment, not least because
something obvious to me didn't occur to first 25 commenters:
The knock on Alaska's congressional representation shows a short
memory. Sen. Ernest Gruening voted against the Gulf of Tonkin
resolution. The only other senator to do so was Wayne Morse of
Oregon. Sen. Mike Gravel read the Pentagon Papers into the
Congressional Record. Of course, both were Democrats, and Alaska's
congressional delegation has been solid Republican for decades
now.
Gruening is long dead now, but Gravel ran for president this
year. He was probably the most solidly antiwar candidate in the race,
but didn't get any respect. Funny thing is that Palin seems to be
about as far off in the Republican fringe as Gravel is relative to the
Democrats. Had she run for president she wouldn't have fared any
better. Yet here she is, a heartbeat and the small matter of an
election away.
In the late 1960s I followed Congress real closely, and Gruening
was something of a hero to me. He was well into his 80s at the time,
having long been pre-statehood Alaska's most eminent statesman.
Gravel was his protégé and successor.
One of the amusing things about the Palin nomination is that on
matters like Iraq she seems to be closer to Ron Paul than she is to
McCain -- although, as we'll see, she can go any way the party wind
blows.
The folks at FiveThirtyEight have dropped their convention bounce
compensation metric, which had narrowed Obama's edge to 0.2%, but
kept various anti-trend hedge factors, so they're only showing Obama
with a 2.4% margin right now. (The average of six nationwide polls
today puts Obama ahead by 6.7%, with CNN +2% and everyone else +6-9%.)
That was good enough to barely nudge Virginia and Ohio into Obama's
column, but Nevada slipped out. It remains to be seen how much more
bump Obama can get out of the Republican convention. It all depends
on how many people are still gullible enough to believe anything
from a gang who'd say anything to hang on to the pursestrings.