Sunday, February 22, 2015
Weekend Roundup
I've been very lazy when it comes to politics the last few weeks.
Much of what's wrong is so wrong on so many levels it boggles the
mind. You can try to organize it, boxing various articles up into
bins like "Republicans acting dumb," "Democrats acting dumb," "The
bipartisan Washington foreign policy mandarins fumbling one stupid
war after another," and so on -- the common thread is a chronic
inability to think clearly about anything. There was a piece in
the Eagle today about a "post-mortem" report some Democratic Party
bigwigs cobbled together (can't find the Eagle link, but here's a
similar one at
CNN). The "report" includes lines like this:
It is strongly believed that the Democratic Party is loosely
understood as a long list of policy statements and not as people with
a common set of core values (fairness, equality, opportunity). This
lack of cohesive narrative impedes the party's ability to develop and
maintain a lifelong dialogue and partnership with voters.
What these party bigwigs fail to recognize is for the party to win
it has to go beyond touting common values and articulate a set of viable
self-interests that will motivate popular support. A classic example of
this was the 1860 Republican platform, which instead of decrying slavery
or declaring the sanctity of the union crassly declared: "vote yourself
a farm -- vote yourself a tariff." Even today, Republican appeals are
scarcely less crass: vote yourself a tax cut, vote for guns everywhere,
vote to outlaw abortion. If the Democrats wanted to compete, they should
consider a slogan like "vote yourself a government that works for you" --
and if they wanted to scare the bejesus out of the Republicans, they could
add: "vote yourself a union."
Instead, there was a story this week about the head of the Democratic
Party in Kansas testifying in favor of a Republican state bill that would
double the limits for political contributions. That may make his particular
job a bit easier, but it would move the party away from the people it needs
votes from, and it would reinforce the notion that elections are up for
sale.
The report lays out brutal losses since Obama swept into office in
2008: Democrats have shed 69 House seats, 13 Senate seats, 910 state
legislative seats, 30 state legislative chambers and 11 governor's
offices.
Obama deserves a substantial amount of blame for those offices --
not so much for his policies, mediocre and unfocused as they've been,
as for his messaging, and for undermining the party for his personal
benefit. By messaging, I mean his failure to clearly break from the
Bush administration's manifest disasters as well as to keep the public
focused on the partisan responsibility for those disasters, But he
also wrecked the Democratic Party organization that won elections in
2006-08. Just because he personally could raise money to beat McCain
and Romney doesn't mean that he was right to ignore the problem of
money in politics. He has, after all, done nothing to counter the
Kochs' threat to raise $900 million to buy 2016. If anything, he's
made their corruption all the more inevitable.
So while it's possible to make fun of the Republicans in Kansas,
as Crowson does here:
Still, it's not that funny. Most of the Kansas legislature's bills
have been predictable, but this one breaks new ground in terms of being
wrong on so many levels:
Kansas bill would reward foster parents who are married, faithful,
alcohol-free. Among other things, the bill treats foster care as
a business, offering incentive pay for behaviors which the drafter
believes to be morally superior, and hidden within it is "state
education aid to either home school or send their foster kids to
private school" -- yet another ploy to undermine public schools and
the idea that everyone has an equal right to a quality education.
As for church going, my recollection is that some of the worst
scandals in the history of foster care involve churches.
Nor is Kansas the only state where absolute Republican power has
corrupted absolutely. See
Kansas not only state trying to prevent LGBT protections. Brownback
recently revoked a Kansas executive order extending various protections
to LGBT workers. Arkansas wants to go one step further and prevent any
local governments from offering anti-discriminatory protections to its
workers.
A few more scattered links this week:
Justin Gillis/John Schwartz: Deeper Ties to Corporate Cash for Doubtful
Climate Researcher: You always hear from right-wingers about how the
scientific research on anthropogenic climate change ("global warming")
is conflicted. One major source of that conflict is Wei-Hock Soon, "who
claims that variations in the sun's energy can largely explain recent
global warming."
But newly released documents show the extent to which Dr. Soon's work
has been tied to funding he received from corporate interests.
He has accepted more than $1.2 million in money from the fossil-fuel
industry over the last decade while failing to disclose that conflict
of interest in most of his scientific papers. At least 11 papers he has
published since 2008 omitted such a disclosure, and in at least eight
of those cases, he appears to have violated ethical guidelines of the
journals that published his work.
The documents show that Dr. Soon, in correspondence with his corporate
funders, described many of his scientific papers as "deliverables" that
he completed in exchange for their money. He used the same term to describe
testimony he prepared for Congress.
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Ali Khedery: Iran's Shiite Militias Are Running Amok in Iraq: I think
Khedery puts more emphasis on Iran's relationship to the Shiite militias
than is warranted. The US was actively organizing those same militias to
fight Saddam Hussein before and during the 2003 invasion, and they've
alternately been turned loose or reined in at various times during the
American occupation: I doubt they are wholly tools either of the US or
Iran so much as autonomous agents only loosely aligned with Iraqi shiite
political parties, but what should be clear by now is that they cannot
be trusted to implement a disciplined military campaign -- such as the
much-touted plan to retake Mosul.
Countless memories haunt me after a decade of service in Iraq. Gripping
the hands of an assassin-felled member of the provisional government as
the life slipped out of her body in 2003; watching al Qaeda's beheadings
of American hostages in 2004; seeing photos of young Sunni prisoners
raped and tortured by Iran-backed Shiite militias serving within the
Iraqi police in 2005; and sitting helplessly at the U.S. Embassy in
Baghdad as news came in of al Qaeda's 2006 bombing of al-Askari Mosque,
one of the holiest sites for Shiite Islam, ushering in the civil war.
[ . . . ]
The Iraqi government is hopelessly sectarian, corrupt, and generally
unfit to govern what could be one of the world's most prosperous nations.
Washington's response to the Islamic State's (IS) advance, however, has
been disgraceful: The United States is now acting as the air force, the
armory, and the diplomatic cover for Iraqi militias that are committing
some of the worst human rights abuses on the planet. These are "allies"
that are actually beholden to our strategic foe, the Islamic Republic of
Iran, and which often resort to the same vile tactics as the Islamic State
itself. [ . . . ]
There is no reason to believe that the militias will disarm and disband
after IS's defeat. Indeed, with the central government weaker than ever,
trillions of dollars of Iraqi oil wealth up for grabs, and the U.S. military
no longer deployed in large numbers to constrain them, the militias have
more incentive than ever to stay in business. And let's not forget that it
is in Iran's strategic interest to use these militias to consolidate its
gains over Iraq and the Levant, and to advance its ambitions for regional
hegemony, which Iranian commanders are now publicly flaunting.
Iran's "ambitions for regional hegemony" is one of those things that
could (and should) be covered in bilateral talks between the US and Iran --
indications are that Iran would see more value in normalizing relations
with the US than in vying for "hegemony" over wastelands like Iraq and
Syria.
Paul Krugman: Rip Van Skillsgap:
What strikes me about this paper -- and in general what one still hears
from many people inside the Beltway -- is the continuing urge to make
this mainly a story about the skills gap, of not enough workers having
higher education or maybe the right kind of education.
[ . . . ]
But if my math is right, the 90s ended 15 years ago -- and since then
wages of the highly educated have stagnated. Why on earth are we still
hearing the same rhetoric about education as the solution to inequality
and unemployment?
The answer, I'm sorry to say, is surely that it sounds serious. But,
you know, it isn't.
I'm not even sure how serious it is: it's just that the right doesn't
have many options for addressing increasing inequality that don't impact
the gains of the rich. Prescribing more education is a way of punting,
knowing that it might help a few individuals -- at least compared to peer
individuals, as opposed to the effect it had several decades ago -- and
for everyone else it will take time to fail. But as a general rule, it is
already clear that more education isn't an answer: given stagnant wages,
the rising cost of education (and it has risen a lot) mean the return on
investment in more education has been negative, and growing more so. And
if there really is a "skills gap" that loss has depressed the economy.
Of course, if the "skills gap" was seriously regarded as a real problem,
the people conscious of it would be proposing real programs to solve it:
they would be hard at work increasing wages for workers with the needed
skills, and they would be urging the government to shoulder more of the
costs of education to get those needed workers trained. You don't exactly
see that happening. In fact, you see right-wingers working to undercut
education all the way from pre-school to college, and to make what
education is still available more class-stratified -- something the rich
can still provide for their own children through private channels while
everyone else rots or struggles.
Chris Stephen: Libya's Arab spring: the revolution that ate its
children: It's worth considering Iraq and Libya as two models of
what can go wrong in establishing post-intervention states. In Iraq
the US dug in and tried to micromanage every aspect of nation building
following the 2003 invasion -- an approach that failed not just because
the Bush administration was clueless and had its own peculiar interests
but because the US military became a symbol and target of occupation.
On the other hand, NATO's intervention in Libya left no troops on the
ground as competing militias turned on each other resulting in chaos.
The latest development in Libya has been the emergence of ISIS -- I
suspect more as an idea than an outgrowth of the rump Islamic State
in war-torn Syria and neighboring Iraq -- which in turn has provoked
further military intervention by Egypt. (ISIS has proven a potent
brand both of rebellion and for deadly foreign intervention.) I have
no real idea how to fix this -- even less so than Syria where much
of the problem is tied to foreign interests. The gist of the article
is that many of the people who initially supported the revolt against
Gaddafi have come to regret their stands. On the other hand, I doubt
that many of the better-dead-than-red types in the NSC or CIA have
had second thoughts. After all, they never risked their own lives on
the outcome, and they enjoy the luxury of putting their ideals above
the lives of real people.
Talking Points Memo's sense of politics remains skin deep at most,
but today's headlines are even shallower than usual -- gotcha news like
Giuliani: Obama Influenced by Communism At Young Age,
Giuliani Says He Received Death Threats After Comments On Obama,
Scott Walker Says He Doesn't Know If Obama Is Christian, and
Issa: 'We Should Thank' Giuliani For Comment On Obama's Patriotism.
(No
More Mister Nice Blog has an amusing story about how while Obama's
grandfather served during WWII, Giuliani's father did not -- because he
was a convicted felon.) Only slightly deeper is
Is Obama Failing the YAARRRR! Test?, which compares Obama's anti-ISIS
war rhetoric unfavorably to Mel Gibson in Braveheart.
Also, a few links for further study:
James Carden: Here's Why Arming Ukraine Would Be a Disaster: Well,
some of the reasons, anyway. It's not clear to me to what extent Russia
is actually arming or otherwise supporting separatist groups in eastern
Ukraine, but it certainly is true that if Obama chose to add more fuel
to the fire, Putin could more than reciprocate in kind. (Carden quotes
Putin as saying, "if I want to, I can take Kiev in two weeks." Russia
didn't go that far in Georgia when the latter tried to quash separatist
provinces in 2008, but could easily have.) Also see
Barry R. Posen: Just Say No: America Should Avoid These Wars --
Ukraine leads the list, but the list doesn't stop there.
Dylan Scott: Meet the Man at the Center of the Unprecedented US-Israeli
Rift: A report on Ron Dermer, Israel's ambassador to the US since
2013, and evidently the person who worked out the deal for Netanyahu to
speak before the US Congress "just days before elections in Israel" --
evidently to do what he can to torpedo any deal Obama works out to limit
(or eliminate) Iran's alleged "nuclear program." Dermer was well placed,
having been born in the US and having worked for Newt Gingrich before
emigrating to Israel.
Imraan Sidiqi: Hate in the aftermath of Chapel Hill: On February
10 three Muslim students in Chapel Hill, NC were murdered. Sidiqi
notes other recent examples of violence directed at American Muslims.
That isn't the only possible context --
Michael A. Cohen argues that the killer was a gun nut and that
the crime fits the pattern of a long list of gun-enabled crime. No
doubt that has something to do with "how" but as so much gun crime
is "senseless" it doesn't explain "why" -- for that we have to look
at the continuing series of wars where the US has sent hundreds of
thousands of soldiers to abroad to kill (and be killed by) Muslims.
The US has never engaged in a war abroad where Americans didn't also
project the hatred of war onto those fellow Americans most similar
to foreign enemies. So it isn't surprising that it is happening
again now, or that it is worst among the racist, militarist bigots
of the far right. Nor that it is one of the things that makes war
so poisonous, here as well as there.
Ask a question, or send a comment.
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