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Sunday, November 1, 2026
Loose Tabs
On [10-06] I bypassed working on tabs.php to open this
scratch Loose Tabs file, which will eventually be renumbered to
post.
This is an occasional collection of newsworthy links and comments,
much less systematic than what I attempted in my late
Speaking of Which posts. The name comes from my extensive
use of browser tabs. When I get around to cleaning up, I often find
tabs opened to old articles I might want to comment on and/or refer
back to. So
these posts are mostly
housecleaning, but may also serve as a very limited but persistent
record of what 20+ years ago I started calling "the end of the American
empire" and nowadays feels more like "the end of civilization." With
no strict schecule, I've tended to flush these notes out toward the
end of each month.
My previous one appeared ? days ago, on
September 30.
By the way, I've been trying to write some more in-depth pieces on
major issues (and/or personal peccadillos), using Substack as an email
agent. I call this series
Notes on Everyday Life. I used to have a pinned list of pieces
here, but as they've grown, I've moved them into
separate index.
I also have a
Notes feed there. While I've done very little with it so far,
it occurs to me that I might be able to use it to publish Loose
Tabs items and Music Week reviews as I write them, instead of
having to wait for a long compilation post.
Table of Contents:
New Stories
Most stories fit into well-established categories, organized below as
Major Threads. Some sources I lean on so
regularly they have their own
Regular Columnists section. I also have an
End Matter section for dealing with regular
occurrences like books, obituaries, and tweets. Stories that don't
fit into any regular category appear under
Miscellaneous Stories. However, occasionally
a short-term story blows up to where it needs extra attention, in
which case I included it here. Finally, there is
End Matter, which includes regular notes on
books and music, obituaries, and a few tweets that caught my eye.
Examples from last time:
The Republican National ("Trumpalooza") Convention;
The 25th Anniversary of 9/11.
Looking Back at Israel: 3 years after the "apocalypse," 1 year
after the "ceasefire."
Richard Silverstein [10-02]:
10/7: Netanyahu's final solution to the Palestinian question.
Mohammed R Mhawish [10-07]:
This is not an anniversary: "Does remembering the date of October 7
make it easier to name?"
Trita Parsi [09-08]:
Hamas offered to release all civilian hostages on day 1 - without
preconditions. Israel said no.
Jared Hillel [10-09]:
A brief history of Israeli ceasefire violations, from 1948 until today:
"Ahead of the one-year anniversary of the so-called ceasefire in Gaza,
we look at a brief timeline of a long-established Israeli practice of
sabotaging negotiations and violating ceasefire agreements to advance
their goals."
Mitchell Plitnick [10-09]:
Three years of genocide, three years of global silence: "The
struggle for Palestinian liberation is a threat to the global world
order. That's why no one is 'stopping' Israel."
Steve Bloomfield [10-10]:
In three years, Israel's war on Gaza hasn't just changed the Middle East,
it's changed the world: "A whirlpool of violence has engulfed
everywhere from Lebanon to Yemen. Meanwhile, the west has destroyed
any political authority it once had." "West" seems to be a term of
art for a British writer who can't quite exempt his nation from the
crimes of the US. The US still has considerable political power,
but what's been lost is any pretense of moral authority, because
Trump (and before him Biden) lacked any scruples about the genocide
Israel has waged.
But there is something else, more insidious, that has changed. The
rule of international law, tenuous as it was, has been openly replaced
by military might. In 2022, western leaders — building a
coalition rightly opposed to Vladimir Putin's full-scale invasion of
Ukraine — made moral appeals based on the violation of
international law. In Gaza, they encouraged and supported Israel, even
when it was clear that the rules were being broken. That hypocrisy has
not gone unnoticed, not just in the global south but among many
millions of citizens in the west.
NAZA:
Séamus Malekafzali [09-25]:
The backlash to "NAZA" shows how little Israeli citizenship really
means: "By threatening the filmmakers, Netanyahu lays bare how
fragile the notion of what it means to be Israeli is in the age of
its genocide in Gaza."
Rachell Corbett [10-03]:
NAZA is selling out theaters. Can it influence The Hague?
"Whether the film can advance the case for genocide may be more
complicated than convincing viewers." It shouldn't take a few
interviews to tip the genocide case, as there is plenty evidence
of intent from Israel's leaders, and of execution from the rubble.
What the film adds is coherent detail of those actually doing the
killing on the ground.
At a sold-out screening at IFC Center, the audience sat silent until
the last credit rolled on NAZA, the documentary in which two
dozen Israeli military personnel admit to committing war crimes and
genocide in Gaza. Throughout, no one dared touch their popcorn; the
only sounds were sharp exhales during the most grotesque confessions
— the former IDF soldiers and intelligence officers who
recounted how bombing Palestinians was "insanely fun," how dogs ate
the corpses and snipers gunned down starving Gazans as they ran to
food at aid sites. One drew stick figures falling forward on their
faces to show how the momentum caused their bodies to land. . . .
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to change Israel's laws
in order to revoke Abraham and Szor's citizenship, while a mural went
up on an Israeli street with crosshairs next to their faces. . . .
The film also makes a case for those bigger accusations by focusing
on the system that enabled the interviewees to carry out their
crimes. "The danger of what Yuval did is that he went after the IDF,
not the government, and that hurts Israel more
substantially. Governments come and go, but the IDF is what Israel's
entire national identity revolves around," says Muhammad Shehada, a
Gazan political analyst and friend of Abraham.
Sebastian Ben Daniel (John Brown) [10-02]:
Why NAZA terrifies Israel's liberal elite: "The film shatters
'respectable' Israelis' illusion of moral superiority: The most prestigious
soldiers are the primary culprits of genocide."
Abdaljawad Omar [10-08]:
Shoting and craving: on NAZA and the mediated obscene: "The
documentary film by Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor follows the
predictable script of the regretful soldier, but the subjects in
NAZA express something darker: mourning the loss of power."
Omer Bartov [10-09]:
How do human beings explain taking part in genocide? NAZA provides a
chilling look: "It is easier to blame brutes and sadists for
extreme violence. But as we see in the documentary, modern genocides
are fueled by people who are uncomfortably recognizable."
Davide Abbatescianni [10-11]:
'Citizen Osama' turns life under bombardment into urgent, intimate
cinema: "As NAZA draws global attention to the Gaza genocide from
the perspective of Israeli génocidaires, a lesser-known Palestinian
documentary looks through the camera of a Palestinian journalist
trying to document devastation while keeping his family safe."
The Nobel Peace Prize:
Brazil: Brazil held its
general election: On October 4, in the first round of Brazil's
presidential election, President Lula da Silva trailed Flávio Bolsonaro
(son of Jair Bolsonaro, a Trump favorite and former president currently
in jail for trying to organize a coup against his electoral loss in
2022) 45.16% to 47.03%. Since no candidate got more than 50% of the
vote, there was a runoff on October 25, which Lula won.
Some articles, before and after:
Jean Wyllys [10-09]:
Shame and guilt in politics: Brazil, 2026.
Robert Kuttner [10-26]:
Lula's huge win for the left: "His come-from-behind victory in Brazil's
presidential election spoils the storyline of right-wing dictators on
the march."
Anthony W Pereira [10-30]:
How Lula turned the tables on the right in Brazil and the US.
Brian Mier [10-30]:
Lula's victory hinders Trump and tech bro dreams. Considering
the following, it's hard to understand how this election could have
been so close:
It was an election that saw flagrant interference from the
U.S. government in the form of tariffs and sanctions, with President
Donald Trump personally meeting with a candidate in the White
House. It saw massive intervention from Meta, whose owner was one of
Trump's largest campaign donors, and a secret deal for rare earth
minerals struck between Vice President J.D. Vance's Rockbridge Network
and the Bolsonaro campaign. It was the first election in Brazilian
history in which a candidate, Flávio Bolsonaro, offered to turn
supervision of his transition team over to the U.S. government if
elected.
The U.S. intervention was so obvious that a group of 31
U.S. lawmakers sent a letter to the State Department officially
complaining about it, an act further supported by a public declaration
denouncing U.S. intervention signed by 39 British members of
Parliament.
Israel's Elections: Israel's legislative elections were held on
October 27. The Knesset has 120 seats, which many parties compete for,
so governments are inevitably coalitions of multiple parties. Benjamin
Netanyahu's Likud party finished first, with 27 seats (20.52%), −9
from the previous election in 2022. Netanyahu's current coalition fell
to 53 seats, 8 short of a majority. Gadi Eisenkot's new Yashar party won
21 seats (16.05%). He would lead an opposition coalition of various
"Jewish" parties, which together have 48 seats, also short of a majority.
Two parties that mostly represent Arabic citizens of Israel (granted
citizenship in 1950 as part of a law that denied refugees their right
of return and confiscated their property) won 19 seats (+9), so they
hold the balance of power, although no "Jewish" party has shown any
willingness to form a coalition with them. Hence, the election is
basically a stalemate, unless Eisenkot is willing to form a government
with Palestinian support, or negotiate a "unity" government with Likud.
Netanyahu's interest is to keep it stalemated, which will allow him to
run a caretaker government until new elections, in six months. (In
theory, Netanyahu could form a new coalition by adding elements from
the opposition, but most are defined largely by their opposition to
Netanyahu.) The articles below reflect this evolving situation, and
are far from comprehensive.
Samah Watad [09-30]:
Palestinian MKs in Israel have long faced election bans. This time is
different: "From Ben Gvir to the Democrats, Israeli politicians
have called to disqualify the Balad party chair — and the Supreme
Court may no longer serve as a backstop."
Blaise Malley [10-07]:
What did Netanyahu know before Oct. 7? "His re-election prospects
are threatened as recent investigations detail alerts from abroad in
the days and weeks before the 2023 Hamas attack."
Connor Echols [10-16]:
Eisenkot aims to out-hawk Netanyahu ahead of elections: "The two
leading Israeli candidates are telling voters they will crack down
hard on Hamas and fight Iran." Of course, one should be wary, but the
difference is that Netanyahu's approach to fighting Hamas and Iran
has been demonstrated to be ineffective, at least in the sense of
achieving any degree of conclusion, so even if Eisenkot has the same
stated aims, he isn't necessarily going to pursue them the same way,
with the same failed policies. I believe that Netanyahu is much more
interested in continuing the fight than in ending it, partly because
the fight offers benefits (camouflage for the pogroms in the West Bank;
keeping the Trump alliance solid; keeping the right-wing in power),
and partly because he cannot win but also cannot afford not to, as
(among much else) an end to the wars will lead to a reevaluation of
his leadership, which has been a horrific failure. On the other hand,
Eisenkot can afford to end the wars on less than ideal terms, as long
as he looks tough and determined in doing so. There's certainly no
guarantee that he won't repeat Netanyahu's mistakes, or screw up even
worse.
Ben Reiff [10-23]:
50 shades of right: An Israeli election primer: "While Netanyahu's bloc adds more extremists to its ranks, his opponents are impeding their own
path to power by refusing to work with Arab parties.".
Jonathan Ofir:
Amos Brison [10-27]:
The battle for Jewish votes among Israel's Palestinian parties:
"The Joint List and Ra'am could prove decisive in Israel's election.
But they offer very different answers on how far to bend in pursuit
of Jewish support."
Celeste Marcus [10-28]:
The silver lining of Israel's historic vote: "A surge in Arab-Israeli
voting has given a future government the option to sideline the country's
most extreme parties."
Qassam Muaddi [10-29]:
No seat at the table: Israel's post-election message to its Palestinian
citizens: "Netanyahu's party and the Israeli opposition are at
an electoral stalemate that only an alliance with the Palestinian
citizens of Israel can break, but neither camp is willing to extend
their democratic ideals to the Arab lists who won 19 seats in the
latest election."
Rami Younis [10-30]:
Palestinian citizens are the big winners of Israel's election. It doesn't
matter: "The historic result for Arab parties is rendered meaningless
by an Israeli opposition that appears unwilling to partner with them to
depose Netanyahu."
Ramzy Baroud [10-31]:
Beyond Netanyahu: What Israel's election means for Palestinians.
Amos Brison [11-01]:
To oust Netanyahu, Israel's opposition needs to learn this lesson from
him: "The secret to the prime minister's political longevity has
been abandoning commitments when they get in his way. It's time his
opponents did the same."
Major Threads
War on Iran:
Trita Parsi:
Kelley Beaucar Vlahos [10-05]:
Increase in Hormuz oil traffic is papering over a darker reality:
"Experts say a closer look reveals increasing prices, exhausting
reserves, and an unsustainable security situation because Iran is
still attacking." What's going on here isn't very clear to me, but
it seems like Iran is allowing some shipping through, which suffices
to keep the Americans from escalating, while reserving the chance
they could move to close the Strait again in the future. They may
be guessing that Israel and the US will make no peace moves until
after their elections, at which point this will either settle or
blow up. Still, the exact protocols and quantities are unclear.
Seymour Hersh [10-08]:
What Israel wants from Iran: "Amid secret talks between Washington
and Tehran, Israel has new demands on nuclear verification." Paywalled,
but one quote I've seen:
"Israel is 'terrified,'" the Israeli said, because "the Iranians
believe that the only way to survive is to lash out." He said the
Iranian leadership has learned, like Mohammed Ali, the great American
boxer, when to do "rope-a-dope" before lashing out.
There's plenty of evidence of Israel lashing out, but is there any
of Iran? Even if Iran were to lash out, Israel is the one with nuclear
deterrence. If that isn't sufficient, maybe they should try some other
tactic . . . like peace.
Frida Berrigan [10-09]:
Where are the Iran war protests? "Despite a wildly unpopular war
with Iran, a mass protest movement for peace hasn't materialized —
at least in the ways we've been taught to recognize." But we're kind of
overwhelmed with things to protest. The "No Kings" marches are pretty
massive, and the war is a big part of that. She notes: "I love a good
protest march." I don't like them at all, except that it is reassuring
to find other people, often complete strangers, share my concerns. But
their effect on elected officials is hard to gauge, especially as those
in charge grow more stuck in their own thoughts.
Troy Farah [10-10]:
Trump gets richer while gas prices soar: "The Iran war and energy
crisis aren't problems for the president. They're a business model."
You may well have figured that out by now. Gas prices are up, but oil
company profits are up even more. Trump lobbied oil companies hard
for contributions, and they're paying off. Meanwhile, insiders profit
from stock bumps based on Iran war rumors, which are orchestrated by
the White House. Curiously, the first paragraph here is about something
else:
In mid-September, Chinese scientists announced a breakthrough in
extracting hydrogen and fresh water from the ocean with about 15%
better energy efficiency than older techniques. Their research,
published in Nature Energy on Sept. 15, underscores that China
continues to dominate in the renewable energy race, generating so much
that the country can't even use it all. As Reuters reported in August,
"China turned away enough clean energy to power Mexico for a year in
the six months through June as its grids hit their limits." At the
Fortune Leaders Forum in Macau on Sept. 8, Youyuan Huang, executive
vice chairman of BTR New Material Group, the world's top maker of
battery anode materials, said "China's grid is a very strong and
stable one . . . but we've installed too much green energy."
Meanwhile, Trump wants to return America to coal, because that's
where the grift is leading him. That he would start a war just to
make money is, well, plain evil.
Lulu Garcia-Navarro [10-10]:
The Interview: "She's been to Gaza. She met with the Iranians. Now
she has a warning." She is Mirjana Spoljaric, head of the International
Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), "an independent and neutral guardian
of the Geneva Conventions, a series of international agreements created
in the wake of World War II that laid out the rules of war."
I covered wars for a big part of my career as a journalist, and the
world feels more dangerous and volatile than I can ever remember. How
do you see things? I see it the same way, because the statistics
prove it. We now count twice as many conflicts as 15 years ago. We are
at 130 international and noninternational armed conflicts that we
classify in our system. That's the highest number since the Second
World War. So I think it's time we stop admiring the problem and start
acting against this.
Julian Barnes, et al. [10-21]:
US and Israel draw up plans for renewed strikes on Iran after elections:
"Renewed hostilities might not be any more successful than the war's first
phase, and President Trump has repeatedly canceled plans for a return to
major combat."
Jeremy Scahill/Peiman Salehi/Ryan Grim [10-21]:
The war Tehran believes is coming: "Iran believes the US and Israel
may strike before the midterms. Top security official Gen. Mohsen Rezaei
tells Drop Site Iran has new targets in its sights."
Mitchell Plitnick [10-23]:
How the upcoming US and Israeli elections could lead to the third
round of the Iran war: "The upcoming US and Israeli elections
will likely lead Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu to renew their
misguided war on Iran with even greater ferocity than before in an
effort to save their political lives." Peace with Iran could be
perilous to Trump and especially to Netanyahu, but wrecking the
MOU took that threat off the table. More war, on the other hand,
entails more risks. Trump has said he won't escalate against Iran
until after the election. Netanyahu is far from secure after his,
but it's hard to see what his play may be. One is reminded of Bush's
decision to postpone the destruction of Fallujah in 2004 to after
the election, but while renewed war might have been a bad look, he
didn't have to worry about counter-escalation. There is still a lot
that Iran can do in response to American bombing, and that, more
than wag-the-dog politics, is what limits Trump.
Ryan Grim/Iona Craig [10-27]:
The UAE is secretly helping Ansarallah fight Saudi Arabia in Yemen:
"In an extraordinary move, the UAE has been covertly sharing targeting
assistance with the Iranian-aligned Ansarallah in its conflict against
Saudi-backed forces inside Yemen." Hard to make much sense of this,
including whether they're acting at the behest of Iran and/or Israel,
or just continuing to pursue their own vicarious shenanigans. They do
note that the UAE is using Israeli spyware.
Branko Marcetic [10-31]:
The Iran War might soon get catastrophically worse: "It looks
increasingly likely Donald Trump may try a reckless escalatory
bombing campaign against Iran after the midterms. And it looks
increasingly likely it will backfire terribly." I don't doubt
that they are gaming out war options, but I really doubt if any
of them will make sense, even to someone as cognitively impaired
as Trump. (Netanyahu is another story: he has the motive, but not
the means, and Iran can easily ignore any lashing out he does on
his own.) Meanwhile, there are two (or possibly three) constraints
on Trump: the first is his own military, which took their best shot,
blew it, and have nothing else unless they want to go nuclear; the
second is the Gulf states, which pay Trump a lot of money to protect
them, and have a lot to lose if Iran strikes back. Thus far Iran has
gone relatively easy on them, figuring them as long-term neighbors,
but the harder Trump hits Iran, the more likely Iran is to throw
caution to the wind and do them some serious damage. The possible
third reason for restraint is the global economic impact. I take
this less seriously, not because it isn't real, but because I doubt
Trump understands anything more than that more war means more profits
for his buddies in the oil industry. I expect that there are people
in Trump's circle who understand this somewhat, and who will advise
caution. Admittedly, it's hard for Trump to understand that hitting
Iran will only make them tougher and more resentful, but he can only
hit them if his people give him that option, and I don't see who
wants to do that (even Netanyahu, who's already gotten all he needed
out of the war).
The real post-election question is whether Trump and Iran can come
up with some formula that allows them both to back down gracefully.
Trump has been blocked so far by Netanyahu and by his own stupid ego,
but in both cases the reasoning was tied to election cosmetics. Right
after the election is probably the best time to take the loss, rather
than risk making it worse later.
Israel:The focus here is on Israel's wars, especially against
their own people, and on internal Israeli politics. A second section
will address Israel's relations with the world, especially the US.
Tareq S Hajjaj:
Qassam Muaddi:
Jared Hillel [09-30]:
'I'd rather die than go back': A Palestinian teen's 10-month nightmare
in Israeli jail: "At 15, Zaid was separated from his parents, beaten,
and starved. He is just one of hundreds of Palestinian children detained
amid a post-Oct. 7 surge."
Silvia Casadei [10-02]:
Life on the edge of Israel's occupation in southern Lebanon:
"As part of a U.S.-brokered agreement with Israel and Lebanon,
residents of some southern villages are cautiously returning to
their homes. What they have found is a shell of their former lives,
and a daily menacing presence of the Israeli occupation."
Vanessa Kallas [10-29]:
Bulldozers, glyphosate, white phosphorus: Israel's destruction of South
Lebanon's olive groves: "Lebanese farmers are losing their livelihood
as Israeli forces uproot centuries-old trees, destroy olive groves, and
demolish entire towns and villages, rendering them uninhabitable."
This, in itself, should be charged as an act of genocide. We shouldn't
have to wait until they start building gas chambers.
Monjed Jadou [10-28]:
One hour to leave: Hebron families displaced by Israel's military operation
don't know when they'll return: "Israeli forces have forced 407
Palestinian families, nearly 2,650 people, from their homes in Hebron,
sealing the city's entrances and closing the Ibrahimi Mosque to Muslim
worshipers. Displaced residents describe being given one hour and one
bag."
Israel-American-World Relations: This section deals with
Israel's relations with the world, especially the US, both at the
state level and regarding public opinion.
Matt Sledge [09-30]:
Israeli settlers killed his constituent. Fetterman is sole Democrats
against investigating them. He voted with the Republican majority
(51-47) against a resolution to force US probes on kilings of Americans
in the West Bank.
Michael Arria:
[10-06]:
The Gaza genocide permanently diminished the power of pro-Israel
propaganda: "Since October 7 and the Gaza genocide, U.S. opinions
on Israel and Palestine have drastically shifted. The power of Zionist
propaganda has been permanently weakened, and the U.S.-Israel
relationship is in a more precarious position than ever before."
[10-08]:
Israel's reputation has fallen apart, but US officials haven't faced
accountability: "Three years after October 7, Israel's reputation
has fallen apart among the US population, but the architects of the
genocide have yet to face accountability." Nor are they likely to,
even if the prediction in Omar El Akkad's book title (One Day,
Everyone Will Have Always Been Against This) proves true.
Accountability is not really a thing in today's world. And even
if the tide shifts, and responsible people do decide that we need
some checks and balances against abuses of power, cleaning up the
past is going to prove out of reach.
[10-15]:
DHS raid on Ilhan Omar's house is 'exactly what a fascist police state
does': "The Department of Homeland Security raid on Rep. Ilhan
Omar's home is just the latest example of Trump weaponizing the
federal government to target his political opponents. Meanwhile,
Kamala Harris continues to launder her track record on Gaza."
[10-22]:
AIPAC has grown so toxic that it has to shift its electoral strategy:
"AIPAC will no longer issue endorsements or make direct contributions
to candidates. A clear sign that it's grown deeply unpopular with U.S.
voters."
[10-29]:
The war on Iran looms over the midterms: "American voters are
headed to the polls this midterm season with deepening frustrations
over Trump's war on Iran and its impacts on the U.S. economy."
Kelley Beaucar Vlahos [10-07]:
NatCon 2026 in Israel: Coming home? "The annual confab, ostensibly
launched for American conservatives in 2019, is in Jerusalem this week,
largely focused on shoring up US support for the Jewish state."
Jeet Heer [10-09]:
Does America first really mean Israel first? "Mike Huckabee's aide
shows how an extremist agenda dominates Trump's Middle East policy."
James North [10-10]:
New York Times report on AIPAC hides a central truth about Israel's
unpopularity: "Four Times reporters, 53 paragraphs, and no mention
of AIPAC's new stealth strategy: hiding Israel and running ads on
unrelated issues in primaries."
Jordi Graupera [10-22]:
A philosopher of war changes his mind: "Michael Walzer wrote
Just and Unjust Wars half a century ago. The war in Gaza made
him rethink one of its fundamental principles." Too bad it didn't
make him rethink all of his fundamental principles, which basically
provide a "moral" license for war which will inevitably lead to and
cover up abuses, quite simply because war itself is immoral, regardless
of any and all real or imagined rationales. I haven't read enough of
this to figure out his labrynthine reasoning, but I've always known
it was based on a fundamental misconception, which is that war can be
justified. As such, he's as much of a "war lover" as any politician.
(A book called The War Lovers was largely about Theodore
Roosevelt and William Randolph Hearst, so they come to mind, but
feel free to pick your own examples: they are legion.)
Ukraine, Other Hot Spots, and World Politics: A catch-all,
where the focus is away from, but not unaffected by, Trump's wars.
Stephen Crowley [10-07]:
Are Europe and Russia slow-walking to World War III? "Dangerous
rhetoric has been escalating on both sides for some time now."
George Beebe [10-09]:
2027: The Ukraine winter we prayed wouldn't come: "Relentless Russian
attacks and energy crisis, matched with depleting resources from abroad,
demand that Trump make dramatic changes in approach to war now." While
Ukraine may still have some defensive depth on its own, it depends on
Europe and America to keep fighting. It's annoying to read pieces like
this about what "Team Trump" can/should do, because they have no idea
why they want to do anything. Trump himself would just as soon throw
Zelensky under the bus, but his European "allies" still have enough
pull to keep that from happening. Meanwhile, Putin seems to be in no
hurry to end the war, confident that he can keep fighting longer, if
not necessarily harder. That life in Ukraine will only become harsher
is a given. The thing is, as Beebe knows, some kind of solution should
not be hard to fashion here. It's just that no one wants to admit that
they've had enough.
Trump's War Department: I set this section up to deal with Trump's
threats of war. We're obviously beyond that now, so see the section on
Iran for more on that.
Atul Kohli [09-15]:
Donald Trump's imperialism of decline is a global menace: US
leaders have generally sought to cloak their imperialism with
euphemistic rhetoric, but Trump has dropped any pretense about
his shameless resource grabs. As the US grows weaker on the world
stage, it's also becoming more brazen and more dangerous."
Antonio De Loera-Brust [09-30]:
Venezuela blowback may have a long fuse. It always does. "The era
of gunboat diplomacy in the early 20th century became the revolutions,
insurgencies, and dictatorships of the future."
Sharon Zhang [10-02]:
Trump used Grok to help talk him into illegal invasion of Venezuela:
"The president reportedly used the AI chatbot for hours when Elon Musk
visited the White House last December."
Amanda Marcotte [10-07]:
Pete Hegseth's holy war on "weirdos" targets most Americans: "Forget
Iran — the defense secretary is focused on forcing his religion on
everyone else."
Ishaan Tharoor [10-14]:
Marco Rubio's wild wild west: "In Greece, the Secretary of State
cast the West as a civilization defined by its warriors and conquerors,
not by its democracies." That, of course, has always been the problem,
but the secret of American influence has usually been that we try to
explain how what's good for us is also good for the world. At a time
when European empires were carving up fiefdoms for extraction, the US
offered Open Doors and a Good Neighbor Policy. We talked up the virtues
of liberal democracy, human rights, and free enterprise. Sure, practice
rarely lived up to the story, but world politics is only a zero-sum game
if you get greedy. Unfortunately, Reagan decided "greed is good," the
neocons got drunk on their power fantasies, and Trump reduced foreign
policy to nothing but.
Juan Cole [10-28]:
The incredible shrinking superpower: "The failing war with Iran
marks a dramatic retreat by the US from the Middle East."
Trump vs. Law and/or Law vs. America: From ICE to the Supreme
Court and the assault on democracy.
Trump's Administration: Trump can't remake America in his own
image (i.e., destroy the country, culture, and civilization) just by
himself. He needs help, and having largely purged the government of
civil servants and replaced them with his own minions, this is what
they are doing — whether he's paying attention or not, and that
it's mostly not is no excuse: he sets the tone, then distracts the
media with his own insanity.
Malcolm Ferguson [07-23]:
Trump moves to cut off student loans for tons of college programs:
"Under a new rule, if a college program's graduates don't make enough
money, it won't be eligible for student loans." Jeffrey St Clair notes:
"Degrees for social work, art, religious studies, teaching aides, and
music will be hit the hardest."
Jeet Heer [09-28]:
Kimberly Guilfoyole is a master of mafia diplomacy: "The US
Ambassador to Greece is making suspicious deals for her buddies."
Lottie Joiner [10-07]:
The unseen toll: Depression, anxiety plague black women a year after
being fired by DOGE: "Trump's federal workforce cuts dismantled
a job pipeline for Washington, DC's Black community and gutted the
well-being of the women who hold up that community."
Chris Walker [10-08]:
Trump admits he wants to privatize Social Security: "'I wanted to
do it so badly,' Trump said of his desire to privatize Social Security
in his first year in office." You may recall that in 2016, Trump broke
away from the Republican field in defending Social Security from the
privatization vultures. What was the Eisenhower quote about Republicans
who wanted to abolish Social Security? "Their number is negligible and
they are stupid."
Donald Trump: The cult (or should I say sinkhole?) of personality.
While most of the bad things he has done and is doing are the work of
his administration, and many of their bad ideas are deeply ingrained
in the Republican Party, he hogs the spotlight, giving them a uniquely
pungent odor.
Ross Rosenfeld [09-30]:
Trump personifies the basic laws of human stupidity: "How a 50-year-old
treatise by an Italian economic historian makes sense of our utterly
senseless moment." Introducing Carlo Cipolla and his 1976 book,
The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity. The "third law" seems to be
the crux of the matter: "A stupid person is a person who causes losses
to another person or to a group of persons while himself deriving no
gain and even possibly incuring losses." While much of what Trump does
fits this description, at the same time no president (and possibly no
politician) has more frequently strived to profit from his office.
Margaret Hartmann:
[10-05]:
'Super intelligence,' Trump's dopey AI rebrand, explained: "Trump
is trying to shut down AI doomerism by giving 'artificial intelligence'
a friendlier name. But he may have a hard time making 'SI' happen."
[10-09]:
MLK Day out, Trump's birthday in? All his holiday changes. "Despite
claims like 'I'm reinstating' Columbus Day, Trump hasn't created any
permanent federal holidays. And he said Americans have too many days
off."
[09-11]:
Trump is locked in a posthumous feud with Abe Lincoln: "This
shockingly active rivalry has dragged on for years, though Honest
Abe is both dead and better than Trump by just about every measure."
[11-13]:
Press Secretary Katie Zacharia's debut was pure amateur hour:
"Or, rather, amateur 14 minutes. Here are the lowlights."
[11-13]:
Katie Zacharia says she passed the bar exam in . . . China?
"Moments after her poor debut, the press secretary stepped in
it again when asked a basic question about her credentials as
a lawyer."
[10-16]:
Zacharia out as Press Secretary in half a Scaramucci: "She flunked
her appearances on Hannity and Fox & Friends, much
like her bar exam. Less than 24 hours later, Trump fired her."
[10-20]:
Trump helps out by dropping antisemitic slur at Kansas rally: "The
president's comments defending Senator Roger Marshall were like an onion
of things he shouldn't be saying."
[10-26]:
Trump's male midterms crushes, ranked: "The president keeps admiring
other men's bodies at his rallies. So if you're voting solely based on
who has a MAGA-approved butt, you're in luck."
[10-29]:
Natalile Harp taps 'court jester' of AI slop to cheer Trump:
"Bill Pulte has worn many hats. Now he's joined Harp in feeding
Trump flattering memes and polling — often on poster board
— to soothe his dark moods."
[10-31]:
Trump's most bizarre and baffling midterms rally rants: "From
misgendering Melania to simulating puking to relentlessly praising
John Husted's butt, his closing message to 2026 voters is stranger
than ever." Let's list the sections (if you've watched Kimmel and/or
Myers you'll probably remember the clips):
- "My wife told me, 'Sir . . .'"
- [Huuuh] "He's puking all over the place"
- "Pacific Ocean, we're gonna call it the American ocean"
- "New Mexico . . . I Want to change it to 'New America'"
- "Most people don't know 'dumb' has a b"
- "We had the hurricane. We call it a 'watercane'"
- Solar panels "kill all the animals"
- "You have to go to MIT to turn on a lawnmower now"
- Kansas senator isn't "some kind of a Shylock-type guy"
- "If you're Black or you're Jewish . . . you're crazy anyway"
- Arnold Palmer's penis size was "unbelievable"
- "I looked at his ass, and I've never done that with a man
before"
Frank Rich [10-07]:
The Collaborators: "The cronies of Trump's second term are
more brazen than the old ones. They're also heading for a harsher
comeuppance."
By most non-Nazi measures, the Trump administration is off the
charts. Its Department of Justice, which pursues the president's
personal vendettas in lieu of protecting anyone's human, civil, and
voting rights, has enabled a kleptocracy that might make Suharto and
Marcos look like shoplifters. The wholesale corruption and theft have
exponentially increased not only the net worth of the president and
his family but that of the large cast of cronies and grifters who have
been cut in on the rackets rife in every corner of our
government. Just a shortlist of the likely roster of criminal
operations would include 24/7 insider stock trading; quid pro
quo-driven real-estate deals in the Middle East, Europe, and even
Yosemite National Park; no-bid government contracts handed out to
favored vendors for federal boondoggles; crypto grabs engineered by
Trump's sons with the sons of his Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff;
prediction-market investments benefiting Donald Trump Jr.; the direct
and indirect purchase of presidential pardons; and the curbing of
antitrust and IRS enforcement for well-connected fat cats. It will
take an army of sleuths just to track down the untold taxpayer dollars
expended during the extravagant joyride of the ousted Bonnie and Clyde
of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski.
Margaret Sullivan [10-08]:
Trump's latest attacks on the press exude desperation: "Trump seems
to invent ugly new variations on his press-bashing theme almost every
day."
Benjamin Hart [10-09]:
Trump's new press-secretary pick is straight out of Central Casting:
Katie Zacharia, "a regular on Fox News and Newsmax who is also a
spokeswoman for the president's social-media company." Also bonde,
with heavy makeup, like her predecessors Karoline Leavitt and
Kayleigh McEnany.
Matthew Stevenson [10-30]:
Trump's great grift machine.
Troy Farah [10-30]:
As midterms loom, anxiety rises about what Trump does next: "The
president may try to declare an emergency or seize voting machines
but some experts say his options are limited." From the title, I was
expecting a different kind of article, one that would explore what
might happen to Trump's delicate psyche as his illusions of popularity
are crushed.
Clay Wirestone [10-31]:
Thank goodness President Trump will return to Kansas. Now he can check
out all our hot GOP men! "As a gay man, I obviously have opinions
about the attractiveness of various menfolk, but I have made a practice
of keeping such opinions to myself. The president as shown me a new
way."
Electoral Politics: Pieces on US elections (recent and future)
and, more generally, inter-party politicking. Party-specific pieces in
following sections.
Michael Luttig [09-10]:
The final battle for America's democracy: "Forget November 3.
It's January 3 when Donald Trump and his MAGA Republicans might bury
our democracy once and for all. Here's how." Don't forget November
3. Vote. You'll never know how desperate Republicans are to cling
onto power until you get them cornered. Then, they'll risk further
discrediting themselves with this cockamamie scheme.
Josh Marshall: [09-26]:
Another factor: bad candidates: Picture of Roger Marshall here.
Darline Graham also gets a mention here, as well as the R's in GA
and NC.
Ed Kilgore:
[09-30]:
Vance's wild Senate-takeover plan has a big flaw: "He and Trump
'war-gamed' plans to nix the Senate parliamentarian and filibuster
to pass the toxic SAVE America Act."
[10-06]:
MAGA can't let go of Tricky Dick: "Nixon apologists have now
spurred a Justice Department investigation of Watergate. But the
Trump parallels they draw aren't flattering to either man."
[10-07]:
Is everything suddenly possible for Democrats? "They're expanding
the map, and it's getting pretty wild." I think the main difference
this year is that Democrats are running more articulate candidates,
and they're campaigning on issues for votes, rather than spending all
their time trying to raise money (like, e.g., Harris did). On the other
hand, Republicans are blowing millions of dollars on ads that mostly
just remind voters how stupid Republicans think they are.
[10-09]:
With livestream execution, Hegseth goes full barbarian: Some
interesting dates here, but one that's missing is that Nidal Hasan's
crime was committed in 2009. Hegseth is quoted as saying that "people
need to understand that there's serious consequences for these types
of things," but after 17 years, who actually remembers what thing is
being consequented so seriously? The longer you wait, the more the
punishment overshadows the crime. Given that few people remember,
why does Hegseth want to give Hasan and his crime the publicity, let
alone turn him into some kind of martyr? Sure, that's rhetorical:
Hegseth is doing this because Hegseth wants the publicity, as he
wants to be known as the guy who is bringing the War Department
back to glory as a killing machine. Trump has since overruled the
live streaming, but not the execution, but the damage to America's
public image has already been done. They could have just let Hasan
rot and die quietly in prison, totally unforgotten. But they have
to brag about what assholes they are, as if we don't already know.
As for "full barbarian": not quite. For that, he would have had to
beheaded Hasan and displayed the head on a pike. I'm sure Hegseth
would have loved that.
[10-13]:
Unhappy Trump voters are the midterms difference-makers: "The closer
we get to the end of this election, the clearer it is that Republicans
should have found a way to muzzle their unpopular president." While
muzzling Trump certainly helped him in the late weeks of the 2016
campaign, it's not obvious what else Republicans have to run on but
Trump's personal charisma, even as tarnished as it is. Disaffected
Trump 2024 voters are no doubt a thing, but I'm also curious about
the 2024 non-voters who now regret not voting against Trump. Most of
the dropoff from 2020 to 2024 simply didn't vote. While disengaged
voters are even less likely to vote in the mid-terms, where vote
levels typically slack way off, they could make a difference this
year — in addition to former Trump supporters who feel like
sitting this one out.
[10-21]:
Fear and loathing are all the GOP have left: "As the spate of
nasty new attack ads show, Trump and his party's only remaining
midterms move is to drive up turnout of hard-core supporters."
[10-24]:
How Trump lost his 2024 coalition: "The president has worked hard
to alilenate every key group that swung him back into the White House."
Title I clicked on was different: "7 Ways Trump Lost His 2025 Coalition."
The article has 7 sections, but they don't correspond to "ways": the
first is "Trump's 2024 coalition was never as big as he claimed." I
wouldn't call the coalescence of 2024 Trump voters a coalition. To do
so implies that multiple groups were willing to compromise with each
other in order to get their separate agendas advanced. The Republicans
have long had a coalition of gun nuts and religious bigots and haters
of various stripes willing to work for the rich to gain recognition,
while the rich recognized that they needed to rope in others to have
any chance in a democracy. But the marginal gains Trump made in 2024
with blacks, latinos, and young voters didn't give them any place in
a Republican coalition that was pretty much guaranteed to screw them
over. Those gains came from disaffected voters, who bought the story
that Biden was a bad president, who didn't trust Harris to be any
better, and who somehow thought Trump deserved another chance.
People who bought such lies were bound to be disappointed. Trump
made their disinfatuation easier by being conspicuously himself,
but it was bound to happen anyway.
[10-26]:
The worst-case midterm scenario for Democrats: "Here are four
good reasons for tempering the blue-wave optimism, including polling
errors, turnout surprises, and Senate-race realities." Republicans
often exceed my expectations, and I still recall a year in the 1980s
when they swept a bunch of very close races, so luck (or God?) does
seem to be on their side (although if you believe in God, I'd remind
you that He has a long history of punishing us). And since 2004, I've
never trusted those voting machines in Ohio — a factor Kilgore
doesn't mention. As for his caveats about voter turnout, he cites an
earlier piece that argues the opposite: that the Democratic base
is much more motivated to vote than the MAGA base. Given that the
Republican vote in 2024 was largely defined by anti-incumbent dread,
they'll be battling their own cognitive dissonance.
[10-30]:
The 'Dan Sullivan' stunt is political malpractice: This is nonsense,
which you're only hearing about because Republican Dan Sullivan is likely
to get beat. We had a similar situation here in Wichita a few years back
when a bogus Ron Estes ran against the incumbent Ron Estes, who sailed
to an easy victory. As noted here, in the August primary, Mary Peltola
won 49.5% of the vote, "real" Dan Sullivan 41.4%, and "fake" Dan Sullivan
2.5%. Alaska has a ranked choice voting system, so anyone confused can
vote for both Dan Sullivans, and rest assured that the "right" one will
collect the votes.
[10-31]:
The 13 governors' races worth watching on election night:
Democrats favored: Alaska, Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Oregon;
Republicans favored: Florida, Nebraska, Texas;
Toss-ups: Georgia, Kansas, Nevada, Wisconsin.
Nicholas Lemann [10-04]:
The battle to pass a billionaire tax: "Most Democratic voters say
that they favor a wealth tax, but a California ballot initiative has
plenty of liberal opponents."
Bill Scher [10-06]:
The Republican plan to buy the election got too expensive: "New
data shows the GOP's money advantage has narrowed because it relies
too heavily on super PACs, which pay more for broadcast ads."
Republicans have a 2-to-1 or 3-to-2 edge in campaign money, but
evidently candidates who raise their own money get better deals,
so the difference in air time is much closer to even.
Michael Tomasky [10-26]:
Three reasons why Donald Trump probably wants the Republicans to
lose: "People seem surprised that Trumpw ould dismiss high gas
prices and claim the US is making a fortune from the Iran war. But
if you know Trump's brain, it's not surprising at all." I haven't
read much about this, but I rather suspect that a lot of business
folk would be happy to see a return to divided government. They're
not a majority — Republicans have a big lead in big donor
cash, but Democrats are raising a lot of money, and not just from
the small donations of mere concerned citizens. I can also see a
case for Fox and Republican strategists, who can use a Democratic
Congress to generate outrage in their base. But I don't see much
value in trying to probe the dark reaches of Trump's brain on this
issue. The general assumption is that Trump cares little about
policy, but much about angles. Republicans are very bad on policy,
losing Congress should help Trump to do fewer stupid things —
of course, even as I write this, I know that most of the stupid
things Trump has done have been by executive order. On the other
hand, the angles favor fighting with Democrats over cooperation,
so that's where he's likely to go. He's also likely to relish the
idea of being the only significant Republican left in power. If
he let this idea go to his head, he could try a coup toward the
end of his term. I doubt it will work, but I also doubt that he
knows that. But the real problem here isn't a careful weighing of
the prospects, but the notion that Trump has given this the least
bit of thought. He's just a bundle of instincts and reflexive
acts. Looking back (and forward) at Tomasky's columns:
Troy Farah [10-20]:
Musk's midterm meddling reeks of desperation: "So far, he's
spent some $366 million in pro-GOP midterm TV spots and other
campaign efforts, with $276 million donated since July alone.
No other known donor comes close to dishing out more funding."
Jake Lahut [10-28]:
The last stand of a MAGA party girl: "Lauren Boebert bucked Trump
on Epstein, got ensnared in a sex scandal, and is now fighting for
her political life."
Naomi Bethune [10-30]:
The Sunshine State's progressive possibility: "In Florida, Angie
Nixon's Senate campaign represents the power of progressive Black
women in politics." This is my dream win for Tuesday, not just
because she would be the red-state leftist that James Talarico and
Adam Hamilton are not, but because she appears to be a gutsy but
methodical campaigner, as shown by her
primary win, where she was outspent by an "impeccably credentialed
centrist" 19-to-1.
David Dayen [10-30]:
Adam Hamilton's moral crusade: "The candidate with a chance to become
the first Democrat elected to the US Senate from Kansas since 1932 is
leading with his values." I didn't vote for Hamilton in the primary,
and I still rather resent his virtue signaling about "leading from the
middle" — if he has any idea what us leftists stand for, he's
done a good job of keeping that insight out of circulation — but
he's raised a ton of money, most of it locally (unlike Marshall), and
he's run a remarkable campaign. If Kansas could straight up compare
the candidates, especially against their own values, he'd win in a
landslide. The only reason this is competitive is that Republicans
seem to always runup the count in rural counties that Democrats pass
on.
Dayen also wrote the following articles with Maureen Tkacik:
The Marshall story that has stuck longest with me is how during
2020 he prescribed
hydroxychloroquine (Ivermectin?) to his wife and kids: Trump had been
pushing it as a Covid preventative, and Marshall was trying to court
Trump votes in a tough Republican primary. That's the kind of person
he is. A story that's been getting more press recently is:
Rob Urie [10-30]:
Oligarchs and elections, the endgame. This analysis (the quote
follows the Calvin Coolidge quote, "the chief business of the American
people is business") seems about right:
'Business' hasn't been the business of the American people for at
least the last half a century. Just getting by has been. The question
now is whether to blame politicians or economics for the shift? On the
one hand, politicians make economic policies. On the other hand, the
special circumstance of the US having the only intact industrial
infrastructure following WWII was temporary. The 'American Century'
was an artifact of history. That Americans were told that the
advantage was permanent explains some fair portion of the political
rage of today.
By the 1970s the writing was on the wall. The American
infrastructure advantage began to wane. Imports from Japan were
climbing the value chain from trinkets to consumer goods. American
industrialists shifted from labor hoarding to searching abroad for
poor, desperate workers who wouldn't contest poverty wages with no
benefits. The claim that brutal labor relations were the key to
American prosperity led to the passage of NAFTA (1994) and the
elevation of finance as a disciplining factor for labor.
The brutality towards labor emerges from the capitalist theory of
capital accumulation. Capitalist economics posits that the social
savings that fund capitalist investment produce a benefit for both
capital and labor. But US economic evolution since the 1970s tells a
different story. Capital understood that the post-War infrastructure
advantage was over early on. The temporary truce between capital and
labor was turned back into a zero-sum game where capital saw its
future in treating labor as prey.
I put the inflection point at 1969, when Hibbert's Peak hit, and
the US was faced with a decision (not that any of us were asked what
to decide): limit oil use, or import whatever it took to keep growing?
But US oil companies had control over, or access to, cheap foreign
oil, so to them (and therefore to American politics) that wasn't even
a question. But it did mean that the US started running trade deficits,
which went negative in 1970 and have remained there ever since. Where
did the surplus dollars go? Some was kept, as the dollar became the
world's reserve currency. And more was reinvested through American
banks, who in short course became global banks. While the price shocks
of 1973 and 1979 hit American consumers, for the oil companies, they
were just windfall profits. Carter's efforts to limit oil use were
massively unpopular, so a big part of the Reagan win was desire to
keep oil flowing. He was aided in that a lot of non-OPEC oil flooded
the market in the 1980s — if anything, his problem was that
prices and profits crashed in the 1980s. But Carter also inserted
the US military in the Persian Gulf to protect the oil flow, leading
to Bush's forever wars, and Trump's oil market manipulations.
Meanwhile, nations that had no oil, like Germany and Japan, taxed
it heavily to suppress waste, and built up their industry, especially
with more efficient cars. They ran trade surpluses, and used the
profits to buy up assets in the US, which for them became not just
a big market but a source of relatively cheap labor. American business,
in turn, found more profitable opportunities elsewhere. But all of
these things required politicians to grease the skids. America's
political system has always been generous to the rich, and with
Reagan's "greed is good" infatuation lost its last inhibitions
against corruption: the idea that government, and public service,
should ultimately benefit all, even if not all equally. That loss
of inhibition was so complete that inequality grew as persistently
under Clinton and Obama, who at least gestured at some notion of a
common good, and whose political base deserved better, as under
Reagan and the Bushes (who stressed tax cuts as opposed to actual
growth). Trump, of course, is off the scales here, not just in
terms of wealth numbers but the arrogance that such rich folk feel
entitled to.
Urie has a chart here showing how "Wealth concentration has spiked
in recent decades," but more detail would be helpful for 1982-2013,
especially as the 21-year-gap from 1992 to 2013 is where much of the
action took place. Urie notes: "remarkably, nearly every name on this
graph of billionaires whose wealth has ballooned in recent years is
a recipient of Federal largesse, known colloquially as welfare." This
is prejudicial abuse of the word "welfare," and not just because the
targets here would object that they worked hard (spent lavishly) to
buy the political favors that they profited from. The idea that
welfare is undeserved is generally wrong. More welfare for everyone
would be a good thing. But granting patent monopolies, permitting
anti-competitive mergers, and selling useless crap and services to
the military are not welfare. They are fraud or worse.
Other Republicans:
Sarah Jones:
[10-01]:
What makes a tradwife quit? "As the movement loses women, the
right's lonely idea of family has come into focus."
[10-28]:
This is the dumbest culture-war fight I've ever seen: "The
manufactured outrage over Obama's Cheesecake Factory joke is
something to behold." As Obama pointed out, the real butt of his
joke was Saddam Hussein, but that sailed right past Trump and his
flacks. But is this even remotely real? "In the right's fantasyland,
the Cheesecake Factory is a temple to American values." It's an
upscale restaurant chain, with decor drawn from castle fantasies,
an extremely cosmopolitan/eclectic
menu, named
after a dessert. It's far removed from places like Cracker Barrel,
Applebees, or Bob Evans — chains I've enjoyed dozens of times
— or Cheddar's (which has a similarly expansive, but rather
lesspretentious, menu). I've only eaten at Cheesecake Factory once,
in Oklahoma City: as I recall, the food was pretty good, the tables
and ambiance less so. (One just opened in Wichita, but we haven't
been there yet.) I suspect that in his joke, Obama was thinking more
of its tacky decor than its clientele.
Heather Digby Parton [10-04]:
The dark reasons behind all the Richard Nixon worship: "MAGA needs
to maintain its grip on the GOP after Donald Trump — and the 37th
president is key."
Danielle Han [10-20]:
Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton's allegedly abusive mom reach monstrous
low in new ad: Acton's brother responded: "This desperate, disgusting
attack reveals exactly who Vivek Ramaswamy is at his core."
Democrats:
Camille Rivera [10-07]:
Florida isn't red. Democrats just stopped showing up.: "With more
than 900,000 Puerto Rican voters, Florida can be won in 2026 and put
in play for 2028. Give Angie Nixon the chance she deserves."
Benjamin Wallace-Wells [10-18]:
How the DSA learned to love elections: "Members of the Democratic
Socialists of America believe deeply in the possibility of a class
revolution. Meanwhile, they're running for office — and winning."
Economists and the Economy:
Steven Rattner [08-18]:
Trump's broken promises, in 11 charts. Each section starts with
a Trump prediction, then offers a chart, usually showing the exact
opposite.
Dean Baker:
[09-30]:
Do lying shelf prices bias our inflation data? The case of convenience
stores: This links to:
[10-01]:
Trade deficit soars in August: The tariffs don't seem to be working:
"Trump's tariffs were intended to reduce the US trade deficit, but the
deficit has surged again in 2026, driven in part by rising semiconductor
imports."
[10-02]:
New York Times pushes Trumpian lies on the economy: "Biden's economic
team emphasized measurable gains in wages, employment, and investment,
while Trump's economic claims have repeatedly conflicted with the available
data."
[10-07]:
Under Trump, foreigners are ripping us off more than ever: Trade deficit
jumps in August: "The US trade deficit hit $105.6 billion in August
as importers stocked up ahead of Trump's tariffs."
[10-10]:
The Trump economy: AI bubble and beyond: "Under Trump, job growth
and real wages have weakened while investment and consumer spending
increaseingly depend on the AI boom and rising stock prices. The
economy's outlook hinges on whether AI delivers the promised productivity
gains or the bubble bursts." Well, the bubble doesn't just depend on those
productivity gains; it also depends on the companies ability to capture
the savings, which is to say it depends on how effective the companies
are at reducing the value they deliver to customers toward the point of
indifference. On the other hand, the social value of AI increases in
making it as ubiquitous as possible, which is to say cheap, or free.
Given that AI is basically data, and data is highly scalable, that
seems bound to happen. So how can the bubble survive? That's where
the politics comes in.
[10-14]:
Trump's not so hot economy: China's growth far outpaces US:
"China's economy was already larger than the United States' —
and it is growing faster too."
[10-16]:
Trumpflation is here! "Make no mistake: The current bout of inflation
we are dealing with is all due to Trump."
[10-23]:
The rich are awful people, let me count the ways: "Billionaires are
using their control of major news outlets and social media platforms to
advance their political agendas, threatening democracy. Teforms to
Section 230 and public support for local journalism could help reduce
their influence."
[10-24]:
Medicare for All can be simple: "Medicare for All could expand access
to health care while reducing administrative costs and prescription drug
prices. Replacing patent monopolies with public funding for medical
research could further lower costs and improve access to treatment."
Of course, this has been obvious for decades, during which the share
of GDP going to the health care industry has increased from 10% to
20%.
[10-27]:
Could Trump's global warming hoax explain the cost-of-living paradox?
"Homeowner's insurance costs have surged far faster than overall inflation,
potentially helping explain the gap between weak consumer sentiment and
standard measures of well-being." The higher insurance costs go, the more
people will be tempted to risk being un- or under-insured. Loans are
usually secured by property values, which are protected by insurance,
so loans will become riskier and/or more expensive. The same thing is
also true for businesses. I think we're fast approaching a catastrophic
insurance crisis. The only way to manage it is likely to be government,
in which case it will make a big difference whether government is run
by the people who want to serve the public or the current crowd, which
just sees government as a confidence scam to line their own pockets.
[10-28]:
Anthropic promises to send the market for anti-virus software
booming: "Anthropic's IPO filing highlights how advanced AI
could empower hackers, expand ransomware attacks, and drive up
cybersecurity costs for businesses and governments." If this is
true, I suspect the costs could be geometric: we're in an era
where defense costs much more than offense, because defense has
to protect against everything, while offense just has to find
one weak spot. In this world, the only solution is to dissuade
or disincentivize would-be attackers from proceeding.
[10-31]:
China's AI bubble burst: will this be another export to the United
States? "China's AI stocks have plunged 40 percent, offering a
warning to US investors about the risks of inflated tech valuations.
The crash also highlights how Chinese companies are producing competitive
AI models at a fraction of the cost of US competitors, raising questions
about the sustainability of US tech spending."
Markus Schneider [10-20]:
US inequalilty is getting worse in ways you might not expect:
"Some policies enacted more recently appear to be accelerating this
trend."
Gary Sernovitz [10-29]:
How can sports teams possibly be worth this much? "The aren't good
businesses. They don't make much money. And yet, American franchise
valuations keep growing and growing." It's basically because rich
people are too rich, and can pretty safely bet that other richer
people will come along eventually to appreciate their investments.
Meanwhile, they're good for the ego.
Technology (Including AI):
Jill Lepore [09-21]:
Is AI above the law? "Our legal system isn't ready for machines that
act on their own."
Bess Levin [09-29]:
Anthropic warns AI may kill us all in $2 trillion IPO pitch.
Benjamin Hart [10-06]:
'I don't think we're all f***ed anymore': Interview with Kevin Roose,
author of several books (and podcasts, etc.), most recently The AGI
Chronicles: The Inside Story of the Race to Create an Artificial
Superintelligence.
Sarah Jones [10-09]:
Anthropic's God Complex: "The company is courting religious leaders
in an effort to make Claude 'good.' What exactly does that mean?"
Cory Doctorow [10-29]:
Is there life after AI? Cory Doctorow thinks so.: An interview,
talking "about the internet, whether machines are conscious, why
copyright maximalism won't save us from ChatGPT, and why workers
still have a chance to shape what comes next." I'll have to go back
over this more carefully, but for now, let me recommend his book,
The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI.
Climate and Environment:
Media:
- The Social Media: a movie by Aaron Sorkin:
Regular Columnists
Sometimes an interesting columnist writes often enough on a range
of topics that it makes sense to collect their work in one place,
rather than scatter it about (especially if they cover a range of
topics).
Jeffrey St Clair:
[10-02]:
Roaming Charges: "Lots of Very Good Wars!". Of course, there are
no such wars, and anyone who even for a moment thinks differently
needs their head examined. For instance, Barack Obama squandered
whatever credibility he got for opposing Bush's Iraq War by calling
Afghanistan "the right war" and escalating it. St Clair cites a
tweet with this Obama quote: "What people are starved for at the
moment is the ability to tell a moral and ethical story about how
we live together in this moment." St Clair misses the point when
he snarks: "who remains gullible enough to take moral advice from
the Deporter-in-Chief, who droned American citizens and their
kids?" One of Obama's great failings was his tendency to think
all he had to do was to tell a good story, helping people feel
good about themselves, regardless of what their government was
actually doing in the world (which under Obama was near exactly
the same as it was under Bush). In doing so, he extended the
political savvy of Reagan (building on Nixon and extending to
Clinton) in flattering Americans into accept a fantasy world
they had no control over, and that was no longer accountable to
them. By the time Obama was done, many Americans were so starved
for honesty that they were willing to try Trump's candor instead
— possibly because by they they had lost any moral compass.
(Susan Nieman does a good job of explaining why in Call It
Evil.)
[10-15]:
Gaza Diary: Where are you now, beautiful world? Starts with the
violent attack on American photojournalist Heidi Levine by Israeli
settlers, under the watchful eye of the IDF. Most of the news here
is actually from the West Bank, where settlers have accelerated
their attacks on Palestinians, especially during the olive harvest.
+ Adam Johnson: "The Atlantic, supposed beacon of free speech and
liberal principles, has published 30+ articles on Hasan Piker and zero
about Israel's unprecedented killing of 230+ journalists in Gaza. Some
are saying it's because it's run by a former volunteer IDF prison
guard, but who's to say. The Atlantic employs about 900 variations of
Jonathan Chait and I don't think it's because the market is
organically demanding even more scoldy, bad-faith ideological
disciplining of the left. I suspect this has more to do with their
billionaire owner [Laurene Powell Jobs, widow of Steve Jobs] and her
investment portfolio [the Emerson Collective]."
+ There have been at least 13 attacks on mosques in the Occupied
Territories of the West Bank and East Jerusalem this year, including
one this week when Israeli settlers set fire to a mosque outside of
Jerusalem.
[10-16]:
Roaming Charges: Ain't but one way out.
[10-30]:
Roaming Charges: The anal stage of US politics: Starts by quoting
Marquis de Sade on the "Président," then zeroes in ours:
Donald Trump seems to have reached that transcendent state of personal
satori, where he is liberated from all inhibitions, political and
psychological. His true persona has been unleashed out on the road, at
one pit-stop rally after another.
Trump seems not to care — perhaps he doesn't even notice
— that the once-packed auditoriums have dwindled to the point
where giant curtains don't cover the sections of empty seats. The
rousing receptions have been groans and baffled silences, as he
rambles on and on about his own peculiar obsessions. He riffs on Nicki
Minaj's ass and Arnold Palmer's penis. He brags over and over again
about being the only president to have taken and passed (without
missing a question) "a very difficult" cognitive test, three times!
Even though his recent performances would suggest otherwise.
He drops strange hints about his declining health. He showed up to
one rally with a bruise on his left eye, leaving some to wonder
whether Meiania belted him or Natalie smacked him with her portable
printer.
He indulges in his lusty fantasies on the musculature of the male
anatomy, using a sitting US senator as a case study. He spins sadistic
stories of violence, murder and torture. He enjoys the theater of
cruelty, though not Artuad's kind. He often sounds like he's narrating
a slasher film.
You can follow the link for an example of the latter: it's sick
and gruesome. He continues:
More and more of Trump's speeches have devolved into mere glossolalia
(aka, grunts, groans, belches, wheezes and episodes of gurgling
aphasia), which will be interpreted by the most devoted members of his
cult as him speaking in the Divine Tongue. But most, I suspect, will
see it as evidence of a mind unraveling in real time.
Trump seems to have embraced his own weirdness, a weirdness that
has gone pathological. He is the Buffoon-in-Chief and his presidency
is our national opéra bouffe with a soundtrack by Lee Greenwood and
the Village People.
What is the point of his ravings? Often there is none, except his
own gratification. . . .
In the end, Trump replaced neoliberalism with neo-narcissism. His
economic strategy is unabashed self-enrichment for him and his
cronies. Though look out if you were a crony who made out better than
he did. Trump has no friends, only collaborators and
co-conspirators. He's never really trusted anyone, not even his sons
and accountants. He trusts NDAs, not the people whom he forces to sign
them.
So, he celebrates his own malfeasance. Trump wallows in the aroma
of his own mess. In the Anal Stage of US politics, it's a thin line
between self-love and self-loathing. One oozes seamlessly into the
other.
Trump's personal wealth has swelled by $3.3 billion since retaking
office. He may be America's first self-dealing president. He's turned
the White House into his own gift shop. Contra Obama, it looks less
like a Cheesecake Factory than Michael Jackson's Neverland
Ranch. Interior design as an infantilism. . . .
Trump believes the Supreme Court has given him the green light to
do whatever he wants without legal consequences. And he may be
right. He can trade on inside information. He can manipulate the
markets to his advantage. He can cheat on his taxes. He can shake down
white-collar criminals for pardons. He can accept jumbo jetliners
from a foreign government with ties to terrorists. He can reward
purchasers of his memecoins with private meetings, even foreign
nationals with dealings before the federal government. He can build
monuments to himself and deface those of his predecessors. He can
target his enemies with revenge prosecutions. All without, he
believes, legal consequences. The disruptor agenda of 2015 has
shriveled away. All that's left is the cashing in.
Other items:
+ Since the start of the Iran war, US residents have paid $147 billion
more in fuel prices (about $1,100 for each US household). Much of this
was pocketed as profits (not costs) by the oil companies, which made
$130 billion in profits. For comparison, last year the 50 top US oil
and gas companies reported less than $47 billion in profits.
+ In the run-up to Halloween, candy prices are up by 15% due to the
escalating costs of cocoa and sugar.
+ The average monthly premiums for the most popular types of ACA
plans will increase by 11% in 2027. This comes on top of the 30% in
2026, a consequence of the Trump administration's gutting of subsidies
for ObamaCare.
+ Greenland's ice sheet, the world's largest, has shrunk for the
30th year in a row. From August 2025 to August 2026, it lost 135
billion tons of ice.
Miscellaneous Pieces
The following articles are more/less in order published, although
some authors may have collected pieces, and some entries may have
related articles underneath.
Max B Sawicky [10-30]:
Socialists need our own foreign policy agenda: "As socialists
expand our footprint in Congress, we will need to articulate a
distinctive agenda for US foreign policy — a vision different
from both the wanton imperialism of MAGA and the feckless imperialism
of mainstream liberals." I should just bookmark this for future
reference, and move on. I identify as a leftist, but not especially
as a socialist. (The only time I've identified as a socialist was
when a cousin pointed asked whether I'm a Republican or a Democrat.
She responded, "So you're a Democrat!" I could have accepted that,
but wanted to make a distinction, which she saw as no difference.)
I think of my ideas as more rooted in anarchism, but that's because
I'm looking for an understanding that rejects power relations. A
pull quote here says: "Socialists would at the very least place a
high bar before any proposals for US military intervention." While
a "high bar" would be better than recent US presidents have set,
I question whether there is any criterion that justifies that sort
of belligerence. I think Netanyahu is uniquely evil, but I don't
favor any military action by anyone to "take him out." I'd also,
based on overwhelming experience, put the US at the head of a list
of countries that can never be trusted to do any such thing.
Another pull quote is just a cliché. Two links for further reading
on leftist strategizing are for subscribers only. My bottom line
is that you don't have to be a socialist to understand that war is
wrong and should always be opposed. And if you think you're a
socialist but make exceptions for war, what good are you?
End Matter
Books: Multiple reviews are grouped under book.
Music:
Other media:
Obituaries: I had been using the New York Times, but
they're giving me aggravation these days, so I've switched over to
Wikipedia
October, also
November),
which is probably better anyway. Roughly speaking, since my last
report on
September 30:
John Anderson, 71, country singer-songwriter. I've graded 14 of
his albums
here (4 A-list).
[10-21]
Robert X Cringely, 73, tech journalist. I've read his book,
Accidental Empires: How the Boys of Silicon Valley Make Their
Millions, Battle Foreign Competition, and Still Can't Get a
Date. [10-03]
Dennis Hastert, 84, US House (R-IL 1987-2007), House Speaker
(1999-2007), resigned due to a sexual abuse scandal (students
from when Hastert was a high school wrestling coach), was later
convicted of bank fraud, but only served a few months in prison;
as Speaker, his "majority of the majority" rule helped the
Republican right gain veto power over anything their often
slim majorities could do. [10-03]:
Some other names I recognize:
-
Roxana Amed, 63, Argentine jazz singer. [10-25]
-
Juan Atkins, 64, techno music producer. [10-31]
-
Jim Bakker, 86, American televangelist. [10-05]
-
Mike Ditka, 86, Chicago Bears NFL coach. [10-09]
-
Dolores Huerta, 96, United Farm Workers labor leader. [10-28]
-
Freddie Jackson, 69, r&b singer. [10-05]
-
Peggy King, 96, jazz singer and actress. [10-25]
-
Jerry Koosman, 83, MLB pitcher (1967-85), mostly New York Mets,
222-209. [11-01]
-
Sam McDowell, MLB pitcher (1961-75), mostly Cleveland, 141-134
led AL in strikeouts 5 times (also in walks 5 times, and wild pitches
3). [10-05]
-
William Nordhaus, 85, economist. [10-30]
-
Joe Romm, 66, author on climate change and fossil fuels. One
of his books (2010) refers to himself as "America's Fiercest
Climate Blogger." [09-14]
-
Eva Marie Saint, 102, actress. [10-06]
-
Susan Saint James, 80, actress. [10-26]
-
Elke Sommer, 85, actress. [10-28]
-
Patrick Stewart, 86, actor. [10-28]
-
Chris Wickham, 76, British historian of the Middle Ages. [10-09]
Ryan Cooper
[10-14]:
After a chart of UK auto sales from September 2025-2026, showing:
battery-electric +36.3%, plug-in hybrid +55.7%, hybrid −4.2%,
petrol −6.7%, diesel +11.5% (but only 4.0% share).
Boy Trump fucked the American auto industry. First he yanks their EV
subsidies, leading them to slash production and write off tens of
billions in investment, then he jacks up the price of oil by 50%,
leading to skyrocketing EV demand going almost entirely to China
because GM et al left the market.
-
Arun Gupta: Long Facebook critique of Naomi Klein, starting: "If
you want to look at how bad left analysis of poltical-economy has
become watch Naomi Klein's interview on the BCC where at the end she
discusses the AI bubble." Gupta seems to agree that there is an AI
bubble, that it will pop, and that in doing so it will wipe out at
least several trillions of dollars of equity. So the argument is
about size and resilience. He also agrees that opposing data centers
is good, but expects it to fail, as data centers can be put anywhere.
He compares it to the fight against fracking, which had little success
despite being much more of a localized issue. I should research Gupta
further. I doubt this dispute is properly aligned.
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