Sunday, February 25, 2024
Speaking of Which
Once again, I failed to finish my rounds by end-of-Sunday, so
I'm posting what I have, with the expectation that I'll add more
on Monday (look for red right-border stripes). One thing I didn't
get to but seems likely to be worthwhile adding is
No More Mister Nice Blog. That's where I first ran into the
Katie Glueck article, and I see relevant posts on many of this
week's politics articles.
Charles P Pierce also has worthwhile takes on most of this.
This appeared after my cutoff, but is a good overview of
everything else that follows: Andrea Mazzarino: [02-27]
War's cost is unfathomable, where she starts by referring to
"The October 7th America has forgotten," which was 2001, when the
US first bombed Afghanistan, following the Al-Qaeda attacks of
that September 11. In 2010, Mazzarino founded the
Cost of War Project, which, as economists are wont to do,
started adding up whatever they could of the quantifiable costs
of America's Global War on Terror and its spawn. Still, their
figures (at least
$8 trillion and counting, and with debt compounding) miss
much of the real human (and environmental) costs, especially
those that are primarily psychic.
For instance, would we have the gun problem that we have had
we not been continuously at war for over two decades? Would our
politics have turned so desperately war-like? Certainly, there
would have been much less pressure to immigrate, given that war
is the leading producer of refugees. Without constant jostling
for military leverage, might we not have made more progress in
dealing with problems like climate change? The list only grows
from there.
One constant theme of every
Speaking of Which is the need to put aside the pursuit of
power over and against others and find mutual grounds that will
allow us to work together cooperatively to deal with pressing
problems. There are lots of reasons why this is true, starting
with the basic fact that we could not exist in such numbers if
not for a level of technology that is complex beyond most of
our understandings and fragile, especially vulnerable to the
people who feel most unjustly treated. Our very lives depend
on experts who can be trusted, and their ability to work free
of sabotage. You can derive all the politics you need from
this insight.
Initial count: 154 links, 7,499 words. Updated count: 178 links, 8,813 words.
Top story threads:
Israel: The genocide continues.
Reported casualty figures, as of 2/23, show 1,147 Israelis killed
on October 7, plus 576 Israelis killed since. Palestinian deaths --
certainly undercounted -- are 29,514 in Gaza + 380 elsewhere in Israel.
Since Oct. 7, Israelis are killing more than 51 Palestinians in Gaza
for every soldier lost. No breakdown between soldiers lost in invading
Gaza vs. elsewhere, but the latter numbers are probably very small.
The kill ratio increases to 65-to-1 using the 38,000 estimate "when
accounting for those presumed dead."
Mondoweiss:
Yuval Abraham: [02-23]
Settlers and army blocking West Bank roads to Palestinians:
"Makeshift barriers erected since October 7 have sealed off dozens
of Palestinian communities."
Samer Badawi: [02-19]
Laying the groundwork for Gaza's permanent exodus: "With Egypt
reportedly preparing for an influx of refugees and UNRWA on the
brink of collapse, Israel's second Nakba fantasies could soon
become reality."
Zack Beauchamp: [02-20]
How Israel's war went wrong: "The conflict in Gaza has become "an
era-defining catastrophe." It's increasingly clear what -- and who --
is to blame."
Josh Breiner/Bar Peleg: [02-22]
Israeli Nova partygoer was misidentified as Hamas terrorist on
October 7 and killed by Israeli forces. More examples like
this are likely to come out. When Israel reduced its Oct. 7 death
count from 1,400 to under 1,200, one wonders how much of that was
bad counting, and how much reclassifying?
Isaac Chotiner: [02-24]
"Trying to project the death toll from Israel's military campaign
over the next six months." On a
report from Johns Hopkins University Center for Humanitarian
Health and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
I suspect their "worst case scenario" isn't nearly as bad as it
could get. But even with a ceasefire today, they're projecting
over 15,000 "excess deaths" in the next six months.
Osama Gaweesh: [02-24]
Buffer zone in Sinai: Is Sisi preparing to displace the Palestinians?
Yousef Khelfa: [02-20]
My medical colleagues in Gaza are exhausted, and terrified of what is
to come: "When I left Gaza two weeks ago, my colleagues at the
European Hospital in Khan Younis were already overwhelmed. Now, they
are terrified Israel will invade the hospital and kill patients like
they did at nearby Nasser Hospital."
Ibtisam Mahdi: [02-17]
The obliteration of Gaza's multi-civilizational treasures:
"Israel's war has brought ruin to thousands of years of rich heritage
in Gaza, with Palestinian experts decrying the destruction as a cultural
genocide."
Nicole Narea: [02-23]
Netanyahu's postwar "plan" for Gaza is no plan at all: "Netanyahu's
plan is wildly disconnected from US priorities -- and reality."
Jonathan Ofir:
Oren Ziv: [02-20]
Rugs, cosmetics, motorbikes: Israeli soldiers loot Gaza homes en
masse: "Soldiers describe how stealing Palestinian property has
become totally routine in the Gaza war, with minimal pushback from
commanders."
Israel vs. world opinion:
Ben Armbruster: [02-22]
US intel has 'low confidence' in Israel's UNRWA claims.
Michael Arria: [02-22]
The Shift: US vetoes UN ceasefire resolution again: "Joe Biden
has stepped up public criticisms of Israel to save his faltering
electoral prospects in Michigan, but there remains an incredible
disconnect between these words and his administration's ongoing
support for Israel's genocidal attack on Gaza."
Moustafa Bayoumi: [02-17]
As Biden ignores death in Gaza, the 'Dark Brandon' meme is unfunny
and too real.
Miguel A Cruz-Díaz: [02-23]
On the shame of living through times of genocide. The article,
about "suicidal ideation," is not exactly what I imagined from the
title, but I'm not wired to take other people's tragedies personally.
(I was tempted to say "for empathy," but I can imagine even if I only
rarely feel.) But the title is evocative. I don't advise you feeling
shame for what other people -- and not just the perpetrators, but
also those making excuses, or just shrugging their shoulders -- are
doing, but they definitely should feel ashamed (and if not, should
learn).
Emily Davies/Peter Hermann/Dan Lamothe: [02-27]
Airman who set self on fire grew up on religious compound, had
anarchist past: Aaron Bushnell, whose protest echoed that of
Buddhist monk
Thich Quang Duc during the Vietnam War.
Yves Engler: [02-21]
The reasons for Canada's 'unwavering' support for Israel:
"Canada's remarkable fidelity to an apartheid state committing
genocide is driven by imperial geopolitics, settler solidarity,
Christian Zionism and the Israel lobby in Canada, and the
weaponization of antisemitism."
Richard Falk: [02-25]
In Gaza, the west is enabling the most transparent genocide in
human history.
Jonathan Freedland: [02-23]
Hamas and Netanyahu are a curse on their peoples. Yet amid the horror,
there is a sliver of hope: The "sliver" seems to be [02-23]
Gaza ceasefire talks underway in Paris, but this ignores the
core fact of this "war," which is that you don't need to negotiate
a ceasefire when only one side is shooting. Just do it. Israel can
even declare that if Palestinians do keep shooting rockets at Israel,
there will be reprisals (short in time, but severe). That would be
understandable. But negotiations just does something Israel claims
it doesn't want to do, which is to elevate Hamas as the representative
of the people of Gaza.
The headline suggests that both Netanyahu and
Hamas are unfortunate political choices, but Netanyahu was a choice,
at least of the limited electorate within Israel, and there's plenty
of reason to believe he's doing exactly what those who voted for him
want. Hamas was never elected, because Palestinians have never been
free to choose their own leaders. The West Bank is, well, complicated,
but Gaza should be simple: all Israel has to do is stop attacking and
step away. They've more than punished Hamas. They've destroyed most
of the region's infrastructure. For at least the next 20 years, the
only way people will be able to live in Gaza is through foreign aid,
which they will basically have to beg for. If Israel takes itself out
of the picture, and lets the UN organize a proper democratic government
there, Hamas will release the hostages, and quietly disappear. (Sure,
Hamas may still survive in the West Bank, and among exiles, but that
shouldn't be Gaza's fault. Hamas has no life except as resistance to
Israeli power.)
The idea that some people who got to power purely through the use
of terror -- and that's every bit as true of Netanyahu as of Hamas
(and only slightly less for the Saudis and Americans and other parties
invovled) -- can settle something in Paris that will bring peace to
Gaza is absurd. Freedland writes: "To grasp it, the Palestinians need
to be free of Hamas and Israelis free of Netanyahu." Swap those and
you start to enter the realm of the possible: Palestinians need to be
free of Netanyahu, which for Gaza at least is easy to do. And that
would also make Israelis free of Hamas (except, of course, in the
areas where they're still determined to rule rough over Palestinians,
because such rule always begets resistance -- if not by Hamas, then
by the next bunch that bands together to stand up for freedom and
against injustice).
Thomas L Friedman: [02-27]
Israel is losing its greatest asset: acceptance: This is one of
those "if even Thomas Friedman sees a problem . . ." pieces. Israelis
have a handicap here: they're so conditioned to expecting that the
whole world hates them, they can't imagine how much worse it can get,
or how that might impact them. They figure as long as the US stays
in line, no problem. And they figure the US is way too big to worry
about its own diminishing acceptance.
Mehdi Hasan: [02-21]
Biden can end the bombing of Gaza right now. Here's how.
Robert Inkalesh: [02-23]
Why the US must enage Hamas politically: I don't agree with this now,
but I do believe that I do believe that America's refusal to accept the
results of the 2006 Palestinian Authority elections -- I believe Israel,
which had always preferred Hamas to the secular-socialist PLO, was only
following the American lead -- was largely responsible for pushing Hamas
back into violent rebellion, including the desperate attacks of Oct. 7.
There is, of course, much room for debate as to how to apportion blame
for the continued repression and resistance. Israel's behavior is fully
consistent as a white settler colony overseeing a rigidly racist system
of control -- call it "Apartheid" if you like, but it differs in some
from the disgraced South African system, and often for the worse. It
reflects a demented and ultimately self-destructive worldview, but
they are pretty clear on what they're doing, and why. As for Americans,
they're much harder to explain. Having developed two (or maybe three)
such rigidly racist systems, then dismantled them without ever owning
up to their crimes, they're amazingly ingenious at lying to themselves
and others -- hypocrisy is much too superficial a word -- for the way
they so easily rationalize and romanticize Israeli brutality as high
moral dudgeon.
Jake Johnson: [02-22]
"I think we should kill 'em all," GOP Rep. Andy Ogles says of
Palestinians in Gaza. Makes him exhbit A (but not the only
one) in:
Robert Lipsyte: [02-22]
I'm heartbroken by the war in Israel.
Mitchell Plitnick: [02-23]
Biden won't let Israel's rejection of a Palestinian state interfere
with his delusions.
Philip Weiss: [02-21]
The context for October 7 is apartheid, not the Holocaust: "The
Israel lobby is attempting to indoctrinate Americans that the context
for the October 7 attack is the Holocaust. This is a misrepresentation.
The Palestinians had nothing to do with the Holocaust."
America's expansion of Israel's world war:
Spencer Ackerman:
Samar Al-Bulushi/Ahmed Ibrahim: [02-21]
US inks deal to build up to 5 bases in Somalia.
Giorgio Cafiero: [02-19]
Will Egypt suspend the Camp David Accords?
Dave DeCamp: [02-22]
$14 billion US aid package for Israel crafted to prepare for
'multi-front war,' not just Gaza.
Julia Gledhill: [02-23]
The new 'defense industrial strategy' is a boon for the arms makers,
not so much for regular Americans.
Eldar Mamedov: {02-23]
The EU's flagging credibility in the Middle East.
Ishaan Tharoor:
[02-21]
The world confronts Israel over its occupation of Palestinian
lands: "There is a growing global perception that Israel is at
odds with the international system and reliant on the United States
to shield it from further censure."
[02-23]
In Ukraine and Gaza, twilight for the 'rules-based order':
"Western leaders may see in Ukraine the defense of the 'rules-based
order' against Russian brutishness, but in the ongoing calamity in
Gaza, it's easy to also see its breakdown."
[02-27]
Netanyahu's 'day after' plan for Gaza is unviable: "Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has signaled a blanket rejection of any
solutions that empower the Palestinians." Or to allow Palestinians
any measure of dignity anywhere near Israel's vaunted Iron Wall. No
one anywhere should credit Netanyahu as having any legitimacy to rule
over Palestinians. I don't see any way to force his government from
power, but he and it should be shamed and shunned with every option,
including ICJ charges and sanctions. Sure, other governments treat
their minorities with insufficient respect, but no other works so
relentlessly to destroy their livelihood, and often their lives.
Trump, and other Republicans: Well, South Carolina is done
and dusted -- see [02-24]
Trump defeats Haley in South Carolina primary, 60.1% to 39.2%
(at the point with 92% counted). Also, if you care,
How different groups voted in the South Carolina primary, according
to exit polls. Nothing terribly surprising there, except perhaps
that Trump had his best age split in 17-29 (66% vs. 63% for 65+).
[PS: The final delegate split was 47 Trump, 3 Haley.]
Liz Anderson: [02-13]
The crack-up of the Michigan GOP: "The trouble is, when the
working-class WCN [White Christian Nationalists] takes over a party,
their lack of and contempt for managerial skills, their conspiratorial
mindset, and their inability to assume personal responsibility for
their failures leads to organizational failure and financial crisis."
Also on the Michigan GOP:
Zack Beauchamp: [02-24]
The South Carolina primary is a joke. It tells us something deadly
serious: "Trump's seemingly inevitable romp to victory in Nikki
Haley's home state reveals how strong his hold on the GOP is -- and
how dangerous he remains to democracy."
Jackie Calmes: [01-22]
I watched a Trump rally so you don't have to. But you need to know
what he's saying.
Igor Derysh: [02-23]
Experts trash Trump's "insultingly stupid" filing asking Judge Cannon
to dismiss case: "Trump invoked presidential immunity and other
arguments that have already been rejected by other courts."
David Freedlander: [02-22]
The Swiftboater coming for Biden: "With co-pilot Susie Wiles,
Chris LaCivita has brought discipline to the Trump campaign. Is that
enough to win?"
Margaret Hartmann: [02-21]
Trump doubles down on making Navalny's death about him.
Christopher Hooks: [02-25]
The human toll of Greg Abbott's war at the border.
Ed Kilgore:
Charisma Madarang: [02-23]
Trump claims he's 'being indicted for the black population': "The
ex-president additionally said 'the Black people like me' because he
has been indicted four times." So, like, they can relate to a guy who
has spent $50 million on lawyers to stay out of jail (for months, maybe
even a year or two)?
Ben Protess/Jonah E Bromwich: [02-24]
Donald J Trump is racing against time to find a half-billion dollar
bond.
Jennifer Rubin:
[02-21]
Trump idolizes Putin, the man who killed Navalny and invaded Ukraine.
After being horrible for years, Rubin's conversion to anti-Republicanism
was more convincing than most, but she's lost her marbles here. Trump
doesn't idolize Putin. Trump only worships himself. Maybe he has a bit
of grudging admiration for Putin, as a guy who gets away with doing
things he can only dream of. Maybe he thinks Putin might be a fun guy
to pal around with, like Jeffrey Epstein, but if so he's almost dead
certain wrong. (Does Putin really strike you as the kind of guy who'd
enjoy Trump's company?) Trump throws these gestures out mostly just
to wind up the Russiagate libs, knowing they'll react hysterically,
and knowing that when they do, that'll just reinforce the sense of
his base that he's a straight shooter, one of the very few people in
national politics who's not under the spell of the warmongering Deep
State. Meanwhile, Rubin is only winding up her base, giving them
talking points that seem archly moral but are instantly recognized
by anyone not in the clique as hypocritical at best and quite likely
seriously dangerous.
[02-25]
Dim or disloyal? Republicans again ensnared in possible Russian plot.
And here she goes again, although here we should also note how easy it
is for Russian agents to play Republicans. After all, if you want to
swindle someone, the easiest possible mark is someone who's convinced
in his own con.
Praveena Somasundaram: [02-25]
Koch network ends financial support for Nikki Haley's presidential
bid: Regular people may get a chance to vote in America, but
only for candidates who have been vetted and backed by the very
rich. And when that backing falters, the candidates have little
choice but to withdraw (er, "suspend"). Having lost what appeared
to be her two best chances (Trump-averse New Hampshire and her
home state of South Carolina), and now the biggest source of her
funding, she has no chance of winning, and little of making much
of a showing. Sure, as long as she's nominally in the race she'll
continue to trounce Ron DeSantis (who still got 0.4% in South
Carolina), and she's still got the fawning PR coming from
Jim Geraghty and
Kathleen Parker.
Matt Stieb: [02-22]
Was the Biden Crime Family informant a Russian asset?
Kate Sullivan: [02-18]
Trump launches sneaker line a day after judge's order to pay nearly
$355 million.
Tatyana Tandanpolie: [02-23]
Bipartisan Wisconsin ethics commission refers Trump PAC for felony
prosecution over alleged scheme: "Officials find evidence Trump's
Save America committee skirted campaign finance laws to take down
disloyal GOPer."
CPAC: The erstwhile conservative (more like fascist)
organization held their annual conference last week, headlined
by Donald Trump, so we'll offer this as a Republicans overflow
section. Before we get serious, probably the best introduction
here is: [02-23]
Jimmy Kimmel on CPAC: 'A who's who of who won't accept the results
of the election'.
Biden and/or the Democrats:
Perry Bacon Jr: [02-26]
Criticizing a president is always okay -- even one running against
Trump: If you care about issues, you should say so, even when
it's politically inexpedient. Otherwise, you lose your credibility,
and any hope for eventual success. You reduce politics to a game,
signifying nothing. If that's your view of it, you may already be
a Republican -- although they've adopted some truly obnoxious issue
stands, they're really just saying whatever they think gives them
a slight advantage, because all they're really intererested in is
power: seizing it, keeping it, cashing in on it.
Aaron Boxerman/Jonathan Weisman: [02-24]
Biden caught in a political bind over Israel policy: "His steadfast
support of the Gaza war effort is angering young people and Arab Americans
in an election year. But any change risks alienating Jewish voters." Not
really: recent
polling has Jewish Americans favoring a ceasefire 50-34%. That's
not as high as support for a ceasefire from Americans in general,
but not enough to justify the NYT's antisemitic trope of painting
"the Jews" as responsible for Biden's colossal blunder.
Jackie Calmes: [02-14]
Biden's polls aren't great. How much is the media's fault?
Ben Davis: [02-21]
Biden visited East Palestine a year after Trump. This doesn't bode
well.
William Hartung: [01-31]
Tone deaf? Admin brags about 55% hike in foreign arms sales:
"Washington's sanitized view of unleashing $80.9 billion in weapons
on the world, especially now, is a bit curious."
Eric Levitz: [02-23]
Biden is weak -- and unstoppable: "It will be hard to convince
the president that he isn't the best of his party's bad options."
Norman Solomon: [02-25]
Joe Biden's moral collapse on Gaza could help Donald Trump win.
I'm not going to not vote for Biden in November even though I regard
him as not just naive and/or negligent but materially complicit in
the most crime against humanity in recent decades, but only because
I fully realize that Trump would even be worse (as, indeed, his four
years as president amply demonstrated). Still, by all means, tank
Biden's polls and trash his prospects, at least until he starts to
reverse course. And also note that lots of people are not fully
apprised of how awful Trump has been on Israel in particular and
on world war in general -- indeed, he is campaigning, Wilson-like,
on having "kept us out of war" and steering us away from the path
to "world war" that Biden is heading (even though, sure one might
even repeat Wilson-like, he's done more than anyone to pave that
path). If Biden fails to get his war under control, enough people
are likely to fall for Trump's line to tip the election. Also
linked to by Solomon:
Robert Wright: [02-23]
Biden's tough love deficit: Two years after Ukraine, and 20 weeks
after Gaza, turned into massive wars:
There are lots of differences between those two events and between
the wars they've brought, but there's one important commonality: how
President Biden has reacted. In both cases he has come to the aid of
a friend in need and done so in a way that wasn't ultimately good for
the friend. Biden is good at showing love and catastrophically bad at
showing tough love.
With both Ukraine and Israel, the US has massive leverage -- by
virtue of being a critical weapons supplier and also in other ways.
And in both cases Biden has refused to use the leverage to try to end
wars that are now, at best, pointless exercises in carnage creation.
I'll add that both of these wars were advertised long before they
broke out, coming out of long-standing conflicts, and only surprising
to the those in Washington who pretended that peace can be secured
simply by buying American arms and covering them with clichés about
deterrence and sanctions. Most of the fault belongs to presidents
before Biden: to Bush and Trump for indulging Israel's most right-wing
fantasies (and Obama for not resisting them, reinforcing the idea that
American reservations are not things Israelis need to take seriously);
to Obama's pivot toward a renascent Cold War (after Clinton and Bush
expanded NATO to Russia's doorstep); and to Trump for his half-assed
mishandling of Ukraine, Russia, China, and everything else. On the
other hand, every president inherits the mistakes of his predecessors.
Thanks to Trump, Biden wound up with more than usual, but it was his
job to fix them. In some cases he tried, and has even had some success.
In others, he failed, sometimes not even trying. But here, he's made
bad situations worse, and seems incapable of even understanding why.
Legal matters and other crimes:
Climate and environment:
Eric Levitz: [02-21]
Why you probably shouldn't blow up a pipeline. Reaction to
Andreas Malm's book, How to Blow Up a Pipeline, and the
subsequent movie. My rejection of such notions is so deep-seated --
I'm still anti-Luddite, even after having developed some appreciation
for the intractable
problems they faced -- I've never had to wrestle with the
issues, nor do I expect that I ever will. But I won't be surprised
to see a rising tide of sabotage -- they've already coined the term
"ecoterrorism" for this eventuality -- as climate distress worsens,
especially if major powers are unwilling to reform and continue to
set the standard for dealing with problems through repression and
violence. [PS: Note, however, that in Kim Stanley Robinson, in his
novel, The Ministry for the Future, expects to see a lot of
"ecoterrorism," and sees it as promoting necessary changes.]
Economic matters:
Dean Baker: [02-21]
The sham "The economy is awful" story: Per Baker's
tweet: "Too bad they [New York Times] weren't allowed to run these
when Donald Trump was in the White House." Next in my Twitter queue
was
Kevin Erdmann: "It's really crazy how interest rate casual stories
get canonized without the slightest interest or curiosity in facts.
EVERY story about housing will stipulate that the Fed's rate hikes
slowed down sales." The chart shows that sales spiked after the worst
of the pandemic in 2020, while interest rates were still low, and
declined as interest rates increased, but since 2022 they're basically
back to pre-pandemic levels, albeit with higher interest rates.
Farrah Hassen: [02-23]
The rent's still too high! "A new Harvard study found that
half of U.S. renter households now spend more than 30
percent of their income on rent and utilities. And rent
increases continue to outpace their income gains. . . . Last
year, homelessness hit an all-time national high of 653,100
people."
Ukraine War:
Responsible Statecraft: [02-22]
The Ukraine War at two years: By the numbers.
Kyle Anzalone: [02-22]
US officials see Ukraine as an active and bountiful military research
opportunity.
Medea Benjamin/Nicolas JS Davies: [02-25]
After two grueling years of bloodshed, it's time for peace in
Ukraine.
- Aaron Blake: [02-27]
Zelensky's increasingly blunt comments about Trump: This isn't
a good sign, but Trump has always wanted Zelensky to wade into the
American political fray -- on his side, of course, but it's not
like he can't play opposition just as well. Zelensky is careful to
portay his interests as America's own, but Trump is unflappable in
that regard.
Joe Buccino: [02-22]
Ukraine can no longer win. This piece appeared in the Wichita
Eagle right after the Doran piece, below. Added here after I wrote
the Doran comment, but let's list it first.
Peter Doran: [02-24]
Ukraine can win -- here's how: Author works for Center for European
Policy Analysis (CEPA), one of our leading war tanks, out here to buck
up the troops by, well, quoting Winston Churchill and Henry V. He's
wrong on many levels, starting with the notion that anyone can win at
war these days. Even when he has a point (that Russia's "manpower pool"
isn't inexhaustible) he misses it (that it's still much deeper than
Ukraine's). He points to the unpopularity of the war in Russia, the
suggestion being that Putin will buckle if the West only shows we're
firmly resolved to win, but hasn't Putin proven much more effective
at stifling dissent than the democratic West has? Aside from greater
resolve, he insists the keys to winning are faster deliveries of even
more sophisticated weapons systems, and even tighter sanctions. How
did the war planners miss that? He insists on "a clear and compelling
definition of victory in Ukraine that advances our national interests."
Note nothing here about the well-being of the Ukrainian people, who
bear the primary costs of continued war. His definition? "The
requirements of this victory include the Russian military ceasing to
kill Ukrainians, departing Ukrainian territory and not threatening
the existence of the country in the future." It should be obvious
by now that the only way to achieve any way of this is through a
negotiated settlement that leads not just to a ceasefire but to an
enduring stable relationship between Russia, Ukraine, and the West.
That may require lesser steps -- a ceasefire would be a good start --
but also means giving up impossible definitions of victory.
Steven Erlanger/David E Sanger: [02-24]
Hard lessons make for hard choices 2 years into the war in Ukraine:
"Western sanctions haven't worked. Weapons from allies are running low.
Pressure may build on Kyiv to seek a settlement, even from a weakened
position."
Ben Freeman: [02-22]
The Ukraine lobby two years into war.
Joshua Keating: [02-22]
Are Ukraine's defenses starting to crumble? "What Ukraine's biggest
setback in months tells us about the future of the war."
Serhiy Morgunov/David L Stern: [02-25]
Zelensky says 31,000 Ukrainian troops have been killed since invasion.
His first public disclosure since Dec. 2022 ("up to 13,000"). He's also
claiming 180,000 Russian troops have been killed. When the New York Times
reported this story
(31,000
Ukrainian soldiers killed in two years of war, Zelensky says,
they also noted that Zelensky's number "differs sharply from that
given by U.S. officials, who have said the number is closer to
70,000."
A
leaked Pentagon document had estimated deaths at 15,500-17,000
Ukrainian soldiers, and 35,000-42,500 Russian soldiers. That doesn't
count at least 10,000 Ukrainian civilians killed. For more figures,
some exaggerated, some minimized, see Wikipedia's
Casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War.
Marc Santora: [02-24]
Ukraine's deepening fog of war: "Two years after Russia's full-scale
invasion, Ukrainian leaders are seeking a path forward in teh face of
ferocious assaults and daunting unknowns."
Paul Street: [02-22]
500,000 dead and maimed in Ukraine, enough already: It's been a
long time since I've seen any figures for war in Ukraine, so this
one caught me off guard.
Marc A Thiessen: [02-22]
If Republicans want to help Trump, they should pass Ukraine aid now.
I never cite him, mostly because he's pure evil (he got his start as
Cheney's torture apologist), but my local paper loves his columns, so
I run into him constantly, and occasionally read enough to reconfirm
my judgment. But this one is especially twisted, so I offer it as an
example of the mind games regular Republicans play to manipulate the
deranged Trumpian psyches -- in effect, to keep them reliably evil.
The pitch is that Republicans should keep the war going so Trump can
fulfill his "I'll have that done in 24 hours" campaign promise once
he's elected. Of course, if Trump does win, Thiessen will do his most
to sabotage any peace moves, but in the meantime the war goes on and
Biden gets the blame.
Katrina Vanden Heuvel/James Carden: [02-23]
10 years later: Maidan's missing history.
Walt Zlotow: [02-24]
First 2 years of US proxy war against Russia finds both US and Ukraine
in downward spiral.
Navalny/Assange:
The Observer: [02-17]
The Observer view on Alexei Navalny's murder: Putin must be shown he
can't kill with impunity: "Russia has been exposed as a rogue
state that is a menace to the rest of the world." Isn't the Guardian
supposed to be the flagship of Britain's left-leaning press? But I
cringe any time I see an "Observer view" editorial, perhaps because
so many of them are so full of spite yet so futile, combinations of
hypocrisy and bluster. After fulminating for twelve paragraphs, they
finally explode: "It's time to get real with Russia." So, like, no
more patty-cakes? Like 74 years of "cold war" that actually started
with US and UK troops fighting the revolution on Russian soil? That
went on to using Afghan proxies to snipe at Russians in the 1980s?
That after a brief respite when Yeltsin tried to adopt America's
prescription of "shock treatment" nearly self-destructed Russia?
That was followed by the relentless expansion of NATO combined with
economic warfare including crippling sanctions?
When they wail, "After
Navalny, it's time to drop any lingering illusion that Putin's Russia
is a normal country, that it may be reasoned with." If Russia is not
"a normal country," and I'll grant that it isn't, perhaps that's
because no one in the US/UK has tried to reason with it in dacades?
Navalny is part of the price of this hostile rivalry, and unless he
was some sort of spy, he wasn't even a price the US/UK paid. He was
just collateral damage, like thousands of Ukrainians and Russians
maimed and killed in Ukraine, the millions displaced, the many more
who are denied food and fuel due to sanctions, and the millions of
Russian subjects who are denied free political rights because they
are living under a state whose security is constantly being attacked
by the West.
Andrew Cockburn: [02-19]
Tears for Navalny. Assange? Not so much.
Ellen Ioanes: [02-20]
Where does the fight for a free Russia go now? "Yulia Navalnaya
picks up her husband's battle against Putin."
Fred Kaplan: [02-21]
Even if you hate Julian Assange, the US attempt to extradite him
should worry you.
Margaret Sullivan: [02-20]
The US justice department must drop spy charges against Julian
Assange: 'You don't have to like him or WikiLeaks to recognize
the damage these charges create."
Walt Zlotow: [02-22]
Julian Assange is Biden's Navalny.
Other stories:
Mac William Bishop: [02-23]
American idiots kill the American century: "After decades of
foreign-policy bungling and strategic defeats, the US has never
seemed weaker -- and dictators around the world know it." This is
a pretty seriously wrong-headed article, its appeal to the liberal
publisher based on the MAGA movement, prominent Republicans, Elon
Musk and Tucker Carlson for making America weak, the effect simply
to "advance Putin's agenda." The key to American influence around
he world was always based on nothing more than the perception that
we would treat the world fairly and generously -- unlike the old
colonial empires of Europe, or the new militarism of the Axis, or
the growing Soviet-aligned bloc. Sure, the US was never all that
innocent, nor all that charitable, but in the late 1940s seemed
to compare favorably to the others. The US squandered its moral
standing and good will pretty rapidly, and as the article notes,
is losing the last of it with Biden's wholehearted support for
Israeli genocide.
Nick Estes: [02-19]
America's origin story is a myth: Daniel Denvir interviews Estes,
author of Our History Is the Future: Standing Rock Versus the Dakota
Access Pipeline, and the Long Tradition of Indigenous Resistance.
David French: [02-25]
What is Christian nationalism exactly? NY Times
opinion columnist, self-described
Never-Trump Conservative, professes as evangelical Christian,
claiming the authority to explain his wayward brethren -- the flock
Chris Hedges wrote about in his 2007 book, American Fascists:
The Christian Right and the War on America -- or at least to
make fine distinctions between his kind and the others, who he's
more inclined to dub "Christian supremacists." That works almost
as well as Hedges' "Fascists" to identify the dictatorial and
vindictive powers they aspire to, without implicating Christians
who practice tolerance and charity, and allowing new nationalists
to express their love for American diversity (as opposed to the
old ones, wallowing in xenophobia and racism).
By the way, one term I haven't seen, but seems more to the point,
is Republican Christianists (or, I guess, Christianist Republicans):
those who enbrace the Republicans' cynical pursuit of coercive power
at all costs, while justifying their lust and avarice as a divine
mission. This piece led me to some older ones:
Katie Glueck: [02-19]
Anti-Trump burnout: The resistance says it's exhausted: "Bracing
for yet another election against Donald Trump, America's liberals
are feeling the fatigue. "We're kind of, like, crises-ed out," one
Democrat said." Well, if one Democrat said it, that's exactly
the sort of thing you can count on the New York Times to blow up
into a page one issue. Genocide in Palestine? Not so much. Reading
their own paper, they don't seem to understand that Trump is out of
power, and has been for 3.5 years now. Sure, he still talks a lot,
but that's all he is. Trying to shut him up, even if we wanted to,
not only isn't worth the effort, but would make things even worse.
For most of us, there's nothing much we can do except wait until
November, then vote against him.
Sarah Jones: [02-22]
The right to a private life is under attack: Starts with the
Alabama ruling on IVF (see Cohen, Millhiser, and others, above),
but of course the Trump-supporting Christian Nationalists want
much more than that: they want to run nearly every aspect of your
life:
Our private freedoms are linked to public notions of equal citizenship.
Conservatives attack the former in order to undermine the latter. It's
an unpopular strategy, but as the scholar Matthew Taylor told Politico,
"These folks aren't as interested in democracy or working through
democratic systems as in the old religious right because their theology
is one of Christian warfare." This is total war, and not just on women.
Anyone who fails to conform is at risk.
More, especially on the IVF backlash:
Taylor Lorenz: [02-24]
How Libs of TikTok became a powerful presence in Oklahoma schools:
"The owner [Chaya Raichik] of the far-right social media account, who
sits on a state advisory panel, has drawn attention since the death
of a nonbinary student near Tulsa." I could have filed this under
Republicans (above), as that's her mob, but didn't want to bury it
under the usual graft and bullshit. Related here:
Garrison Lovely: [01-22]
Can humanity survive AI? Long piece I haven't spent much time
with as yet, although the subhed "Capitalism makes it worse" is
certainly true. I don't know how good and/or bad AI will be, but
it's generating a lot more press than I can follow, including:
Kelly McClure: [02-23]
Ex-NRA chief funneled millions of dollars into his own pockets,
according to a NYC jury: "Wayne LaPierre and other NRA executives
were found liable for financial misconduct."
Anna North: [02-23]
Mascuzynity: How a nicotine pouch explains the new ethos of young
conservative men: "Stimulants, hustle culture, and bodybuilding
are shaping young men's drift to the right." Not obvious to me why
this has become "a gateway to right-wing politics." Unless, that is,
you're broadening the definition of right-wing from servants of
hierarchy/oligarchy to plain old, all-around assholes.
Rick Perlstein: [02-21]
The neglected history of the state of Israel: "The Revisionist
faction of Zionism that ended up triumphing adhered to literal fascist
doctrines and traditions." This is, of course, directly relevant to
what's happening in the Israel section above. The relationship is not
just temperamental and ideological: Netanyahu's father was Jabotinsky's
secretary and confidant.
Alissa Quart: [02-21]
US media is collapsing. Here's how to save it. She's director of
something called
Economic Hardship Reporting Project
Aja Romano: [02-18]
An attempt to reckon with True Detective: Night Country's bonkers
season finale: Noted in the breach, as a remarkably bad review
of a season and series where I'm hard pressed to find any points
to agree with, either in praise (mostly of seasons one and three,
where the flaws are most obvious) or in panning (seasons two and
four, where the messes swamp out the positives). But I will say
that the "bonkers season finale" was much more satisfying than any
I imagined to that point. I at least took the political point, which
is that the power of the rich, and the hopelessness of the people
they carelessly grind down and toss aside, are never as complete as
they imagine.
At the same time, I was also watching
A Murder at the End of the World, which was, if anything, even
messier (though just a close second for bone-chilling cold), and
again mostly acquitted itself with a politically-charged "bonkers
finale": the murders were orchestrated by AI, but the context was
corporate megalomania, as represented by a billionaire obsessed
with control and life-extension. Speaking of which:
Jeffrey St Clair: [02-23]
Roaming Charges: Somewhat immature: Title is Brig. Gen. Anthony
Mastalir, commander of U.S. Space Forces Indo-Pacific, describing
the "rules of engagement for orbital warfare," which is to say nobody
agrees on any rules, or even knows what they are or should be. But
who's that going to stop?
Ben Wray: [02-24]
It's time to dismantle the US sanctions-industrial complex: "The
US has built up an elaborate machinery for waging economic warfare on
its rivals with little or no public debate. This sanctions-industrial
complex is a disguised form of imperialism and a dangerous source of
global instability."
Li Zhou: [02-23]
America's first moon landing in 50 years, explained.
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