Sunday, July 10, 2016


Weekend Roundup

The biggest story in the US last week involved the fatal shootings of seven people in three separate incidents: one each in Louisiana and Minnesota (Alton Sterling and Philando Castile), and five in Dallas. All of the shootings involved police and race, and appear to be unjustifiable by any conceivable criteria. Needless to say, they all involved guns, but one thing they had in common point been little commented on: all eight victims were armed, and their guns worthless for self-defense. (Remind me again how safe we would all be if everyone had guns for self-defense.) As a practical matter, carrying guns not only failed to save the victims, but probably contributed to their deaths. The Louisiana and Minnesota incidents may have occurred because police panicked when they discovered that the black people they were harrassing were armed. The Texas incident came later, when an ex-army soldier snapped and decided to shoot some white police -- perhaps as indiscriminate revenge (isn't that how he was trained to respond to "the enemy" in Afghanistan?), the sort of warped injustice self-appointed vigilantes are prone to.

For some time now, I've felt that as long as people legimately believe that they need to own and carry a gun for their own protection it would be unwise and unfair for government to deny them that option. However, I've always wondered whether carrying a gun actually made anyone safer: has anyone ever studied this, putting such (probably rare) events in statistical context against all the other things that can go wrong with guns?

There are other ways one can approach these tragic events. One I think should be given more weight is that the Dallas shooter learned his craft in the US military, which no doubt considered him a hero until the moment he started shooting at white American cops. Not all killers were trained by the US military, but they do pop up with some frequency. I'm reminded of a scene in Full Metal Jacket where the Marine Gunnery Sergeant lectures his boot camp trainees on "what one motivated Marine and his rifle can do," offering a few examples: Lee Harvey Oswald, Charles Whitman, Richard Speck. Should we be surprised that a country that is so invested in celebrating its heroic killers abroad should more than occasionally encounter the same at home? And not infrequently by the same hands?

Of course, another way to approach this is to note that last week's bombing in Baghdad killed over 175 -- more than twenty times the death toll discussed above. But that scarcely registers here, even though the Bush invasion and occupation of Iraq is still most responsible for continued bloodshed there. As bad as gun violence has become here, it still pales against the violence of US forces and the rivals they stir up abroad.

I suppose the second biggest story last week was the FBI decision not to prosecute Hillary Clinton for risking classified data by running a private email server while she was Secretary of State. FBI Director Comey went out of his way to scold Clinton for being "extremely careless" regarding state secrets before admitting that they couldn't come up with a credible criminal case against her. The way Comey put it allowed Republicans to reiterate their talking points, adding they couldn't understand the decision not to indict based on Comey's exposition.

As I understand the "scandal" (see Wikipedia for a long rundown, and perhaps also Clinton's own The Facts About Hillary Clinton's Emails [PS: broken link]), the problem with running a non-government server is that it doesn't allow for efficient collection of emails that are considered to be public records (under the Federal Records Act). To comply with the FRA, Clinton had to sort through her emails and turn over the ones she considered to be State Department business while retaining ones she considered to be personal -- i.e., the two had been mixed. A better solution might have been to turn all the emails over and let the Department sort out which ones were personal -- at least then she couldn't be accused of hiding emails that should have gone into the public record. On the other hand, had she kept separate public and private email accounts, there still would likely have been cross-contamination. (There is a similar controversy here in Kansas, where a member of Gov. Sam Brownback's staff was found to be communicating with lobbyists via his personal account, thereby avoiding public records disclosure.)

Still, one wonders why the FRA issue didn't arise while Clinton was actually Secretary of State. It only seems to have been recognized as a problem several years after she left office, when the Republican Benghazi! witchhunt got under way. Further complicating things is the question of whether Clinton's emails contained classified material. Clinton, of course, had a top security clearance, but her private email server wasn't fully secured for handling "secret" missives, so it could have been, well, I'm not sure what, some form of breach in the security state. Again, this seems not to have bothered anyone until well after the fact. And curiously, the audits revealed that some emails contained material that was classified only after it was sent, so most of this charade has been focused on Clinton's threat to national security. Frankly, I'd respect her more if she had been a source of leaked data. But all this episode really shows is her knack for getting caught up in trivial scandals.

I'd be happy to never hear of the email matter again, but there's little chance of that. Instead, I expect the Republicans to flog the matter on and on, much as they did every conjured taint from Whitewater to Benghazi, even though their complaints will fail to impress anyone but themselves, and in the end prove counterproductive. In particular, those of us who consider Hillary at best a lesser evil will wonder why they don't attack her with something she's truly guilty of, like voting for Bush's Iraq War.


Some scattered links this week:


  • Phyllis Bennis: What the Democratic Party Platform Tells Us About Where We Are on War: Unwilling to break with a past that has caused us nothing but grief, of course. "The draft asserts that the United States 'must continue to have the strongest military in the world' and criticizes the 'arbitrary cuts that the Republican Congress enacted as part of sequestration.'"

  • Carl Bialik: The Police Are Killing People As Often As They Were Before Ferguson: "The deaths [of Alton Sterling and Philando Castile] have driven renewed attention to the more than 1,000 people killed each year by police officers." I have to admit that's a higher number than I would have expected, but maybe I was just being naïve. For instance, see: Ben Norton: Before Alton Sterling, Louisiana police killed mentally ill black father Micahel Noel -- and 37 others since 2015.

  • Jessica Elgot: Tony Blair could face contempt of parliament motion over Iraq war: Not quite a full hearing at the Hague, but the Chilcot Report makes clear what we already pretty much knew -- that Blair lied to Parliament and the public to join Bush in invading and occupying Iraq in 2003 -- and a public rebuke is in order. Public opinion in the US is if anything even more unanimous in recognizing Bush's scheming to launch that war, yet the prospect of Congress acknowledging this with a similar resolution is, well, unthinkable.

  • Harry Enten: Is Gary Johnson Taking More Support From Clinton or Trump?: Johnson, a former Republican governor of New Mexico, is the Libertarian candidate for president this year. In theory a larger than usual slice of Republicans should lean Libertarian given that the GOP candidate is basically a Fascist. A Libertarian should have less appeal to Democrats, especially on economic issues, but Hillary is exceptionally weak on two issues that many Democrats care about, ones Johnson could exploit: drug prohibition and global warfare. Enten's research doesn't shed much light here, but polls that bother to list Johnson show him gathering close to 10% in western states like Arizona and California (also Vermont). I have a friend who thinks that Trump will destroy the Republican Party and Johnson's Libertarians will rise to take the GOP's place. I think the chances of that happening are nil. For one thing, more of the Republican base leans fascist than libertarian, and for another, the Kochs have pretty clearly shown that no matter how much they may philosophize about freedom, they put their money on the party of graft. On the other hand, given that both major party candidates have extremely low favorability ratings, this will likely be a good year to be "none of the above."

  • Stephen Kinzer: Is NATO Necessary?: I would have preferred that the UK vote on leaving NATO over quitting the EU, but I have seen a number of (admittedly left-wing) Brexiters touting their win as a rebuke of NATO. Indeed, any Englishman worried about loss of sovereignty to the EU should be apoplectic about NATO, which the US regularly uses to consign British soldiers to fight and die in America's imperial wars.

    Britain's vote to quit the European Union was a rude jolt to the encrusted world order. Now that the EU has been shocked into reality, NATO should be next. When NATO leaders convene for a summit in Warsaw on Friday, they will insist that their alliance is still vital because Russian aggression threatens Europe. The opposite is true. NATO has become America's instrument in escalating our dangerous conflict with Russia. We need less NATO, not more. [ . . . ]

    This week's NATO summit will be a festival of chest-thumping, with many warnings about the Russian "threat" and solemn vows to meet it with shows of military force. The United States plans to quadruple spending on NATO military projects on or near Russia's borders. In recent weeks NATO has opened a new missile base in Romania, held the largest military maneuver in the modern history of Poland, and announced plans to deploy thousands more American troops at Baltic bases, some within artillery range of St. Petersburg. Russia, for its part, is building a new military base within artillery range of Ukraine and deploying 30,000 troops to border posts. Both sides are nuclear-armed.

    Ever since the Brexit vote the US has been escalating its focus on Russia, inflating the threat by provoking it, all the better to keep Europe subservient to US schemes in Africa and the Middle East.

  • Nancy LeTourneau: Some Things You Need to Know About the Dallas Police Department: Evidently before last week's shootings, Dallas Police Chief David Brown had made notable progress on reducing complaints of excessive police force, including "a 30 percent decline in assaults on officers this year, and a 40 percent drop in shootings by police."

  • Conor Lynch: Paranoid politics: Donald Trump's style perfectly embodies the theories of renowned historian: Reference is to Richard Hofstadter's 1964 book The Paranoid Style in American Politics. Lynch is part wrong: the book was written at a time when McCarthyite paranoia could be viewed as history, which is part of the reason Goldwater seemed so ridiculous. Hofstadter's examples go further back in history, and it is true that had he not died he could update with a new chapter on Trump, with Roy Cohn and Glenn Beck key intermediaries. (Indeed, the Cohn connection is almost too karmic to be believed.)

  • Sean D Naylor: Out of Uniform and Into the Political Fray: A profile of former Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, who appears to be a leading candidate as Trump's running mate. Flynn's name was familiar to me mostly due to Michael Hastings' book The Operators: The Wild and Terrifying Inside Story of America's War in Afghanistan. Flynn was deputy to Gen. Stanley McChrystal, who was fired by Obama for insubordination and/or his monumental cock up of command -- Flynn, of course, was a key factor in both. Flynn was subsequently head of the DIA, then retired to become Trump's "military adviser." The US has a long history of nominating ex-generals for president, but unlike Flynn all the previous ones achieved distinction in wars the US won -- most recently Eisenhower. (Since then George Wallace selected a general for his running mate, and Ross Perot picked an admiral -- precedents, sure, but not the sort that make Trump look better. Flynn, by the way, has a book coming out, The Field of Fight: How We Can Win the Global War Against Radical Islam and Its Allies, written with neocon Michael Ledeen, one of the dumbest fucking assholes in America.)

  • Heather Digby Parton: Following the Trump money: He's running his campaign just like his casinos -- as a big scam: "If it's true that they've collected somewhere between $25 and $50 million for the campaign in the last month then the real grift is just about to kick in. Remember, Trump told Fortune magazine back in 2000, 'It's very possible that I could be the first presidential candidate to run and make money on it.'"

  • Nomi Prins: Donald Trump's Anti-Establishment Scam: "After all, he's brought his brand to a far broader global audience on a stage so much larger than any Apprentice imaginable. He could lose dramatically, blame the Republican establishment for being mean to him, and then expand the Trump brand into new realms, places like Russia, where he's long craved an opening."

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