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Sunday, April 30, 2017
Weekend Roundup
One-hundred days after Trump became President of the United States,
about the best you can say is that he could have done even worse than
he did. People make fun of him for only appointing a few dozen of the
thousand-plus presidential appointees, but he's hit most of the top
positions, including one Supreme Court justice, and he's picked some
of the worst nominees imaginable -- in fact, a few way beyond anything
rational fears imagined. But one of his worst picks, former General
Michael Flynn as National Security Director, has already imploded,
and another notorious one, Chief Strategist Steve Bannon, looks like
he's been consigned to the dog house.
Despite having Republican congressional majorities, Trump has yet
to pass any major legislation -- although he's proposed some, and/or
bought into Paul Ryan's even more demented schemes. So thus far the
main thing Trump has done has been to sign executive orders -- dozens
of the things, nearly all aimed at undoing executive orders Obama had
started signing once he realized he wasn't going to get any help from
the Republican-controlled Congress. While Trump's orders are truly
disturbing, that's not so much what they do -- even the ones that
aren't promptly blocked by the courts -- as what they reveal about
the administration's mentality (or lack thereof).
Trump has also had a relatively free hand when it comes to foreign
policy -- especially the prerogatives that Congress has granted the
president to bomb other countries. His first acts were to escalate
American involvement in Yemen, although he's followed that up with
attacks against America's usual targets in the Middle East: Syria,
Iraq, and Libya. But while nothing good ever comes from America
flexing its military muscles in the Middle East, a more dangerous
scenario is unfolding with North Korea, with both sides threatening
pre-emptive attacks in response to the other's alleged provocations.
By insisting on an ever-more-constricting regime of sanctions, the
US has cornered and wounded North Korea, while North Korea has
developed both offensive and defensive weapons to such a point
that an American attack would be very costly (especially for our
ostensible allies in South Korea).
There are many reasons to worry about Trump's ability to handle
this crisis. There's little evidence that he understands the risks,
or even the history. On the other hand, he's spent eight years
lambasting Obama for being indecisive and weak, so he's come into
office wanting to look decisive and strong. Moreover, when he
ordered an ineffective cruise missile attack on a Syrian air base
he was broadly applauded -- a dangerous precedent for someone so
fickle. Maybe he has people who will restrain him from ordering a
similar attack on Korea, but he often resembles the "mad man" Nixon
only feigned at. Nor does Kim Jong Un inspire much confidence as a
well-grounded, rational leader (although see
Andrei Lankov: Kim Jong Un Is a Survivor, Not a Madman).
First, some 100-day reviews:
Sasha Abramsky: Trump's First 100 Days: Workers Get Pummeled, People
Fight Back
Jill Abramson/Kate Aronoff/Moustafa Bayoumi/Steven W Thrasher: 'Will
we survive 1,361 more days?': Our panel's verdict on Trump's first
100 days: I especially take exception to Bayoumi's "If this doesn't
kill us, it'll make us stronger." I'm afraid I've fallen into the habit
of referring to predators (as in "predatory capitalism"), but an older
term is perhaps more apt: parasites. Well-evolved parasites mastered
the knack of draining without killing you, and victims of parasites
rarely come out stronger.
Peter Dreier: Relax, Donald: After 100 Days, You've Already Done So
Much
Bridgette Dunlap: After 100 Days of Trump, America's Gotten Corruption
Fatigue
Jonathan Freedland: The lesson from Donald Trump's first 100 days:
resistance is not futile
Will Kane: This land is your land: American reflections on Trump's
first 100 days
Gary Legum: Donald Trump's administration after 100 days: A second-rate
salesman surrounded by con men and losers
Ran Lenz/Booth Gunter: 100 Days in Trump's America: From Southern
Poverty Law Center, focus on "white nationalists" -- a key part of the
Trump entourage, although I doubt they're very influential.
Nancy LeTourneau: 100 Days, 100 Horrors: Kinda schematic, but
consider she was too lazy to read the critical Clinton campaign book
Shattered before writing an article about how she couldn't
bother to read it
(Why
I'm Not Interested in Being "Shattered" -- by the way, I checked
the
link to Kevin Drum she described as "a good job of challenging
the book's assertion that Clinton ran a particularly horrible campaign"
and found no compelling data or argument, just: "My horseback guess
is that when you put it all together, she was about average as a
candidate and her campaign was about average as a campaign").
Jim Newell: Trump's Biggest Mistake of His First 100 Days Was Embracing
Paul Ryan's Cartoonishly Plutocratic Agenda: Retitled "Trump Could
Have Broken the Democratic Party." The idea is that had Trump stuck to
his populist program -- had he actually followed through and promoted
American jobs while safeguarding the safety net and backing away from
the foreign entanglements that have saddled us with wars and refugees --
he would break through the party divisions and become singularly popular.
Still, that was never going to happen: the Republican Party these days
doesn't allow that sort of heterodoxy, so he gave up any claim to
independent thought when he joined. Admittedly, he thinks so little
that wasn't much of a sacrifice. He thinks so little he didn't have
a better idea anyway. So it didn't take long for Republicans to work
out a satisfactory modus vivendi: they get him to front their agenda,
and he and his family get their graft and perks. That's all he ever
cared about in the first place.
Charles Pierce: The 100 Days: Who Can Stop an Unfit President*?
Pierce has picked up the habit of adding an asterisk every time he
refers to Trump as president, something those of you who don't remember
Ford Frick may have trouble parsing. He focuses on the transcript of
Trump's recent AP interview with its dozens of "(unintelligible)"
notations, inserted for sections that don't even rise to the level
of "[sic]." Casey Quinlan read the same interview, and concluded:
Donald Trump doesn't know anything about the health care bill he's
pushing.
Ryan Koronowski: Trump broke 80 promises in 100 days
William Rivers Pitt: Trump, the GOP and the 100-Day Dump Truck
Wreck
Daniel Politi: Trump's 100-Day Speech Mimics His Presidency: Rambling,
Lies, and Egomania
William Saletan: You Don't Have to Hate Donald Trump to See He Is Bad
at His Job: Well, maybe not hate, but you do have to be able to
look at him critically (or skeptically), and if you have that skill
set you probably didn't care for him even before he got elected. The
author is one of our most notorious political centrists, so after
the jump he retitled his article "The Moderate's Case Against Trump."
It's probably worth extracting his ten points -- note that there is
much more detail in the article and the links -- even if some are
things that only a "moderate" would think he promised, much less to
hold him to:
- He promised to fight for working people against the establishment.
He hasn't.
- He said he would repeal Obamacare and replace it with something
better. He has done neither.
- He promised to strengthen our borders and "get smart" about keeping
out terrorists. He hasn't.
- He said he would stand up to our enemies and competitors. He hasn't.
- He ran against the national debt. Now he's running it up.
- He promised to work for "the forgotten man and woman." Instead,
he has focused on himself.
- He promised to make America great. Instead, he has isolated and
weakened us.
- He said he would "drain the swamp." He hasn't.
- He preached "America First." But he has put his friends' business
interests before the national interest.
- He said he would honor the military. Instead, he has disparaged
it.
Of course, most of his supporters are still convinced that his
shortcomings are the fault of insidious liberal elites continuing
to manipulate the system despite his election. It's not like they
let facts or reason get in the way of voting for him in the first
place.
Matthew Sheffield: Polling at the 100-day mark shows President Trump's
policies are widely unpopular
Tessa Stuart: 100 WTF Moments From Trump's First 100 Days
Stephem M Walt: The Worst Mistake of Trump's First 100 Days:
Plenty to choose from, but Walt says Asia, and I'd narrow that down to
Korea.
Matthew Yglesias: Donald Trump's first 100 days have been a moneymaking
success story: "He's getting what he cares about."
Trump isn't failing. He and his family appear to be making money hand
over fist. It's a spectacle the likes of which we've never seen in the
United States, and while it may end in disaster for the Trumps someday,
for now it shows no real sign of failure.
Some more scattered links this week in Trump world:
Rosa Brooks: Donald Trump Is America's Experiment in Having No
Government: That's an amusing, if somewhat facetious, way of
putting it, but ever since Reagan made his little joke about the
most terrifying words in the language being "I'm from the government,
and I'm here to help" Republicans have been flirting with destroying
the organization which underpins law, order, and all private wealth.
And although he's out to cut some parts of government, and to makes
others completely unproductive, it's not really "no government" that
he's pursuing. What he really wants to do is get rid of the "of, by,
and for the people" part.
Aviva Chomsky: Clinton and Obama Laid the Groundwork for Donald Trump's
War on Immigrants
William Greider: It's Groundhog Day in Washington, With Trump Peddling
the Same Old Reaganite Snake Oil: Trump's tax cuts for the rich,
err, tax reform, program.
Fred Kaplan: A Short Bus Tide to Nowhere: So Trump organized a
bus trip for 100 Senators "to the White House to tell them things
they already know about North Korea." Kaplan seems to think that
all the bluster and bluff ultimately signifies nothing:
In recent days, Trump has sent an aircraft carrier battle group and
a guided-missile submarine toward North Korea's shores. Vice President
Mike Pence has gone to the Demilitarized Zone and squinted through the
binoculars at the North Korean guards, so they can see his resolve.
Pence also declared, "The era of 'strategic patience'" -- President
Obama's policy of containment, as opposed to action, toward North
Korea -- "is over." . . .
This may be, in the end, a pragmatic acknowledgment of the realities
at hand, but it is no way to run a foreign policy. You don't issue
warnings and ultimatums, luring friends and foes to believe that you
might really use military force, possibly as a way of compelling them
to solve the problem themselves -- and then back off and say you'll
deal with it the way it's always been dealt with, somehow, at some
point. In the high-decibel run-up to this anti-climax, Trump has once
again shown these same friends and foes that they shouldn't pay attention
to anything he says -- that he doesn't necessarily mean it, that he and
his threats and his promises are not to be taken seriously.
On the other hand, there's a small chance that Trump and/or Kim
will blunder into something that kills millions of people and leaves
indelible scars, simply because they can't distinguish fantasies
from reality.
Sarah Leonard: You Are Now Paying Internet Companies to Sell Your
Browsing History to Advertisers: Thanks to a repeal of FCC
privacy rules signed by Trump.
Caitlin MacNeal: Trump to Appoint Anti-Abortion Leader Charmaine
Yoest to Post at HHS: Actually, she's been bouncing back and
forth between Republican administrations, campaigns, and right-wing
think tanks since she got her start in the Reagan administration.
Chris Mooney/Juliet Eilperin: EPA website removes climate science site
from public view after two decades
Michael Paarlberg: How would Donald Trump's tax plan benefit him?
Let us count the ways; also
Bess Levin: Donald Trump Stands to Make Millions Off His Own Tax
Plan.
Marcelo Rochabran/Jessica Huseman: Former Director of Anti-Immigration
Group Set to Be Named Ombundsman at US Immigration Agency: Another
candidate for Trump's most inappropriate nomination ever.
Matt Shulman: At NRA Conference, Trump Bathes Audience in Conservative
Shout-Outs: I suppose at some point in its distant past, the NRA
was just a lobby group of conservation-minded hunting devotees, a little
backward-looking but basically harmless. Then they were taken over by
the gun industry and jumped onto the law-and-order bandwagon, trying
to stampede terrified city folk to the gun shops with the pitch that
the only way to hold back the tidal wave of crime was by being armed --
and conveniently they tore down the legal barriers against criminals
obtaining guns. But now they're basically just an extreme right-wing
political cult, way beyond reasoning. In this atmosphere, the few
politicians who aren't intrinsically loathed by them can venture
into their den and throw them some red meat and hope to rally their
support. Democrats, even those who've long given up on any political
prospect of limiting gun proliferation, still aren't welcome, because
they've never been able to bridge the increasing chasm of gun lunacy.
But here Trump is, not because he's ever needed or wanted a gun but
because he's as fundamentally wacko as they are. And if you take them
seriously, not as a hobby group but as a political cult, consider:
Heather Digby Parton: Could the NRA's Wayne LaPierre Talk Trump Into a Violent War on the Left?.
Matthew Rosza: This week in Donald Trump's conflicts of interest: Who
says you can't cash in on public office?
Matt Taibbi: Man Trump Named to Fix Mortgage Markest Figured in Infamous
Financial Crisis Episode: Craig S. Phillips, formerly of Morgan
Stanley (head of their Asset-Backed Securities division). "More foxes
for more henhouses. Welcome to the Trump era."
Also a few links less directly tied to Trump, though sometimes still
to America's bout of political insanity:
Amanda Erickson: Turkey just banned Wikipedia, labeling it a 'national
security threat'
Thomas Frank: The Democrats' Davos ideology won't win back the
midwest: Like Frank, I have a soft spot for the midwest -- its
farms still productive even as the small towns and factories have
decayed and been depopulated. Still, the Democrats' problem isn't
regional. It's about class, something the Democrats regard as taboo.
Nore are they attracted to "Davos ideology" -- just Davos money, or
any money flexible enough to support a party which seeks to be all
things to all people while never really satisfying anyone. If they
ever want to come back, they have to settle on some vision they can
campaign on and deliver -- something that, if not revolution a la
Bernie, at least makes spreads the wealth Davos promises much more
broadly and equitably. Meanwhile, they're vulnerable to critiques
like this one:
Cornel West: The Democrats delivered one thing in the past 100 days:
disappointment; and
Trevor Timm: Everyone loves Bernie Sanders. Except, it seems, the
Democratic party.
Edward Helmore: Whole Foods Is Tanking -- High-Priced Luxury Foods Don't
Jibe With Our Times: I don't see much evidence that the analysis is
valid. In times of increasing inequality, there's certainly a niche
market selling high-priced food to the wealthy, and there's plenty of
evidence of that. Last couple times I was in New York I saw relatively
new high-end food stores everywhere. And we've had several, including
a Whole Foods, open here in the last couple years. Fresh Market closed,
but less for lack of customers than some corporate decision to reduce
their distribution area. Whole Foods hangs on -- my impression is with
fewer customers, but having gone there several times and walked out
empty-handed I rarely bother. Sure, their prices are a big part of
the problem, but I hardly ever find anything there I want, much less
that I can't find cheaper elsewhere. I really lamented the loss of
Fresh Market, but I could care less if these guys go under.
Amy Renee Leiker: More than 400 guns stolen from autos in Wichita
since 2015: A rather shocking number, I thought, when I read
this in our local paper -- especially given how cheap and easy it
is to legally buy a gun in this town. Seems to be a nationwide trend:
Brian Freskos: Guns Are Stolen in America Up to Once Every Minute.
Owners Who Leave Their Weapons in Cars Make It Easy for Thieves.
Conor Lynch: Obama's whopping Wall Street payday: Not a freat look
for the Democratic Party brand: After raising $60 million in
book advances, Obama "agreed to give a speech in September for the
Wall Street investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald. His fee will be
$400,000." Stephen Colbert's
comment: "Hillary wasn't able to continue Obama's legacy -- but
at least Obama was able to continue hers." Their interchangeability
may have once seemed like a political plus but is starting to look
like a curse. The more buckraking Obama does, the more tarnished he
will look to those of us who can't fathom their rarefied world, and
the easier it will be for Republicans to tar them. As Lynch writes:
As the Trump administration's recently unveiled tax plan reminds us,
the Republican Party is and always will be committed to serving
corporations and the billionaire class. Yet this hasn't stopped
Republicans from effectively portraying their Democratic opponents
as a bunch of snobby, out-of-touch elites over the past 30 years or
so. According to a recent Washington Post survey, this rhetoric has
paid off: Only 28 percent of respondents believed that the Democratic
Party is "in touch with the concerns of most people in the United
States."
David Marcus: Marxism With Soul: Review of a new collection of
essays (Modernism in the Street: A Life and Times in Essays)
by the late Marshall Berman.
Jonathan Martin: At a 'Unity' Stop in Nebraska, Democrats Find Anything
But: An old friend of mine linked to this and tweeted: "Anyone
surprised that Bernie-O don't care about a woman's right to choose,
when it comes right down to it? Not me!" I'd be surprised if there
was any basis for this charge, but that would require several leaps
of imagination beyond even what the article claims. The back story
is that Sanders and Keith Ellison campaigned for Democrat Heath
Mello running for mayor of Omaha, and were attacked by the head
of NARAL Pro-Choice America because in Nebraska's state legislature
some years ago Mello had voted for several anti-abortion bills.
For more background on Mello, see
DD Guttenplan: Why Was Heath Mello Thrown Under the Bus? The
upshot is that Mello had moved away from his early anti-abortion
stance, much like Hillary Clinton's VP pick, Tim Kaine, had done.
Even if he hadn't, it's not like I've never supported a Democrat
I didn't see eye-to-eye with. It wouldn't bother me if NARAL, as
a single-issue lobby, endorsed a Republican candidate with a much
better track record on abortion, but those are few and far between
out here, and as I understand it local pro-choice people are fine
with Mello -- so who's NARAL trying to impress? I suspect that's
the anti-populist faction of the national party, which could hardly
care less about losing in Nebraska but regards Sanders as a threat.
(Remember that the DCCC didn't lift a finger to help a pro-Sanders
Democrat run for Congress here in Kansas, even though he had an
impeccable pro-choice record which featured heavily in Republican
hate ads.) And it's yet another leap of imagination to imply that
the reason Sanders supports Mello has anything to do with his lack
of interest in abortion rights.
DD Guttenplan: Why Was Heath Mello Thrown Under the Bus?: I've
seen several complaints from Hillary Democrats about Bernie Sanders
supporting Heath Mello's campaign for mayor of Omaha, Nebraska. The
charge is that Mello is anti-choice
Steve Phillips: Democrats Can Retake the House in 2018 Without Converting
a Single Trump Voter: The trick is mobilizing their base, while Trump
voters get bored or lazy or disenchanted: "there are 23 Republican
incumbents in congressional districts that were won by Hillary Clinton
in November. There are another five seats where Clinton came within 2
percent of winning." Phillips is author of Brown Is the New White:
How the Demographic Revolution Has Created a New American Majority,
so one of those guys who thinks Democrats can ride a demographic
backlash against Republican racism without actually having to come
up with populist positions. That strikes me as unlikely until they
establish some credibility, which was something the Clinton-Kaine
ticket had little of in 2016. Along these lines, see the John Judis
interview with Ruy Teixeira, an early proponent of The Emerging
Democratic Majority,
Why the Left Will (Eventually) Triumph. He attributes Trump's
win to "the declining group, the white non-college voters," who
suddenly lunged away from the Democrats in 2016. Asked why:
They do not have any faith that the Democrats share their values and
are going to deliver a better life for them and their kids, and I
think Hillary Clinton was a very efficient bearer of that meme.
Whether she wanted to or not, the message she sent to these voters
is that you are really not that important and I don't take your
problems seriously, and frankly I don't have much to offer you.
And that's despite the fact that her economic program and policies
would have actually been very good for these people. There was a
study of campaign advertising in 2016 that showed Hillary outspent
Trump significantly and that almost none of her advertising was about
what she would actually do. Almost all of it was about how he was a
bad dude.
Voters were fed up with stagnation and with the Democrats and they
turned to someone who thought could blow up the system. The way the
Democrats and the left could mitigate that problem is to show these
voters that they take their problems seriously and have their interests
in mind, and could improve their lives.
Matthew Rosza: Sam Brownback pushed for concealed carry in Kansas -- now
the governor wants to spend $24 million to ban concealed weapons from
hospitals: The 2013 law was written to make it prohibitively expensive
for any institution to exclude guns from its premises. Turns out that
includes psychiatric hospitals, and turns out Brownback finally decided
that wasn't such a great idea. Of course, it doesn't help that Brownback's
Laffer-inspired tax scheme has forced across-the-board spending cuts
while leaving Kansas in a huge fiscal hole.
Joe Sexton/Rachel Glickhouse: We're Investigating Hate Across the US.
There's No Shortage of Work. Also:
Ryan Katz: Hate Crime Law Results in Few Convictions and Lots of
Disappointment.
Clive Thompson: Gerrymandering Has a Solution After All. It's Called
Math
Started this Saturday afternoon (the intro), and the hits just kept
on coming.
Saturday, April 29, 2017
Streamnotes (April 29)
Pick up text from
here.
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Book Roundup
I haven't done a Book Roundup since
August 21, 2017, so I should have about six months worth of books
saved up. I don't, but managed to quickly bag my limit (40 per post),
and I'm far from done, so will likely follow this up with a second
(and probably third) part before long. I posted four of these in 2016,
five in 2015, three in 2014, five in 2013, four in 2012, six in 2011.
The main purpose is to keep myself abreast of what's being published,
at least in my main areas of interest -- politics, economics, and
history -- although I sometimes stray (albeit almost never to literature,
a luxury indulgence I haven't had time for in many years).
This whole series has been plagued by long breaks then sudden
flurries of research, usually resulting in clusters of 2-3-4 closely
spaced posts. At this point I have about thirty more notes written
up, and I'm nowhere near caught up. But perhaps my methodology isn't
up to snuff. I usually start with my Amazon recommendations then
click on various "related" books, but that approach has lately been
yielding diminishing returns. (I wonder if their algorithm's slipped
or maybe it's becoming more corrupt -- it is, after all, a form of
advertising -- or my own data has gotten confused by buying way too
many cookbooks.) In the past I've supplmented this by collecting
lists at bookstores and libraries, but I hardly ever frequent them
anymore.
The other thing that's undercutting my ability to pull forty notes
together is that a while back I started adding uncommented notes at
the end of posts. At first I was thinking of books that might be worth
knowing about but which I didn't have anything non-obvious to add to.
One source of these are public figures like Mikhail Gorbachev, Olivier
Blanchard, and Sheldon Whitehouse -- I almost includes Elizabeth Warren
but decided instead to make a point on Middle Class. Then there are
books that don't seem that promising, and books that would just elicit
comments similar to past books (the latest Robert D Kaplan has moved
into that category. But almost instantly that gave me an out for books
I might have written about but don't feel like digging into at the
moment. And, as usual, I've grouped some related books under one I
wrote about -- not necessarily the best (how would I know?) but the
one that got me going.
I have thirty more books in my scratch file, and will continue to
collect them for a few more days, so expect a follow up post sooner
rather than later (hopefully with more paperbacks; for some reason
they're exceptionally hard to find just using Amazon). Given how long
it's been, I'll note that I've read (or at least started) five of
these books (Peter Frase, James Galbraith on Greece, Wenonah Hauter,
Gail Pellett, and Matt Taibbi), have a couple more on the shelf (Dean
Baker, the other Galbraith, Bernie Sanders), and plan on ordering a
couple more (JVP, John W Dower, maybe Pankaj Mishra). Also, Laura's
played the audio of Shattered, so I've picked up some of
that, too. (Should be required reading for anyone who thought the
Clinton machine had any credibility left 24 years after the populist
promises of 1992 -- or for that matter any mechanical skills. I'm
not sure whether I can exempt myself, inasmuch as, despite quite a
bit of awareness to the contrary, I never doubted that Hillary
could have been elected in 2016, nor that she would helm a much
less obnoxious administration than the one we got with Trump.)
Jonathan Allen/Arnie Parnes: Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton's
Doomed Campaign (2017, Crown): Purports to offer inside dirt on
Clinton's failed presidential campaign. Of course, had she won we'd read
this differently: perhaps as a triumph over adversity, or maybe just as
a vindication for democracy, showing that the people could still see past
the shortcomings of the candidate. On the other hand, the fact that she
lost, and lost to so unpopular and despicable a candidate as Donald Trump,
turns this into a scab you want to pick at -- in the end she lost because
too many people hated her more than they feared him, and while that wasn't
wholly her fault, she was far from faultless.
Carol Anderson: White Rage: The Unspoken Truth of Our
Racial Divide (2016, Bloomsbury USA): Flips the tables on
complaints of "black rage" in response to recent police shootings
of unarmed blacks to point out the long history of intemperate
rage and resistance of whites at every advance of civil rights
since the Thirteenth Amendment abolished slavery.
Dean Baker: Rigged: How Globalization and the Rules of the
Modern Economy Were Structured to Make the Rich Richer
(paperback, 2016, Center for Economic and Policy Research): How
various rules and policies increase inequality, and how different
rules could reduce the concentration of wealth. Book available
free online as a PDF
or ebook.
James Brennan: Against Democracy (2016, Princeton
University Press): Philosopher, argues that democracy is inefficient
and often misguided, mostly because it pretends that people who don't
know shit are entitled to make decisions about how everything is run.
Brennan argues for a "epistocracy" -- rule by a small number of people
who have qualified by taking rigorous tests (developed no doubt by the
epistocracy). Sure, maybe those properly qualified could settle their
differences by voting, but the process could just as well be narrowed
to ever smaller (more qualified) elites until it achieves the ultimate
efficiency of dictatorship. Lots of problems with this: one is that
rulers quickly develop interests that run counter to public interests,
like self-perpetuation. For all its flaws and corruptions, democracy
at least gives lip service to the notion that government serves all
(or at least most) of the people, and provides remedies when leaders
get out of hand. Winston Churchill famously said that democracy was
the worst possible form of government, except for the rest. I suspect
what he really appreciated about democracy was that it allowed the
voters to periodically take leave of him without having to sever his
head. Brennan is reportedly writing books Against Politics
and cowriting one called Global Justice as Global Freedom: Why
Global Libertarianism Is the Humane Solution to World Poverty.
Now if only he can come up with a definition of libertarianism that
doesn't suspiciously resemble feudalism.
Noam Chomsky: Requiem for the American Dream: 10 Principles
of Concentration of Wealth & Power (paperback, 2017,
Seven Stories Press): Derived from a documentary film made mostly
of interviews with Chomsky. Principles (from chapter titles): 1.
reduce democracy; 2. shape ideology; 3. redesign the economy; 4.
shift the burden; 5. attack solidarity; 6. run the regulators; 7.
engineer elections; 8. keep the rabble in line; 9. manufacture
consent; 10. marginalize the population. That needs some fleshing
out, but this is probably a fairly succinct primer on an important
issue.
Tyler Cowen: The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest
for the American Dream (2017, St Martin's Press): How much
more proof do you need that "the dream is dead" than that this
right-wing hack should come along, lecturing how stupid you were
to have ever fallen for the idea in the first place? It may help
to point out here that what American Dream always meant was the
notion that prosperity should be widely shared -- within the grasp
of practically everyone (aka the Middle Class, which is to say the
condition of sufficient equality where virtually no one is so poor
they cannot share in the nation's increasing prosperity). On the
other hand, Cowen's resignation to the oligarchy has less to do
with insight and vision than with who signs his checks. Books like
this must make the rich feel inevitable and invincible.
Katherine J Cramer: The Politics of Resentment: Rural
Consciousness in Wisconsin and the Rise of Scott Walker
(paperback, 2016, University of Chicago Press): After 2016, when
Wisconsin voted down Russ Feingold's Senate run and went with
Trump for president, after three statewide wins for weaselly
governor Walker, you have to admit that Republicans have had
remarkable success at capturing Wisconsin -- the subject here.
Christopher de Bellaigue: The Islamic Enlightenment: The
Struggle Between Faith and Reason, 1798 to Modern Times
(2017, Liveright): The start date was when Napoleon invaded Egypt,
an event more often remembered as the first salvo of European
dominance of the Middle East). This deals with the spread of (and
reaction to) cultural and intellectual ideas -- what others have
called modernism -- from Europe to the intellectual centers of
Islam (Cairo, Istanbul, and Tehran).
John W Dower: The Violent American Century: War and Terror
Since World War II (paperback, 2017, Haymarket Books): Perhaps
our most important historian of Japanese-American relations both during
and after WWII, Dower took an interest in Bush's Iraq War schemes when
warmongers cited the US occupation of Japan and Germany as successful
models for what the Bush administration could do in Iraq. He pointed
out many ways in which Iraq was different, but also stressed how the
US had changed in ways that made us less fit. I expect a big part of
this book to expand on those insights (although possibly not as much
as his 2010 book, Cultures of War: Pearl Harbor, Hiroshima, 9-11,
Iraq.)
Peter Frase: Four Futures: Life After Capitalism
(paperback, 2016, Verso): Speculative post-capitalist futurology
plotting out broad options based on two axes based on distribution
of wealth in a world of plenty or scarcity. Frase calls these options
communism, rentism, socialism, and exterminism. Written before last
year's election, which suddenly tilted the odds toward the later.
James K Galbraith: Inequality: What Everyone Needs to Know
(paperback, 2016, Oxford University Press): Galbraith's Inequality
and Instability: A Study of the World Economy Just Before the Great
Crisis (2012, Oxford University Press), turned out to be a dry
compendium of research, meant for specialists, but this primer should
be clear and compelling. He did, after all, write two of the most
important (and quite accessible) political-economic books of the
last decade: The Predator State: How Conservatives Abandoned the
Free Market and Why Liberals Should Too (2008), and The End
of Normal: The Great Crisis and the Future of Growth (2014).
James K Galbraith: Welcome to the Poisoned Chalice: The
Destruction of Greece and the Future of Europe (2016, Yale
University Press): America's best economist offers a view of the
Euro crisis, informed by having worked as an advisor to the Syriza
government in Greece. No nation suffered (or continues to suffer)
more than Greece for the inflexibility of the Euro system and its
rigid control by German bankers.
Anne Garrels: Putin Country: A Journey Into the Real Russia
(2016, Farrar Straus and Giroux): Before jumping to conclusions about
Russia's president, perhaps a good idea to look at Russia itself. This
focuses on Chelyabinsk, a city deep in Siberia best known as one of
the centers of the Soviet Union's nuclear weapons program. Garrels is
an NPR correspondent who spent several years in occupied Baghdad -- see
Naked in Baghdad: The Iraq War and the Aftermath as Seen by NPR's
Correspondent Ann Garrels (2003; paperback, 2004, Picador). Other
recent books on Russia and/or Putin (aside from Satter, which I treat
separately): Charles Clover: Black Wind, White Snow: The Rise of
Russia's New Nationalism (2016, Yale University Press); Karen
Dawiska: Putin's Kleptocracy: Who Owns Russia? (2014; paperback,
2015, Simon & Schuster); Steven Lee Myers: The New Tsar: The
Rise and Reign of Vladimir Putin (2015, Knopf; paperback, 2016,
Vintage Books); Mikhail Zygar: All the Kremlin's Men: Inside the
Court of Vladimir Putin (2016, Public Affairs).
Mark Hannah: The Best "Worst President": What the Right Gets
Wrong About Barack Obama (2016, Dey Street Books): As Obama's
second term comes to a close, it's tempting to start looking at his
legacy, which Hannah views through the peculiar prism of the most
ungrounded, counterfactual attacks any president has had to suffer.
Still, villification of political opponents is old hat in America,
even if now it seems more unhinged than ever. The other part of the
problem with Obama is that he hasn't clearly changed much, but he
also has this idea that small incremental changes will have larger
long-term consequences, and those are hard, perhaps impossible, to
accurately gauge now. I suspect that Hannah is trying to claim those
changes now, and I don't know that he's not right to do so. On the
other hand, Trump is frantically trying to reverse as much of Obama's
legacy as possible -- something Obama's focus on small changes makes
all the easier.
Wenonah Hauter: Frackopoly: The Battle for the Future of Energy
and the Environment (2016, New Press): US petroleum production
had been declining ever since Hubbert's Peak was hit in 1969, but at
least in the short term new technologies like hydraulic fracturing has
made it possible to recover more oil and to open up substantial amounts
of natural gas trapped in shale deposits. On the other hand, all this
new production adds to the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,
and fracking introduces new environmental problems -- so much so that
opposition to it has become a potent political movement. Hauter herself
heads an organization called Food & Water Watch, and previously
wrote Foodopoly: The Battle Over the Future of Food and Farming in
America (paperback, 2014, New Press).
Chris Hayes: A Colony in a Nation (2017, WW Norton):
A look at race relations, keyed off the shooting in Ferguson, MO,
expanding on the theme that there remain a managed colony of black
people in America, separate and very different from the concept of
an egalitarian nation commonly experienced (at least the lip-service)
by whites. Hayes previous book, Twilight of the Elites: America
After Meritocracy, was one of the most insightful, accessible,
and powerful books on increasing inequality.
Richard Heinberg/David Fridley: Our Renewable Future: Laying
the Path for One Hundred Percent Clean Energy (paperback, 2016,
Island Press): Heinberg has written a number of books on the limits
of basing our energy needs on oil, starting with The Party's Over:
Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies (2003) up to Snake
Oil: How Fracking's False Promise of Plenty Imperils Our Future
(2013), and he's generally been a pretty pessimistic sort, one book
even titled The End of Growth: Adapting to Our New Economic Reality
(2011). On the other hand, the cost of renewable energy sources has
been plumeting (especially solar cells), opening up the possibility of
transitioning to renewables with relatively little disruption (except,
of course, to fossil fuel companies). Related: Lester R Brown: The
Great Transition: Shifting From Fossil Fuels to Solar and Wind Energy
(paperback, 2015, WW Norton); Gretchen Bakke: The Grid: The Fraying
Wires Between Americans and Our Energy Future (2016, Bloomsbury
USA).
Arlie Russell Hochschild: Strangers in Their Own Land
(2016, New Press): Sociologist sets out to explore "a stronghold of
the conservative right" in Louisiana, finding "lives ripped apart by
stagnant wages, a loss of home, an elusive American dream," a context
for trying to understand their self-defeating political choices. Made
a list of "6 books to understand Trump's win," compiled by people who
probably don't understand it themselves. Also on that list: J.D. Vance:
Hillbilly Elegy: A Memoir of Family and Culture in Crisis (2016,
Harper).
Jewish Voice for Peace: On Anti-semitism: Solidarity and the
Struggle for Justice in Palestine (paperback, 2017, Haymarket
Books): Essay collection probing various aspects of the frequent charge
that advocating peace and justice in Israel/Palestine is anti-semitic.
JVP has been an important group in America in the campaign to end the
Occupation precisely because their activism is rooted in common Jewish
values, which has put them in a uniquely authoritative position to
dispute this canard.
Robert P Jones: The End of White Christian America
(2016, Simon & Schuster): Head of something called the Public
Religion Research Institute argues that since the 1990s White
Christians have both demographically and culturally become a
minority in America. Not sure what he does with this insight, but
but it does correspond to many Republicans losing grip not just on
power but on reality -- as you'd expect, it's a question that only
matters to people wrapped up in White Christian identity, especially
those nostalgic for an America that honored and privileged their
prejudices.
John B Judis: The Populist Explosion: How the Great Recession
Transformed American and European Politics (paperback, 2016,
Columbia Global Reports): Short (184 pp) and topical overview of what
passes for populism both on the right and the left, both in Europe
and America. It takes a peculiar perspective to see all those stances
as related. Even shorter: Jan-Werner Müller: What Is Populism?
(2016, University of Pennsylvania Press); also: Benjamin Moffitt:
The Global Rise of Populism: Performance, Political Style, and
Representation (2016, Stanford University Press).
Sarah Leonard/Bhaskar Sunkara, eds: The Future We Want: Radical
Ideas for the New Century (paperback, 2016, Metropolitan Books):
Editors associated with The Nation and Jacobin collect
some essays to sketch out "a stirring blueprint for American equality,"
starting with the recognition that the present system is an oligarchy.
They imagine finance without Wall Street, full employment achieved by
limiting work hours, and many other things.
Pankaj Mishra: Age of Anger: A History of the Present
(2017, Farrar Straus and Giroux): Mishra has written several books on
how various Asian intellectuals reacted to modernism, especially given
how Europeans presented it wrapped up in self-serving imperialism --
a much trickier subject than figuring out why so many westerners are
so full of rage as their world of myth slips out of any illusion of
their control. Nor would he ever stop at the West, unlike chroniclers
of "populism," because he knows anger circles the world, taking all
sorts of form.
Cathy O'Neil: Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data
Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy (2016, Crown):
Former Wall Street quant, defected to the Occupy Movement and now
writes a blog as mathbabe. The "big data" she writes about
is mostly used by businesses to target sales pitches, to qualify
mortgages and loans, and other things that effectively discriminate
against the poor or statistical analogs, not least by warping their
experiences in self-perpetuating ways (she talks about "siloing"
people which strikes me as an apt metaphor, especially since in
my part of the country silos are often death traps). Of course,
government also uses "big data" and while I wouldn't say they're
up to no good, they too often aren't doing you any favors with
their own siloing. I'm not so sure the math itself is at fault,
but we'd have to turn the power relationships around to give it
a chance -- e.g., collect data about everything public on the
market and give consumers tools to access it in a consistent and
even-handed manner. As it is, "big data" is becoming an increasingly
effective tool for managing and manipulating people, one that helps
those in power exercise more power than ever.
Iain Overton: The Way of the Gun: A Bloody Journey Into the
World of Firearms (2016, Harper): Mostly on the US but Overton
journeys through twenty-five countries looking into many aspects of
gun proliferation -- "meets with ER doctors dealing with gun trauma,
SWAT team leaders, gang members, and weapons smugglers." No idea how
deep this goes, but it reflects critically enough that Amazon's gun
nuts have buried it in negative ratings -- they seem to be even more
vigilant than Israel's hasbaraists.
Gail Pellett: Forbidden Fruit: 1980 Beijing, a Memoir
(paperback, 2015, VanDam): A new left feminist I knew in St. Louis
before she moved on to Boston and New York, working in radio and
video (including NPR and Bill Moyers). Along the way she spent a
year at Radio Beijing as a "foreign language expert," "polishing"
news propaganda. That was 1980, post-Mao, a transitional period as
the party regime was starting to stabilize after the upheavals of
the Cultural Revolution and the Gang of Four -- interesting times,
as the old Chinese curse put it.
Elizabeth Rosenthal: An American Sickness: How Healthcare
Became Big Business and How You Can Take It Back (2017,
Penguin Books): With the health care industry sucking up close to
20% of America's GDP these days -- double from a couple decades
ago when the gold rush really accelerated with vulture capitalists
snapping up previously non-profit hospitals. This promises a big
picture look at how business is organized, how they subvert markets,
how they game both supply and demand sides, and how they grapple
with public policy which hopes to contain costs but is influenced
largely by lobbyist money.
Zachary Roth: The Great Suppression: Voting Rights,
Corporate Cash, and the Conservative Assault on Democracy
(2016, Crown): The 2010 sweep reinforced for Republicans the idea
that all they have to do to win is keep undesirable people from
voting. Since then, they've passed dozens of state laws to make
it harder for people to vote: this recounts those efforts, looks
at the right-wing money behind those campaigns. This is not just
an assault on democracy, it's an attempt at negation: it starts
with the Republians' assumption that their group is more worthy
than others, and follows that anything they can do to increase
their power is justified.
Bernie Sanders: Our Revolution: A Future to Believe In
(2016, Thomas Dunne): Came out post-election, recognizing that the
same platform would be relevant regardless of who won. And while we
all supported Hillary figuring she'd be slightly more aware of the
problems and slightly more amenable to real solutions, with Trump
in the White House and the Republicans controlling Congress (and oh
so much more), this looms as the only real way forward for anyone
who wants a fairer and less conflict-ridden society (even mainstream
Democrats should be supportive of that, given the alternative).
David Satter: The Less You Know, the Better You Sleep: Russia's
Road to Terror and Dictatorship Under Yeltsin and Putin (2016,
Yale University Press): Fourth book on Russia, all harshly critical,
so much so that the Russian government expelled him in 2013 as a
general nuissance. This new book seems to recapitulate and update
his previous ones: Age of Delirium: The Decline and Fall of the
Soviet Union (1996), Darkness at Dawn: The Rise of the Russian
Criminal State (2003), and It Was a Long Time Ago and It
Never Happened Anyway: Russia and the Communist Past (2007).
A quote from the second book: "Influenced by decades of mendacious
Soviet propaganda, [Russia's reformers] assumed that the initial
accumulation of capital in a market economy is almost always
criminal, and, as they were resolutely procapitalist, they found
it difficult to be strongly anticrime. . . . The combination of
social darwinism, economic determinism, and a tolerant attitude
toward crime prepared the young reformers to carry out a frontal
attack on the structures of the Soviet system without public
support or a framework of law." It's hard to overstate how much
social and economic damage their "reforms" did, nor to appreciate
how popular Putin became as the strong man who ushered in a new
era, both by winning back Chechnya and covering up Yeltsin's
corruption. Satter returns to the 1999 apartment bombings that
gave Putin his excuse for attacking Chechnya -- if true (and I
find them credible) a remarkably cruel and cynical turn. While
I worry that most anti-Putin fulminations are themselves cynical
efforts to relaunch the Cold War -- the lost love of the neocons,
Satter has a knack for making them make sense.
Ganesh Sitaraman: The Crisis of the Middle-Class Constitution:
Why Economic Inequality Threatens Our Republic (2017, Knopf):
Argues first that the US constitution was designed to counteract class
inequality -- in no small part because "compared to Europe and the
ancient world, America was a society of almost unprecedented equality,
and the founding generation saw this equality as essential for the
preservation of America's republic." Every expansion of democracy
since has been linked to putting the nation on a more equal footing,
so it's no surprise that the rise of oligarchy today is so eager to
limit the franchise, not to mention burying it under mountains of
money.
Timothy Snyder: On Tyrrany: Twenty Lessons From the Twentieth
Century (paperback, 2017, Tim Duggan): Historian, I know him
mostly from his late collaborations with Tony Judt, but he has two
major books on the Nazis and Eastern Europe, Bloodlands: Europe
Between Hitler and Stalin (2010) and Black Earth: The Holocaust
as History Warning (2015). His "warning" from the latter: "our
world is closer to Hitler's than we like to admit, and saving it
requires us to see the Holocaust as it was." This short (128 pp)
post-Trump book draws further ties between the genocidal "tyranny"
of the WWI era and our own times: another warning.
Andy Stern: Raising the Floor: How a Universal Basic Income
Can Renew Our Economy and Rebuild the American Dream (2016,
PublicAffairs): Former president of the SEIU, one of the few unions
which has grown in size since 2000, bucking trends that have been
driven by technology and politics. He recognizes that technology has
entered a phase where it's more likely to destroy jobs than to create
new ones (the main theme of James K Galbraith's The End of Normal:
The Great Crisis and the Future of Growth), and he recognizes
that this has been a major source of the growth of inequality, and
consequently an increasingly inequitable society. His basic income
scheme counters inequality while making technological trends less
disruptive. When I think along these lines, I tend to think of not
just recirculating cash into the hands of workers but also of giving
workers equity in the companies they work for, ultimately democratizing
the workplace. But for as far as it goes, a basic income is a good
idea. Other recent books along these lines: Rutger Bregman: Utopia
for Realists: The Case for a Universal Basic Income, Open Borders, and
a 15-Hour Workweek (paperback, 2016, The Correspondent); Philippe
Van Parijs/Yannick Vanderborght: Basic Income: A Radical Proposal
for a Free Society and a Sane Economy (2017, Harvard University
Press); and Nick Srnicek/Alex Williams: Inventing the Future:
Postcapitalism and a World Without Work (paperback, 2015, Verso).
Joseph E Stiglitz: The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens
the Future of Europe (2016, WW Norton): Probably the definitive
book on why the Euro has straightjacketed Europe's economy following
the 2008 financial meltdown. The idea behind the Euro was to extend
and simplify the Common Market with a common currency, but that market
was never integrated politically (like, say, the United States) so the
central bank, and effectively the single monetary policy, could be
effectively captured by German national interests. In pre-recession
years this helped fuel housing bubbles in southern Europe and Ireland,
which burst in 2008, but left those nations with particularly severe
debt overhangs, denominated in Euros so they couldn't compensate by
inflating their own currencies. Greece was hit hardest of all, partly
its own government's fault, and when the Greek people resisted by
electing a left-wing government, the Germans came down even harder,
dictating a crippling austerity regime. Stiglitz reviews all this
and offers several sensible ways out. If there's a fault it may be
that focuses on what is technocratically possible as opposed to the
politics that got us here and keep us from fixing it.
Matt Taibbi: Insane Clown President: Dispatches From the
2016 Circus (2017, Spiegel & Grau): Quickly patched
together from reports covering the election -- you know, the one
where it was absurd that Trump would win until the day he did,
giving the whole affair a certain whiplash. Still, Taibbi was
more sensitive to Trump's supporters and conscious of Hillary's
faults than most, so he helps even when he's not totally right.
But then he's always been sharp, which he proves here by quoting
20+ pages from his book on 2008 and making it seem as timely as
ever. By contrast, Maureen Dowd called her campaign journal The
Year of Voting Dangeously: The Derangement of American Politics
(2016, Twelve) -- borrowing her subtitle from Taibbi, whose 2008
book was The Great Derangement.
Michael Waldman: The Second Amendment: A Biography
(2014; paperback, 2015, Simon & Schuster): Two parts: the first
a history of the original debate surrounding the framing and adoption
of the second amendment ("the right to bear arms"); the second covers
the various Supreme Court rulings on the amendment, most recently ones
broadening the right of individuals to own firearms. Needless to say,
those were different debates and sets of issues. The original, I've
long felt, was a way of reserving to the states the option of starting
the Civil War, so became obsolete once that happened. Today the key
issue has more to do with the acceptability of violence for resolving
public disputes. Unfortunately, the federal government's practice of
imposing its will abroad through force of arms sets a bad example for
everyone under it, leading to all sorts of futile arms races, even
much legal ambiguity over when lethal force may or may not be used.
Elizabeth Warren: This Fight Is Our Fight: The Battle to Save
America's Middle Class (2017, Metropolitan Books): Originally
from Oklahoma, one of the few to clearly recognize what was happening
during the 2008 banking meltdown, the principle architect of a major
tool for ending the consumer abuses which contributed so much to that
debacle, acts which gave her a measure of fame from which she won a
US Senate seat from Massachusetts. All that plus her aggressive tone
against Trump in 2016 positions her to be a credible presidential
candidate in 2020, so figure this to be a position stake-out. That's
good enough for me, but I want to quibble about her Middle Class
usage. The Middle Class is not an entity that one can care for to
the exclusion of rich and poor. Rather, it is the effect you get
when the economic system is relatively equal -- when differences
between most people (blue collar and white collar, manual laborers
and professionals) are inconsequential, when all those people have
similar opportunities and intergenerational hopes. To get a Middle
Class you need institutions, both public and private (like unions),
and policies that equalize differences, primarily by leveling up
(you move poor people into the Middle Class by supporting them,
and you fold the relatively well-to-do back into the Middle Class
by reducing their intrinsic advantages). And that's basically what
progressive politicians like Warren mean when they say "Middle Class."
But the reason they say "Middle Class" instead of "equal" is that
they (and/or their target audience) have bought the right-wing's
propaganda that the poor are responsible for their own destitution,
usually because lack some essential character trait that the "Middle
Class" prides itself on. Secondly, "Middle Class" gives the Upper
Class a pass, a green light to keep on doing what they're doing --
such as using government as a tool to keep pulling away from the
rabble -- but at least "Middle Class" doesn't challenge them the
way old-fashioned Populism did. That comes in handy for politicians
who are still dependent on the rich for most of their funding.
J Kael Weston: The Mirror Test: America at War in Iraq and
Afghanistan (2016, Knopf): Former US State Department officer,
spent seven years in these wars, writes at great length (606 pp) on
the human cost of those wars, though possibly only to the Americans
who fought them -- a lot of looking in the mirror here. That may be
sufficiently damning, but is far from the whole story. And I have to
wonder how critical he can be about American intentions given how
long he kept trying to serve them.
James Q Whitman: Hitler's American Model: The United States
and the Making of Nazi Race Law (2017, Princeton Unversity
Press): Well before Hitler came to power, the US codified the set
of racial discrimination laws known as Jim Crow. It's pretty well
known that South Africa's Apartheid system was based on the American
model, but what about Nazi Germany's Nuremberg Laws? Yes and no: "the
ultimate, ugly irony that when Nazis rejected American practices, it
was sometimes not because they found them too enlightened, but too
harsh." Even so, the slope from discrimination to genocide turned
out to be much steeper in Germany, probably due to the extraordinary
pressures of fighting a loosing war. While interesting in itself,
a more interesting book would examine Nazi views of America's own
Lebensraum campaign -- the series of wars that drove Native Americans
off the land, making room for white settlers. Indeed, the US was
the pioneer for white settler colonies all around the world (most
recently Israel).
Other recent books merely noted:
Ryan Avent: The Wealth of Humans: Work, Power, and Status in the
Twenty-First Century (2016, St Martin's Press)
Olivier Blanchard/Raghuram G Rajan/Kenneth S Rogoff/Laurence H
Summers, eds: Progress and Confusion: The State of Macroeconomic
Policy (2016, MIT Press)
Derek Chollet: The Long Game: How Obama Defied Washington
and Redefined America's Role in the World (2016, Public
Affairs)
Angela Y Davis: Freedom Is a Constant Struggle: Ferguson,
Palestine, and the Foundations of a Movement (paperback,
2016, Haymarket Books)
Roxanne Dunbar-Ortiz: An Indigenous Peoples' History of the
United States (paperback, 2015, Beacon Press)
Michael Eric Dyson: Tears We Cannot Stop: A Serman to White
America (2017, St Martin's Press)
Mikhail Gorbachev: The New Russia (2016, Polity)
Pamela Haag: The Gunning of America: Business and the
Making of American Gun Culture (2016, Basic Books)
Jerry Kaplan: Humans Need Not Apply: A Guide to Wealth and
Work in the Age of Artificial Intelligence (2015, Yale
University Press)
Robert D Kaplan: Earning the Rockies: How Geography Shapes
America's Role in the World (2017, Random House)
Walter Laqueur: Putinism: Russia and Its Future With the
West (2015, Thomas Dunne)
Giles Merritt: Slippery Slope: Europe's Troubled Future
(2016, Oxford University Press)
Trevor Noah: Born a Crime: Stories From a South African
Childhood (2016, Spiegel & Grau)
Arkady Ostrovsky: The Invention of Russia: From Gorbachev's
Freedom to Putin's War (2016, Viking)
George Papaconstantinou: Game Over: The Inside Story of the
Greek Crisis (paperback, 2016, Create Space)
William J Perry: My Journey at the Nuclear Brink
(paperback, 2015, Stanford Security Studies)
Kenneth S Rogoff: The Curse of Cash (2016, Princeton
University Press)
Jeffrey D Sachs: The Age of Sustainable Development
(paperback, 2015, Columbia University Press)
Chris Smith: The Daily Show (The Book): An Oral History as
Told by Jon Stewart, the Correspondents, Staff and Guests
(2016, Grand Central Publishing)
Rebecca Solnit: The Mother of All Questions: Further Reports
From the Feminist Revolutions (paperback, 2017, Haymarket Books)
Sheldon Whitehouse: Captured: The Corporate Infiltation of
American Democracy (2017, New Press)
Jason Zinoman: Letterman: The Last Giant of Late Night
(2017, Harper)
Selected paperback reprints of books previously noted:
Mark Blyth: Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea
(2013; paperback, 2015, Oxford University Press)
Steven Brill: America's Bitter Pill: Money, Politics, Backroom
Deals, and the Fight to Fix Our Broken Healthcare System (2015;
paperback, 2015, Random House)
Noam Chomsky: Who Rules the World? (2016; paperback,
2017, Metropolitan Books): Essay collection.
Martin Ford: Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat
of a Jobless Future (2015; paperback, 2016, Basic Books)
Theda Skocpol/Vanessa Williamson: The Tea Party and the
Remaking of Republican Conservatism (2012; updated ed, paperback,
2016, Oxford University Press)
Monday, April 24, 2017
Music Week
Music: Current count 28064 [28033] rated (+31), 397 [401] unrated (-4).
Rated count up this week, probably because I didn't find nearly as
many A-list records as last week: the two I came up with got (I think)
three plays each, as did a couple of high HMs -- African River
came closest, although I wound up deciding it was a slightly uneven
follower of several better albums, starting with the band-naming (and
hugely recommended) Ekaya, and the Dawkins-Iyer record only had
one spot I kept tripping on. I did only give Idles -- currently number
three on Chris Monsen's
2017 favorites list -- one spin, finding myself more impressed
than interested. I haven't yet found his number two Harriet Tubman --
probably a download link in my mailbox -- and I wasn't that taken
with his top-rated Angles 9 album (although I liked their smaller
group Live in Coimbra and Live in Ljubljana discs),
and I've never rated anything by Martin Küchen less than B+(**).
A few more things I haven't heard down the list: Atomic, Lithics,
Priests, Led Bib (in the queue but temporarily lost), Cloud Nothings,
Necks.
Made a little more progress in the Jazz Guide compilation: 20th
Century up to 619 pages, 21st 372, so I'll probably his 1000 pages
sometime this week. Since last time I reported, that's up +9 and
+34, so at this point (Seamus Blake, 10% into "Jazz 80s") the latter
is growing four times as fast. I think I was just starting the file
last week, so some quick envelope math suggests I'll finish it in
another nine weeks (end of June), with 20th Century growing to 700
pages and the 21st to 778. After that it should be all post-2000
(aside from relatively small files for Latin and pop jazz).
The calendar says I should post April's Streamnotes file later
this week. Draft file is currently shorter than usual, especially
for new music (58 records, 94 total). So I imagine I'll scrounge
around for some scoops, but don't really expect to find much.
I also hope to do a book post sometime this week. I haven't done
one since
August 21, and a lot has happened since then. I will note that
I've started reading Gail Pellett's remarkable memoir of 1980, the
year she spent working as a "foreign expert" for Chinese radio.
I knew her back in St. Louis in the 1970s, so I'm recognizing some
things and I'm learning even more -- not least about her background,
which for some reason I never enquired into when I could.
Something else I should (but probably won't) do is to write up
some thoughts on Ian Kershaw's Fateful Choices -- ten moves
from 1940-41 that dramatically broadened the wars that started in
the late 1930s. The book would probably have been better had he
started earlier and included more on the earlier decisions that
led up to the war: Japan's decision to invade China in 1937,
Germany's to carve up Poland in 1939, the German-Russian pact
that allowed Germany into Poland, the Anglo-French decision to
declare war on Germany but not Russia over Poland. Of course,
those in turn should be backtracked: Japan's previous attack on
Manchuria in 1929, Italy's attacks on Ethiopia and Albania, the
mix of intervention and avowed neutrality over the Spanish Civil
War, and the so-called "appeasement policy" toward Germany.
Before that, of course, is the detritus of the first World War,
and before that you get the relatively late efforts at empire
building by Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States.
In many ways the best book on all this is Nicholson Baker's
Human Smoke -- at least he brings all these threads
together, albeit too schematically. One thing I learned there
was how artfully Franklin Roosevelt maneuvered Japan and Germany
into attacking, allowing him to enter the war with broad popular
support -- something most Americans weren't interested in until
it happened. Various other books I've read recently helped fill
in details: Kershaw, Ira Katznelson's Fear Itself, and
most of all James Bradley's The China Mirage. But Baker
still has the most important insight: that the only people who
tried to stop this cascade of bad choices were the pacifists,
not only because they were the ones who anticipated the disaster
to come, but because they were the ones most sensitive to the
injustices which preceded it. Well, also the people less adverse
to fighting who were later dismissed as "premature antifascists."
New records rated this week:
- Kevin Abstract: American Boyfriend: A Suburban Love Story (2016, Brockhampton): [r]: B+(*)
- Actress: AZD (2017, Ninja Tune): [r]: B+(*)<
- Antonio Adolfo: Hybrido: From Rio to Wayne Shorter (2016 [2017], AAM): [cd]: B
- Bardo Pond: Under the Pines (2017, Fire): [r]: B
- Bill Brovold & Jamie Saft: Serenity Knolls (2016 [2017], Rare Noise): [cdr]: B+(*)
- Ernest Dawkins New Horizons Ensemble: Transient Takes (2016 [2017], Malcom): [cd]: B+(***)
- Idles: Brutalism (2017, Bailey): [r]: B+(***)
- Khalid: American Teen (2017, Right Hand/RCA): [r]: A-
- Mike Longo Trio: Only Time Will Tell (2016 [2017], CAP): [cd]: B+(**)
- Robert McCarther: Stranger in Town (2016 [2017], Psalms 149 Music): [cd]: C+
- Ivo Perelman/Matthew Shipp: The Art of Perelman-Shipp, Volume 5: Rhea (2016 [2017], Leo): [cd]: A-
- Ivo Perelman/Matthew Shipp: The Art of Perelman-Shipp, Volume 6: Saturn (2016 [2017], Leo): [cd]: B+(***)
- Ivo Perelman/Matthew Shipp: The Art of Perelman-Shipp, Volume 7: Dione (2016 [2017], Leo): [cd]: B+(***)
- Michael Rabinowitz: Uncharted Waters (2017, Cats Paw): [cd]: B+(*)
- Rashad: #LevelUp (2017, Self Made): [r]:
Recent reissues, compilations, and vault discoveries rated this week:
- Abdullah Ibrahim: Ancient Africa (1973 [2017], Delmark/Sackville): [cd]: B+(**)
Old music rated this week:
- Jerry Bergonzi: Inside Out (1989 [1990], Red): [r]: B+(**)
- Stanley Cowell Trio: Departure #2 (1990, SteepleChase): [r]: B+(***)
- Stanley Cowell Trio: Live at Copenhagen Jazz House (1993 [1995], SteepleChase): [r]: B+(**)
- Stanley Cowell Quartet: Hear Me One (1996, SteepleChase): [r]: B+(**)
- Stanley Cowell: Are You Real? (2014, SteepleChase): [r]: B+(***)
- Abdullah Ibrahim: Duke Ellington Presents the Dollar Brand Trio (1963 [1997], Reprise Archives): [r]: B+(**)
- Dollar Brand/Abdullah Ibrahim Orchestra: African Space Program (1973 [2013], Enja): [r]: B
- Abdullah Ibrahim: Echoes From Africa (1979 [1987], Enja): [r]: B+(**)
- Abdullah Ibrahim: African Dawn (1982 [1987], Enja): [r]: B+(**)
- Abdullah Ibrahim & Ekaya: African River (1989, Enja): [r]: B+(***)
Unpacking: Found in the mail last week:
- Orchestra Baobab: Tribute to Ndiouga Dieng (Nonesuch/World Circuit)
- Jari Haapalainen Trio: Fusion Madness (Moserobie)
- Rebecca Hennessy's Fog Brass Band: Two Calls (self-released): May 19
- Chad Lefkowitz-Brown: Onward (self-released)
- Alex Maguire/Nikolas Skordas Duo: Ships and Shepherds (Slam, 2CD): May 19
- Yoko Miwa Trio: Pathways (Ocean Blue Tear Music): May 12
- Noertker's Moxie: Druidh Penumbrae (Edgetone)
- Eve Risser/Benjamin Duboc/Edward Perraud: En Corps/Generation (Dark Tree)
- Paul Tynan & Aaron Lington Bicoastal Collective: Chapter Five (OA2): May 19
Sunday, April 23, 2017
Weekend Roundup
We're approximately 100 days into the Trump administration, which
only leaves 1360 more days to go until he's gone -- assuming American
voters don't get even stupider along the way. If you've been hiding
in a cave somewhere, you might check out
David Remnick: A Hundred Days of Trump as a quick way of getting
up to speed, although Remnick's piece is long on style and short on
substance. If you're really masochistic you can dig up my Weekend
Roundups (and occasional Midweek Roundups) since January. Indeed, one
could write a whole book on Trump's first 100 days -- probably for
the first time since Franklin Roosevelt made that timespan historic
(see Adam Cohen's Nothing to Fear: FDR's Inner Circle and the
Hundred Days That Created Modern America), although in this
case the "accomplishments" are all negative, and the real damage
Trump has sown in this fertile period has (mostly) yet to play
itself out. As Bill McKibben notes, below, things that we do to
the environment now will continue to drive changes well into the
future. That's also true for society, culture, politics, and the
economy.
How much damage Trump ultimately does will depend on how
effectively the resistance (not just the Democrats, although they
have much to prove here) organizes and how coherently we can explain
and make people aware of what's so wrong with the Republican agenda.
One thing that has probably helped in this regard is that the false
dichotomy between "populist" Trump and "conservative" Republicans has
faded away -- Trump is still harshly anti-immigrant in all forms
(not just "illegals" but he's also turned against perfectly legal
H-1B visa holders), but everywhere else he's fallen into line with
orthodox (and often extremist) conservatives. This not only means
that Trump and the rest of the Republicans will share blame for
everything that breaks bad on their watch, it will force Democrats
to refashion their platform into one that counters those disasters.
We no longer have to argue what bad things might happen if hawks
run wild, if corporate moguls are freed of regulation, if the
courts are packed with right-wing ideologues, if any number of
previous hypotheticals happen, because we're going to see exactly
what happens. In fact, we're seeing it, faster than most of us
can really process it.
Some scattered links this week in the Trump World:
Robert L Borosage: The Stunning Disappearance of Candidate Trump:
It's arguable whether Trump's "economic populism" ever amounted to
anything that might actually help his white working class fans, but
he's so completely abandoned that part of his platform that we'll
never know. He's setting records for how quickly and how completely
he's breaking campaign promises. Wonder whether the Democrats will
call him on it?
Christina Cautenucci: What It Takes: "O'Reilly, Ailes, Cosby, Trump:
Three alleged sexual preditors found disgrace. A fourth became president.
What made the difference?"
David S Cohen: How Neil Gorsuch Will Make His Mark This Supreme Court
Term: Also, for instance,
Sophia Tesfaye: Neil Gorsuch's first Supreme Court vote clears the
way for Arkansas to begin its lethal injection spree.
Justin Elliott: Trump Is Hiring Lobbyists and Top Ethics Official Says
'There's No Transparency'
Tom Engelhardt: The Chameleon Presidency: Quotes Trump: "If you
look at what's happened over the last eight weeks and compare that
really to what's happened over the past eight years, you'll see
there's a tremendous difference, tremendous difference." Actually,
Trump doesn't seem to be capable of actually seeing either recent
history or today's news. His bombing missions in Syria, Afghanistan,
Iraq, Yemen, and Somalia don't even hint at a break with Obama --
they were all in the Pentagon playbook he inherited. Of course,
if he starts a nuclear conflagration in Korea, that would be his
own peculiar mark on history. But thus far his shift from Obama
in foreign policy (aka warmaking) is little different than the
shift from Kennedy to Johnson: as McGeorge Bundy put it, whereas
Kennedy wanted to be seen as making smart moves, Johnson preferred
to be seen as tough. Still, neither were as explicit or dramatic
about their needs as Obama ("don't do stupid shit") and Trump,
who seems eager to green light anything the Pentagon brass offers.
And Trump is so forthright about this it's almost as if he's hard
at work on his Nuremberg defense:
Above all, President Trump did one thing decisively. He empowered
a set of generals or retired generals -- James "Mad Dog" Mattis as
secretary of defense, H.R. McMaster as national security adviser,
and John Kelly as secretary of homeland security -- men already
deeply implicated in America's failing wars across the Greater
Middle East. Not being a details guy himself, he's then left them
to do their damnedest. "What I do is I authorize my military," he
told reporters recently. "We have given them total authorization
and that's what they're doing and, frankly, that's why they've
been so successful lately."
Successful? The explosions are bigger and the casualty reports
are up, but I haven't seen anything that suggests that he's moved
any of his wars one iota. Granted, his recklessness has gotten the
neocons to turn around and start singing his praises -- they had
been worried that he might actually have meant some of the things
he said on the campaign trail, like regrets over Bush's Iraq War
or his reluctance to get involved in Syria. Still, neither the
generals nor the neocons have a clue how to extricate themselves
from the wars they wade ever deeper into. Engelhardt speculates:
Here's the problem, though: there's a predictable element to all of
this and it doesn't work in Donald Trump's favor. America's forever
wars have now been pursued by these generals and others like them
for more than 15 years across a vast swath of the planet -- from
Pakistan to Libya (and ever deeper into Africa) -- and the chaos
of failing states, growing conflicts, and spreading terror movements
has been the result. There's no reason to believe that further
military action will, a decade and a half later, produce more
positive results.
Engelhardt seems to think Trump will eventually turn on his generals.
I think it's more likely that, like Johnson (or for that matter Truman),
he will find himself stuck, buried under his own hubris, unable to back
out or find any other solution.
Maggie Haberman/Glenn Thrush: Trump Reaches Beyond West Wing for
Counsel: His rogues gallery.
Dahlia Lithwick: Jeff Sessions Thinks Hawaii's Not a Real State. We
Shouldn't Be Surprised. Reminds me that the reason Hawaii became
the 50th state, waiting well past Alaska, was that southern Senators
filibustered to delay the likelihood of a non-white joining them in
the US Senate. Sessions is evidently still of that mindset.
Jonathan Marshall: Neocons Point Housebroken Trump at Iran:
Trump's latest bombing exploits in Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan have
only served to gin up the "real men go to Tehran" brigade. Also:
William Rivers Pitt: The Looming Neocon Invasion of Trumpland.
Josh Marshall: To Scare Dems, Trump Threatens to Light Himself on Fire:
Looks like we're in the midst of another round of government shutdown
extortion, where Republicans are holding Obamacare subsidies hostage,
hoping to trade them for Democratic support on funding the "big, beautiful
wall" that Trump originally expected Mexico to pay for. Evidently the
catch is that even though the Republicans control Congress funding for
the wall would have to break a Democratic filibuster (so 60 votes in
the Senate). This all seems pretty stupid: Obamacare is suddenly pretty
popular, polling on building that wall is currently 58-28% against, and
the most immediate effect of shutting down the government will be to
hold up Social Security checks.
Bill McKibben: The Planet Can't Stand This Presidency:
What Mr. Trump is trying to do to the planet's climate will play out
over geologic time as well. In fact, it's time itself that he's stealing
from us.
What I mean is, we have only a short window to deal with the climate
crisis or else we forever lose the chance to thwart truly catastrophic
heating. . . .
The effects will be felt not immediately but over decades and centuries
and millenniums. More ice will melt, and that will cut the planet's
reflectivity, amplifying the warming; more permafrost will thaw, and
that will push more methane into the atmosphere, trapping yet more heat.
The species that go extinct as a result of the warming won't mostly die
in the next four years, but they will die. The nations that will be
submerged won't sink beneath the waves on his watch, but they will
sink. No president will be able to claw back this time -- crucial time,
since we're right now breaking the back of the climate system.
We can hope other world leaders will pick up some of the slack. And
we can protest. But even when we vote him out of office, Trumpism will
persist, a dark stratum in the planet's geological history. In some
awful sense, his term could last forever.
This link picks up a number of other interesting pieces on the
environment.
Related:
Dave Levitan: The March for Science has a humble aim: restoring sanity;
David Suzuki: Rivers vanishing into thin air: this is what the climate
crisis looks like;
Michael T Klare: Climate change as genocide.
Leon Neyfakh: How Trump Will Dismantle Civil Rights Protections in
America: "The same way Bush did: by politicizing the DOJ."
Heather Digby Parton: Trump's First 100 Days: More Frightening, or More
Pathetic? Franklin Roosevelt's first 100 days were the benchmark,
but he came into office with a huge margin of support in Congress, and
a shocked and battered population that was willing to try anything. Plus
his bank holiday/fireside chat was probably the most brilliantly executed
act of any president ever. Trump had none of that going his way. In fact,
about all he actually did was to make some spectacularly bad appointments,
sign a bunch of executive orders (mostly countering Obama's executive
orders), meet with a few foreign leaders (often to embarrassing effect),
and blow up shit. So, yeah, both pathetic and terrifying.
Sarah Rawlins: Costs and Benefits of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments:
Could use some more political context, but clearly the positive payback
for the relatively small costs imposed by these regulations has been
huge -- they estimate $30.77 for every dollar spent. Of course, you
don't need that sort of ROI to justify doing something right, but this
is a pretty resounding answer for flacks who tell you we can't afford
to have cleaner air or water.
Nelson D Schwartz: Trump Saved Carrier Jobs. These Workers Weren't as
Lucky
Matthew Yglesias: Today's executive orders are the nail in the coffin
of Trump's economic populism: Well, it was starting to stink anyway.
For more (especially on "shadow banking"), see
Mike Konczal: Now Republicans want to undo the regulations that helped
consumers and stabilized banking.
Also a few links less directly tied to Trump, though sometimes still
to America's bout of political insanity:
Matt Apuzzo et al.: Comey Tried to Shield the FBI From Politics. Then
He Shaped an Election: Fairly in-depth reporting on Comey's political
ploy which did much to throw the election to Donald Trump.
But with polls showing Mrs. Clinton holding a comfortable lead, Mr.
Comey ended up plunging the F.B.I. into the molten center of a bitter
election. Fearing the backlash that would come if it were revealed
after the election that the F.B.I. had been investigating the next
president and had kept it a secret, Mr. Comey sent a letter informing
Congress that the case was reopened.
What he did not say was that the F.B.I. was also investigating the
campaign of Donald J. Trump. Just weeks before, Mr. Comey had declined
to answer a question from Congress about whether there was such an
investigation. Only in March, long after the election, did Mr. Comey
confirm that there was one.
John Cassidy: The Real Trump Agenda: Helping Big Business
Ira Chernus: It's Time to Resurrect the Counterculture Movement:
"The largest mobilization for progressive politics since the Vietnam
era offers a unique opportunity to go beyond simply treating symptoms
to start offering cures for the underlying illness." I'm not sure
I'd call that "counterculture" -- what I think of by that term has
perhaps been the deepest, broadest, and most persistent outgrowth
from the political and cultural upheaval of the late 1960s. Rather,
what we need to bring back is the New Left -- the political critique
of war, empire, the security state, sexism, racism, consumption, the
despoilment of the environment, and various related cultural mores --
only we need to bring back the Old Left focus on inequality and we
need to come up with a better solution for securing political gains.
I've long felt that the New Left was a huge success in changing
minds, but the intrinsic distrust of political organizations has
left those gains vulnerable to a right-wing counterattack focused
on securing narrow political power. The latter has in fact become
so pervasive we need a refresher course in basic principles, which
is I think where Chernus is heading.
Patrick Cockburn: America Should Start Exploring How to End All the Wars
It's Started
Paul Cohen: Could Leftist-Jean-Luc Mélenchon Win the French Presidency?
First round of France's presidential election is Tuesday, with centrist
Emmanuel Macron and "Thatcherite" François Fillon the fading establishment
candidates, Marine Le Pen on the far right, and Mélenchon "surging" from
the left. This gives you some background on the latter. As for the horse
race, see
Harry Enten: The French Election Is Way Too Close to Call: the chart
there shows Macron barely ahead of Le Pen, a couple points ahead of Fillon,
in turn barely ahead of Mélenchon -- who has the sole upward trajectory,
but it's mostly been at the expense of Socialist Party candidate Benoit
Hamon. Meanwhile,
Robert Mackey: Trump Hopes Paris Attack Boosts Le Pen, One Day After
Obama Calls Macron. Clearly, Americans have few if any qualms about
interfering in someone else's election. (As for Russian interests, well,
Le Pen-Putin friendship goes back a long way.)
[PS: Projected votes as of 4:13PM CDT: Macron 23.8%, Le Pen 21.7%,
Fillon 19.8%, Mélanchon 19.2%, Hamon 6.5%. So there will be a runoff
between Macron and Le Pen, with Macron heavily favored.]
Michael Hudson: Running Government Like a Business Is Bad for Citizens:
The latest idiot to express the cliché is Jared Kushner, although the
Trump administration is so weighted toward business résumés that it
was pretty much in the air (or should I say Kool Aid?). The idea is,
of course, ridiculous, even before we signed off on the notion that
the only reason behind business is to extract and return profits to
investors (something less obvious back in the days when companies
could afford loftier goals, like offering useful goods/services),
and before we forgot the idea of there being a public interest,
which includes providing services to people who have difficulty
getting by on their own. When asked for historical examples of
governments run like businesses, Hudson mentioned Russia under
Boris Yeltsin -- a kleptocracy run through the Kremlin. If Trump
admires Putin, that's probably why.
Mark Karlin: Israeli Government Is Petrified of the Boycott,
Divestment and Sanctions Movement: Interview with Rebecca
Vilkomerson, executive director of Jewish Voice for Peace and
editor of On Antisemitism: Solidarity and the Struggle for
Justice. I spent a couple days last week with Palestinian
civil rights lawyer
Jonathan Kuttab: he gave several presentations here in Kansas
in Mennonite churches in support of a BDS resolution they will be
voting on later this year, which is itself an indication of how
much progress BDS is making. (Another indication is that the Kansas
legislature is likely to pass a law prohibiting the state from
contracting with any companies which support BDS.) Last year's
resolution was tabled for fear it might seem anti-semitic, so
Kuttab reached out to JVP for support on that count, and they
arranged for Laura Tillem to join Kuttab (she started by reading
her
poem).
Meanwhile, you might note Richard Silverstein's recent posts:
Former Israeli Defense Minister Confirms Israeli Collaboration with ISIS in Syria;
Israel Criminalizes Palestinian Muslim Activism; and
Justice Department to Prosecute Israeli-American Teen Who Masterminded
Wave of Threats Against Jewish Institutions. The latter may have
been a prank, but it reminded me of the Lavon Affair (the most notorious
of Israeli "false flag" operations). With the alt-right providing cover,
Michael Kaydar's phone threats helped raise the profile of anti-semitism
in America, which played into the hands of anti-BDS hysterics. For a
reminder of what's actually happening in Israel/Palestine, it's worth
your while to check up every now and then on Kate's regular compendiums
of news reports. The latest is called
Settlers from Kushner family-funded community attack 3 Israeli grandmothers,
but that's only the lead story, with much more outrage following.
Paul Krugman: Why Don't All Jobs Matter? He asks the question, why
only focus on lost mining and manufacturing jobs (so dear to Trump voters,
if not necessarily to the boss-man himself), when we're also seeing major
job losses in sectors like department stores:
Over the weekend The Times Magazine published
a photographic essay on the decline of traditional retailers in the
face of internet competition. The pictures, contrasting "zombie malls"
largely emptied of tenants with giant warehouses holding inventory for
online sellers, were striking. The economic reality is pretty striking
too.
Consider what has happened to department stores. Even as Mr. Trump
was boasting about saving a few hundred jobs in manufacturing here and
there, Macy's announced plans to close 68 stores and lay off 10,000
workers. Sears, another iconic institution, has expressed "substantial
doubt" about its ability to stay in business.
Overall, department stores employ a third fewer people now than they
did in 2001. That's half a million traditional jobs gone -- about
eighteen times as many jobs as were lost in coal mining over the same
period.
Dean Baker's response:
Paul Krugman Gets Retail Wrong: They Are Not Very Good Jobs. Still,
Krugman's end-point is right on:
While we can't stop job losses from happening, we can limit the human
damage when they do happen. We can guarantee health care and adequate
retirement income for all. We can provide aid to the newly unemployed.
And we can act to keep the overall economy strong -- which means doing
things like investing in infrastructure and education, not cutting
taxes on rich people and hoping the benefits trickle down.
I recall Dani Rodrik, I think, arguing that the problem with free
trade wasn't trade -- it was the failure of some countries (e.g., the
United States) to recognize that trade deals inevitably have losers
as well as winners, and to help minimize the hurt imposed those who
lose out. Another bigger picture point is that these losses of retail
jobs aren't caused by lower demand; they're being driven by the more
efficient service that online retailers offer. As a society we could
just as well convert those efficiencies into fewer work hours, and
all be better off for that. But we don't, largely because politically
we insist that even the least productive workers toil at minimum wage
jobs while allowing companies to extract ever more hours from their
more productive employees.
Eric Margolis: What Would Korean War II Look Like? The illustration
is a nuclear mushroom cloud, and that's certainly within the realm of
possibility -- both sides possessing such weapons. The US, of course,
fears that North Korea might some day use their growing stock of atomic
warheads and long-range missiles, but the immediate danger is that the
US will precipitate such at attack with some arrogant ultimatum or more
overt act. The result would be awful messy: beyond the kill zone any
nuclear exchange would "cause clouds of lethal radiation and radioactive
dust to blanket Japan, South Korea and heavily industrialized northeast
China, including the capital, Beijing." (Actually, given that prevailing
winds blow east, the radioactive cloud wouldn't take long to blow over
America.) Even if both sides restrain themselves, North Korean artillery
aimed at Seoul threaten to turn the city (pop. 10 million) "into a sea
of fire." Presumably the US military could invade and conquer North Korea,
but the latter has a large conventional army and has long been obsessed
with preparing to repel an invasion. No one thinks it would be easy, or
painless. Margolis counters that "All this craziness would be ended if
the US signed a peace treat with North Korea ending the first Korean War
and opened up diplomatic and commercial relations." That hasn't happened
because Americans are petty and vindictive, still harboring a grudge over
their inability to rid Korea of Communism in the extraordinarily brutal
1950-53 war. And because neocons are so wrapped up in their own sense of
omnipotence they refuse to acknowledge that any other country might be
able to present a credible deterrence against American aggression. The
fact is that North Korea, like China and Russia (and probably Iran, even
without nukes) has one, and the only way to counter that is to decide
that the old war is over and that we're never going to restart it. You
don't have to like Kim Jong Un or his very strange, isolated and paranoid
country, to decide to stop hurting yourself and endangering the world --
which is really all Trump's Korea policy amounts to. You might even find
they become a bit more tolerable once you stop giving them so much reason
to be terrified.
Alao see:
Robert Dreyfuss: Trump's Terrifying North Korea Standoff;
Mike Whitney: The US Pushed North Korea to Build Nukes: Yes or No?;
Richard Wolffe: Donald Trump's 'armada' gaffe was dangerous buffoonery.
Sophia A McClennan: Bill O'Reilly Ruined the News: 10 Ways He and Fox
News Harassed Us All; also
Justin Peters: The All-Spin Zone.
Robert Parry: Why Not a Probe of 'Israel-gate'? After all, far
more than Russia, no other nation has so often or so profoundly tried
to influence American elections and political processes for its own
interests. This piece reviews a fair selection of the history, not
least Israel's 1980 efforts to defeat Jimmy Carter. Indeed, Israel's
influence has become so exalted that both Trump and Clinton prostrated
themselves publicly before AIPAC -- and who knows what they did behind
the closed doors of Israel-focused donors like Abelson and Sabin.
Margot Sanger-Katz: Bare Market: What Happens if Places Have No Obamacare
Insurers? Even though the ACA is basically a "safety net" for insurance
industry profits, the marketplace is failing -- mostly, I think, due to
concentration in the industry, but also because the ACA not only subsidizes
profits, it limits them. In Kansas, when I applied for Obamacare when it
opened for business, there were many plans, but only two providers, and
one of them was, frankly, worthless, so the much vaunted "choice" devolved
to a maze of deductible variations -- as usual, insurance company profits
depended mostly on their ability to dodge paying for anything. Now we're
finding some states (or counties within states) with even fewer choices --
potentially none. One way to fix this would be to throw even more money
at the insurance companies. Another would be to provide a "public option" --
a government guarantee which could compete with private plans. Or we could
bow to the inevitable and extend medicare and/or medicaid to undercut the
private insurance industry altogether. The problem is, any such solution
depends on a political will that Trump and the Republicans don't have and
can't muster, so the failure of Obamacare they've been predicting will
most likely be hastened by their own hands. Also by the author:
No, Obamacare Isn't in a 'Death Spiral', and
Trump's Choice on Obamacare: Sabotage or Co-opt? And from
Charles Pierce:
House Republicans Have a New Plan to Make Your Healthcare Worse.
Matt Taibbi: Yikes! New Behind-the-Scenes Book Brutalizes the Clinton
Campaign: Review of Jonathan Allen/Arnie Parnes: Shattered:
Inside Hillary Clinton's Doomed Campaign (Crown), a first draft
on what's already turned out to be a fateful slice of history. The
insider dirt ("sourced almost entirely to figures inside the Clinton
campaign") focuses on the mechanics of running the campaign, with
Taibbi singling out the vexing question of why she was running in
the first place:
The real protagonist of this book is a Washington political establishment
that has lost the ability to explain itself or its motives to people
outside the Beltway.
In fact, it shines through in the book that the voters' need to
understand why this or that person is running for office is viewed
in Washington as little more than an annoying problem.
In the Clinton run, that problem became such a millstone around
the neck of the campaign that staffers began to flirt with the idea
of sharing the uninspiring truth with voters. Stumped for months by
how to explain why their candidate wanted to be president, Clinton
staffers began toying with the idea of seeing how "Because it's her
turn" might fly as a public rallying cry.
The authors quote a campaign staffer explaining, "We were talking
to Democrats, who largely didn't think she was evil." But the number
of people who did think she was evil mushroomed beyond the cloistered
party ranks, and her campaign to continue a status quo that seemed to
work only for the donors she preferred to spend time with (especially
when wrapped up in vacuous clichés like "America's always been great")
offered nothing but negatives even to voters who Republicans would
only prey on. As I recall, back in 1992 when Bill Clinton first ran,
he made all sorts of populist promises. Hillary was doubly damned:
not only did she fail to deliver Bill's "man from Hope" shtick, she
started out handicapped by the legacy of his broken promises. (But
since he won, she probably counted that as an asset -- it certainly
did help introduce her to the powers he sold out to.)
One story in the book is about how Hillary scoured her 2008 campaign
email server for evidence of staffers who betrayed her, so this story
seems inevitable:
Emily Smith: Hillary camp scrambling to find out who leaked embarrassing
info.
Glenn Thrush, et al.: Trump Signs Order That Could Lead to Curbs on
Foreign Workers: Specifically, legal, documented workers under
the H-1B Visa program, which is widely used by American companies
to hire skilled technical workers (admittedly, at below open market
wages). Also see:
EA Crunden: Trump's crackdown on H-1B visas goes far beyond tech
workers; also
Max Bearak: Trump and Sessions plan to restrict highly skilled foreign
workers. Hyderabad says to bring it on -- the implication here is
that if companies can't hire foreign labor to work here, they'll send
the work to offshore firms.
Monday, April 17, 2017
Music Week
Music: Current count 28033 [28009] rated (+24), 401 [404] unrated (-3).
Lowest rated count February 27 (20), second lowest this year.
About the only excuse I can think of is that the relative bumper
crop of A- records took a lot of extra time -- even the ones on
Napster were more likely to get three than two spins, and the
Perelman-Shipp CDs have proven nearly impossible to rank or even
to sort out -- though they've been a constant pleasure to play.
I'll also note that my office space has turned into a horrible
mess, where the normally FIFO new jazz queue is now a teetering
pile. I need to do a lot of "spring cleaning" -- especially moving
trays of CDs to shelves, a fairly hideous task given deterioration
of my eyesight. Anyhow, my short-term workaround has been to play
old music on the computer, the selections suggested by wherever
I'm stuck in compiling my last fifteen years of jazz reviews into
two book files.
I'm at the stage where I'm going through the database files and
fishing the reviews out of a large text file. I just finished
Jazz (1960-70s), so
next one up is the even longer
Jazz (1980-90s), then
the really huge
Jazz (2000- ), plus
post-2000 vocalists, separate files for Latin and Pop Jazz, and
some scattered names I've filed elsewhere (Avant-Garde, Classical,
New Age, maybe Africa or Latin or Electronica?). The 20th Century
file is growing slowly now -- mostly records that came out before
I started writing seriously about jazz, plus some later reissues --
at 610 pages (271k words), but the 21st Century file is picking up
speed, with 338 pages (159k words).
Given how long the last database file took, I can't even imagine
when I'll be done (in the sense of finishing the compilation phase.
(August? October?) And I expect the result then will be terribly
redundant and shot full of holes -- certainly not something a real
publisher might take any interest in. To come up with something
useful I'd have to go back and take each artist in turn, write a
short bio and critical summary, and fill in a few holes. I might
also need to take less of a kitchen sink approach -- just focus on
"notable" (especially "recommended," maybe even "essential") albums
to cover up how much of the rest I never managed (or will manage)
to get to.
On other fronts,
Lee Rice Epstein has a nice piece on the late Arthur Blythe
(the star, by the way, of the Horace Tapscott album right/below).
I also got notes that Alan Holdsworth and Jay Geils died recently.
I had hopes of driving out to the
EMP Pop Conference in Seattle (April 20-23), but it's clear now
I'm not going to make it. Would have been a nice way to break out of
my winter rut, but I guess I'm stuck.
Not much more to say. Listening to more Stanley Cowell at the
moment. By the way, Cowell's debut album is on Napster as Travellin'
Man, but I went with the title of the LP I bought back in 1977
(like many old LPs it slipped my mind when I compiled my original
rated records list; glad to fill this one in).
New records rated this week:
- Jacob Collier: In My Room (2016, Membran): [r]: C+
- Larry Coryell, Barefoot Man: Sanpaku (2016, Purple Pyramid): [r]: B+(*)
- David Feldman: Horizonte (2016 [2017], self-released): [cd]: B+(*)
- Craig Finn: We All Want the Same Things (2017, Partisan): [r]: A-
- Gerry Gibbs & Thrasher People: Weather or Not (2016 [2017], Whaling City Sound): [cd/r]: B
- Rhiannon Giddens: Freedom Highway (2017, Nonesuch): [r]: B+(**)
- Ivo Perelman/Matthew Shipp: The Art of Perelman-Shipp, Volume 1: Titan (2016 [2017], Leo): [cd]: A-
- Ivo Perelman/Matthew Shipp: The Art of Perelman-Shipp, Volume 2: Tarvos (2016 [2017], Leo): [cd]: A-
- Ivo Perelman/Matthew Shipp: The Art of Perelman-Shipp, Volume 3: Pandora (2016 [2017], Leo): [cd]: A-
Old music rated this week:
- Stanley Cowell: Blues for the Viet Cong (1969 [1977], Arista/Freedom): [r]: A-
- Blood & Burger: Guitar Music (2002 [2003], Dernière Bande): [r]: B+(**)
- Red Records All Stars [Jerry Bergonzi/Bobby Watson/Victor Lewis/Kenny Barron/Curtis Lundy/David Finck]: Together Again for the First Time (1996 [1998], Red): [r]: B+(***)
- Horace Tapscott Quintet: The Giant Is Awakened (1969, Flying Dutchman): [r]: A-
- Charles Tyler Ensemble: Black Mysticism (1966, ESP-Disk): [r]: B+(***)
- Charles Tyler Ensemble: Eastern Man Alone (1967, ESP-Disk): [r]: B+(**)
- James Blood Ulmer: Revealing (1977 [1990], In+Out): [r]: A-
- James Blood Ulmer: Part Time (1983 [1984], Celluloid): [r]: B+(**)
- Bobby Watson: Live in Europe: Perpetual Groove (1983 [1984], Red): [r]: B+(***)
- Bobby Watson: Appointment in Milano (1985, Red): [r]: A-
- Bobby Watson & Tailor Made With Tokyo Leaders Big Band: Live at Someday in Tokyo (2000 [2001], Red): [r]: B+(*)
- Bobby Watson: The Gates BBQ Suite (2010, Lafiya Music): [r]: B+(**)
Unpacking: Found in the mail last week:
- Craig Fraedrich With Trilogy and Friends: All Through the Night (Summit)
- Mats Holmquist: Big Band Minimalism (Summit)
- Sarah Partridge: Bright Lights & Promises: Redefining Janis Ian (Origin)
- Cuong Vu 4-Tet: Ballet (Rare Noise): advance, April 28
Sunday, April 16, 2017
Weekend Roundup
After a long post on Saturday, I need to keep this one short, almost
schematic.
Saddened to hear of the death of Amy Durfee, 88, a neighbor of my
wife's when she was growing up in Oak Park, Michigan. Amy and Art
Durfee remained close friends of the family, people we saw every trip
we made to Detroit. I feel fortunate to have known them.
The big story this past week has been the Trump Administration's
attempt to show North Korea that when they get into a pissing contest
the US will not only stand up the challenges but will take the extra
step in showing itself to be more insanely belligerent. As best I
recall, even Nixon regarded his infamous "madman" ploy as something
of a joke -- a nuance Trump clearly is incapable of fathoming. So
far, it's been hard to argue that any of Trump's belligerence has
transgressed lines that Hillary Clinton was comfortable with, but
in Korea he could easily step out too far. This is probably something
to write a long post about. Indeed, I've written about Korea several
times, including a passage at the start of my memoir, given that I
was born the same week China entered the Korean War and turned an
American rout into a bloody stalemate. That was the beginning of
the end of America both as a global empire and as a nation that
could lay some claim to decent and honorable values. Korea was
where Americans learned to become the sore losers who invest so
much effort in bullying the world and are so unforgiving of any
offense. And here we are, sixty-six years later, still picking at
the scab of our past embarrassment.
Some scattered links this week in the Trumpiverse:
Robert Bateman: Why So Many Americans Support Deadly Aerial Warfare:
"It took decades of propaganda to get here." Last week's use of the
21,000 pound "Mother of All Bombs" signifies more as a propaganda coup
than for the 90 "ISIS fighters" it killed. The notion of "Victory Through
Airpower" goes way back, but what it mostly means today is that we can
punish our "enemies" at virtually no risk to ourselves. Removing that
risk helps strip away our inhibitions against bombardment, as does the
distance. Of course, it matters that one only attacks "enemies" that
don't have the capability to respond in kind. ISIS and the Taliban have
no airpower to speak of, and lately the US has been able to bomb Iraq
and Syria at will with no obvious repercussions (other than the stream
of bad press due to civilian casualties, but that rarely registers in
"the homeland"). One danger of listening to your own propaganda is a
false sense of confidence, which can lead to reckless provocations,
like Trump's macho bluff against North Korea.
Medea Benjamin: The "Mother of All Bombs" Is Big, Deadly -- and Won't
Lead to Peace: Actually, this feels like a publicity stunt, a way
to follow up on the gushing press Trump's cruise missile attack on
Syria generated. Benjamin doubts that MOAB is "a game changer," then
asks: "Will Trump drag us deeper into this endless war by granting
the US Afghan commander, Gen. John Nicholson, his request for several
thousand more troops?" What worries me more isn't that the US will
throw good troops after bad, but that Trump will conclude that what
he really needed was a bigger bang -- that MOAB is just a precursor
to deploying tactical nuclear weapons.
Frank Bruni: Steve Bannon Was Doomed: Bannon always seemed shaky
because he clearly had his own ideas and agenda, where Trump had little
of either.
He didn't grapple with who Trump really is. Trump's allegiances are
fickle. His attention flits. His compass is popularity, not any fixed
philosophy, certainly not the divisive brand of populism and nationalism
that Bannon was trying to enforce. Bannon insisted on an ideology when
Trump cares more about applause, and what generates it at a campaign
rally isn't what sustains it when you're actually governing. . . .
Bannon is still on the job, and Trump may keep him there, because
while he has been disruptive inside the White House, he could be pure
nitroglycerin outside. He commands acolytes on the alt-right. He has
the mouthpiece of Breitbart News. He has means for revenge. He also
has a history of it.
As for how Bannon could hurt Trump, Bruni cites
Sean Illing: If Trump fires Steve Bannon, he might regret it.
One need only note that the audience that Bannon cultivated is
used to getting screwed over by false heroes, and it will be
easy to paint Trump that way. Illing also has an interview with
Jane Mayer
On the billionaire behind Bannon and Trump
Lee Fang: Paul Ryan Raised $657,000 While Avoiding His Constituents
During Recess: I guess the buck doesn't stop with Trump.
Elizabeth Grossman: "It couldn't get much worse": Trump's policies
are already making workplaces more toxic
Fred Kaplan: Return of the Madman Theory: Found this after I wrote
the "madman" line in the intro, if you want deeper speculation on the
subject. Kaplan's argument that Trump's "erratic and unpredictable"
foreign policy "might just make the world more stable -- for a short
time" is a reach -- it could just as easily backfire spectacularly.
For instance, Trump doesn't understand that America's "leadership of
the Free World" was something paid for generously, not something
simply accorded because the US had the most bombs and the longest
reach. So when he tries to shake down NATO members or to flip trade
deficits with East Asia he doesn't realize how easy it would be for
supposed allies to go their own way.
Paul Krugman: Can Trump Take Health Care Hostage?
Jon Marshall: Thinking About Spicer's Chemical Weapons Gaffe:
I thought about writing more about the use of chemical weapons as
the Syria incident/response unfolded, and both Spicer's spouting
and Marshall's "thinking" suggests people are short on some of the
basics. Marshall writes, "It's no accident that since World War I,
the rare uses of chemical weapons have been as terror weapons, as
Saddam Hussein did with the Kurds in the 1980s and Assad has during
the Syrian Civil War." Actually, more typical examples were by the
British in Iraq in the early 1920s and by Italy in Ethiopia in 1937:
poison gas is a favored weapon against people with no protection
and no ability to respond in kind. I think the only time since the
Great War where it was used against a comparable army was by Iraq
against Iran, where Iran ruled out reprisals on moral grounds.
Saddam Hussein against the Kurds was an isolated incident tied
to the Iran War. It's also not clear to me that Assad ever used
it in Syria, regardless of what Marshall thinks. No doubt poison
gas is terrifying, but so is every other method of killing in war.
The international treaties and the general taboo about chemical
weapons are just one part of a more general effort to prohibit
war, and it's the general case we should focus on.
For more on Spicer's "doofusery" (Marshall's apt term), see:
Amy Davidson: Sean Spicer Is Very Sorry About His Holocaust Comments;
also:
Brant Rosen: All Pharaohs Must Fall: A Passover Reflection on
Sean Spicer.
Charles P Pierce: Is Trump Actually in Charge? Or Is It Worse Than We
Feared? I don't get the Fletcher Knebel references, but what I take
away from the Trump quotes is that he simply lets the military brass
do whatever they want, assuming that whatever they come up with will
be just great: "We have the greatest military in the world . . . We
have given them total authorization, and that's what they're doing.
Frankly, that's why they've been so successful lately." This shouldn't
come as a surprise to anyone: from the start of his campaign, Trump's
only original idea was that Obama weakened the country by telling the
military "no" too many times. (Personally, I thought Obama said "yes"
way too often.) But the problem here isn't uncertainty of control.
It's that the military -- indeed, all militaries in recent history --
have tended to be over-optimistic about their own powers, while
under-estimating the risks of action, and having no fucking idea
about where their aggression might lead.
Pierce cites
Eric Fehrnstrom: The generals come to Trump's rescue, which
starts: "Thank God for the gneerals. No one thought they would turn
out to be the moderates in the Trump White House. . . . If not for
them, Trump's grade on his first 100 days would go from middling to
poor." Fehrnstrom is a big fan of "Mattis, McMaster, and Kelly,"
yet the best he can say for them is that the "first 100 days" have
been "middling"?
Gareth Porter: New Revelations Belie Trump Claims on Syria Chemical
Attack; also
Rick Sterling: How Media Bias Fuels Syrian Escalation.
Matt Taibbi: For White America, It's 'Happy Days' Again: Or, there
ain't gonna be any federal civil rights enforcement while Jeff Sessions
is Attorney General. Also the DOJ (formerly Department of Justice) won't
be reviewing any alleged instances of local police abuses. Not sure why
turning you back on decades of civil rights justice (lackluster as it's
been) is supposed to make white people happy -- more like ashamed, I'd
say.
Annie Waldman: DeVos Pick to Head Civil Rights Office Once Said She
Faced Discrimination for Being White.
Jon Wiener: On the Road in Trump Country: Interview with Thomas
Frank, whose 2016 book Listen, Liberal prefigured the Hillary
Clinton debacle.
Matthew Yglesias: Trump's pivot is real -- he's more right-wing than
ever; or as David Dayen put it,
President Bannon Is Dead, Long Live President Cohn.
Also a few links less directly tied to Trump, though sometimes still
to America's bout of political insanity:
Rebecca Burns: Is Georgia Poised for a Democratic Upset? This is
GA-6, mostly Atlanta suburbs, Newt Gingrich's old district, recently
vacated by Republican Tom Price whom Trump picked as his Secretary
Against Health and Human Services. The national Democratic Party
likes its chances here because the district was only narrowly won
by Trump (unlike KS-4, which Trump won by 27 percentage points,
reduced to 7 points last week by James Thompson) -- also perhaps
because Ossoff was a Clinton (not Sanders) supporter, and the
district's demographics are more upscale and cosmopolitan. The
election is next week, but unless Ossoff wins a majority there
will be a runoff.
Michael Corcoran: Single-Payer Health Care Is Seeing Record Support
in Congress
Taylor Link: The total cost of the 2016 election was nearly $6.5 billion:
Isn't there some relevant adage about how "you get what you pay for"?
That's an awful lot of money to wind up with Donald Trump as president
and a swamp full of Congressional corruption. Of course, compared to
something really counterproductive, like the war in Syria (let alone
Afghanistan or Iraq) that's pretty cheap.
Isaac Stone Fish: Let's stop calling North Korea 'crazy' and understand
their motives; also:
William J Perry: How to Make a Deal With North Korea.
Kareem Shaheen: Erdogan clinches victory in Turkish constitutional
referendum: Probably a big story. Certainly not the only one
who would try to take advantage of his position to rig the system
with an eye to the future. Another view:
Simon Waldman: After referendum, Turkey is more divided than ever.
Matthew Yglesias: Why flying in America keeps getting more miserable,
explained: Deregulation back in the 1970s was supposed to increase
competition and reduce prices, but it's led to all sorts of predatory
behavior -- especially as customers have predictably looked for lower
prices than better service -- and the fallout has resulted in only four
airlines controlling more than 80 percent of passenger traffic, with
their attendant monopoly pricing. Also note that the fact that the
system is functional at all is due to residual regulation -- e.g.,
rules that keep airlines from cheating on safety in ways that would
increase crashes (and probably cause the industry to implode). More
regulation could help bolster minimal service standards, and more
competition would help keep prices reasonable. But if you've ever
doubted that the market knows best, you can find plenty of evidence
here.
Thursday, April 13, 2017
Election Warmup
There was an election in south-central Kansas on Tuesday to fill the
House of Representatives seat vacated by CIA Director Mike Pompeo. The
Republican candidate, Kansas State Treasurer Ron Estes, won with 52.5%
of the vote, beating Democrat James Thompson (45.7%) and Libertarian
Chris Rockhold (1.7%). In 2016, Pompeo won with 60.67% of the vote,
a margin of 30.06% over Democrat Dan Giroux. (Miranda Allen ran as an
independent and took 6.91% of the vote. In 2016, Trump carried the
district by 27 points. According to 538, only 19% of all Congressional
districts are more Republican than this district (KS-4, see:
Harry Enten: Why Republicans Are Worried About Kansas).
Thompson ran 20 points better than the Democratic Party national
ticket only six months later (about three months into the Trump
presidency). That augurs well for a Democratic rebound in 2018,
which is likely for several other reasons: the party not in the
White House usually gains in mid-term elections, Trump is already
very unpopular (uniquely by historical standards), and there is
very little reason to expect that Trump's administration will be
more popular once its acts and effects have taken their toll. No
doubt some Trump voters have already turned against their hero,
but nowhere near enough to affect this election.
Rather, I see four differences this time. The first is that
all the awful Trump news has energized part of the Democratic
base here in Wichita -- specifically the part that gave Bernie
Sanders a 70% victory on the 2016 caucuses. The second is that
they nominated a relatively charismatic newcomer in Thompson,
narrowly over the party establishment's candidates. The third
is that the Republican convention nominated their insider guy,
a thoroughly lackluster party hack. And fourth: the candidates
started out even in money and name recognition (whereas Pompeo,
and before him Todd Tiahrt, rarely entered a reëlection with
less than a million dollar warchest), and until he last week
or two Thompson was able to run competitively by raising samll
contributions. (In the last week, the national party and their
dark money benefactors tilted the balance, although their ads
were so tone-deaf I doubt they helped much.)
Conversely, the Democratic Party (both state and national)
took little interest in the race -- a source of much debate
and friction; e.g., see
John Nichols: Coulda Woulda Shoulda -- Democrats Miss a Huge
Opportunity in Kansas, vs.
Jim Newell: Democrats Didn't Tank Kansas 4th District. The latter
piece, ostensibly defending the Party elites, is pretty embarrassing:
The excuse the DCCC -- and the Democratic consulting class at large --
have been peddling is that keeping its involvement below the national
radar (i.e., not getting involved) was the only way to win such a red
district. A DCCC official told the Huffington Post on Monday that "the
party's involvement would have been 'extremely damaging' to Thompson
because it would have been used against him by Republicans, who have
poured significant money into the race." If the national party had
made a big show of the race, per the argument, it would have awoken
the traditionally red Kansas electorate to turn out at normal election
levels.
Someone should inform the DCCC that no matter how invisible they
try to be, grassroots hatred of the Democratic Party elites will be
stoked by Republican ads: the main one that ran this time featured
a split screen with Thompson and Nancy Pelosi, even though neither
(at least as far as I know) ever even acknowledge the other. Still,
what the DCCC's lack of interest suggests to me is not tact, but
rather disdain, tinged with self-awareness that the national party
doesn't have anything to offer people in states like Kansas. This
may have started with the pragmatic idea that given the electoral
college there's no point in ever running in right-of-center states,
but what really locked it in was basic graft. As political parties
became ever more in thrall to big business money -- and really, the
thing that made Obama and the Clintons stars in the party wasn't
their brains or policy skills and especially wasn't their empathy
with Democratic voters. Rather, it was their appeal to big money
donors. And in order to deliver to their donors they had to win
elections -- something they turned into a narrowly technical set
of skills and tricks. In that schema, states like Kansas weren't
just lost causes -- efforts to win them were just plain inefficient.
And making matters much worse, the Clintons and Obama put their own
personal needs way above those of the Party, leaving it hollow and
ineffective, and the party's loyal supporters unrepresented.
The rationalizations of the national Democratic Party won them
a few elections, but they've driven the states they've written off --
both traditionally Republican ones like Kansas and formerly supportive
ones like West Virginia -- ever deeper into Republican clutches. To
understand why this happened it helps to look at how democracy has
evolved (and recently devolved) in America. The key idea is that
democracy provides a general method for arbitrating differences
between the various stakeholders. Early on those stakeholders were
limited to property owners, notably including owners of slaves.
Over time, the franchise expanded, although even today there is
much pressure (especially from Republicans) to limit who can vote,
and therefore to shift the balance of power. For instance, despite
the fact that "no taxation without representation" was a founding
principle, the US denies the vote to tax-paying resident aliens.
One result of the initial restriction of the franchise was that
all political parties catered to elite interests, a practice which
with few exceptions has persisted to this day. Republicans not only
seek to restrict the franchise; they also seek to expand the influence
and importance of money. The effect of this is to shift the balance
of power toward the wealthy, so that government is more responsive to
their concerns, and becomes less concerned with the poor or merely
less affluent. The Republicans, especially after Ronald Reagan won
the presidency in 1980, have been remarkably successful at this, so
Democrats have been left with two largely incompatible choices. One
is to organize the vastly greater numbers left out and often hurt by
Republican policies. The other is to compete with Republicans for the
money and influence of the elites.
The Democratic Party establishment, with Obama and the Clintons
among its stars, has mostly done the latter. They've had quite a bit
of success courting socially liberal donors in knowledge-intensive
industries like high tech, communications, and finance, and have
tailored their policy initiatives to their benefit. This has let
Obama and Clinton raise more money for the last three presidential
campaigns than Republicans were able to, but Republicans have done
better down ticket, in large part because they've put their money
to more effective use in media and organization, and in developing
candidates. Meanwhile, Obama and the Clintons have done much to
alienate the voters they depend on: partly because they've let
their policies become warped by their donors, but mostly because
they've neglected (and often undermined) building up a strong
party organization. One can only speculate as to why, but one
suspects that they fear an organized Democratic rank and file
might upset their ability to serve their sponsors -- a prime
example being Bill Clinton's decision to favor NAFTA over the
unions which had long provided Democratic votes. (Obama made the
same choice with TPP, which so unpopular among Democrats Hillary
Clinton was forced to reverse course and oppose it.)
As I mentioned above, there is an alternative to the focus on
donors that has been so prevalent among the elites of the Democratic
Party, which is to try to build a mass organization. That is what
Bernie Sanders tried to do in 2016, and his near success, combined
with Hillary Clinton's abject failure to beat Donald Trump -- by
all measures the most blatantly flawed candidate either party has
run since, well, forever -- points toward the alternative: one that
makes stronger promises to the voters the Democratic Party courts
(and counts on), and which by building a strong organization can
finally deliver on those promises. (The main knock on Sanders in
2016 wasn't that he couldn't win but that he had so little backing
among elected Democrats that he couldn't govern and/or couldn't
follow through on his platform. Something like this happened to
Trump, but he's so lazy and unprincipled he just turned the reins
over to mainstream Republicans. Sanders at least cares about his
platform and the people who voted for him.)
This is the context that explains the DCCC's snub of Thompson
and Kansas. Thompson came out of the Sanders campaign, he built
a grass roots organization, and wound up doing much better than
anyone expected. It didn't appear to me that he ran an especially
radical or populist campaign: he avoided negatives, didn't push
a lot of policy positions, just promised to fight for people
(building on his personal story). I think he should have slammed
the Republicans harder, but given how biased the district was I
could be wrong. (By contrast, Estes' ads were extremely negative --
so hateful I would have voted against him without knowing anything
else, but there can be little doubt that the Republicans know how
to push their voters' buttons.) Thompson's organization was very
focused on Wichita, and he wound up carrying Sedgwick County by a
couple thousand votes (so Wichita by much more). He came real close
to a tie in Harvey County, but he lost the other larger counties
about 3-to-2, and the outliers badly, some by 4-to-1 or more.
Thompson says he'll run again in 2018, which will bring him
much up the learning curve. The obvious downside is that Estes
will enter 2018 with a huge funding advantage (unless he gets
burned in a primary -- Susan Wagle is talking about a run, and
Todd Tiahrt still thinks he's entitled to reclaim his old seat).
Also, turnout will be higher -- this election only got 43.52%
as many votes as 2016; 2018 will probably split the difference.
Hard to say who that will help. The bigger wild card is how
much worse off most Kansans will be in 2018 -- as Brownback
finishes his second term, with two years of Trump and Ryan
doing their worst.
It's still going to be hard for Democrats to win in KS-4. It's
not so much that Republicans have a huge natural advantage as that
the Republican Party (and affiliates like the Kochs) have put a
lot of work and money into building a grass roots organization,
and have hooked into the national right-wing propaganda network
(especially, but not exclusively, Fox) to all but automatically
win elections. Still, their intentionally divisive strategy runs
the risk of backfiring. On the one hand, it often promotes weak
and often very flawed candidates. On the other, the lies build
up, and it's become ever more obvious that too much Republican
power causes more harm than good. Still, they win if nobody runs
against them, which has more often than not been the case. And
that's why James Thompson's run was important: not only is he
an impressive candidate, he's not out to wheedle his way in by
trying to meet Republican talking points half way. He represents
real change, and only that promise has a chance against the GOP
machine.
As you probably know, the first post-election effort to move the
national Democratic Party focus toward the voters instead of the donors
was Keith Ellison's campaign for DNC chairman. He barely lost to Tom
Perez, after the latter made all sorts of conciliatory promises like
a return to Howard Dean's "50 state strategy." However, consider this
Perez quote from
Jamie Peck: The Democratic party is undermining Bernie Sanders-style
candidates:
In an interview with The Washington Post, Perez confirmed the DNC
would not be giving Thompson a dime. "We can make progress in Kansas,"
he said. "There are thousands of elections every year, though. Can we
invest in all of them? That would require a major increase in funds."
Fact check: the DNC has a fund just for Congressional elections, of
which there are just ten this year. . . .
One person the party does not think will be hurt by their help is
Jon Ossoff, who is running in a similarly red, but much wealthier,
district in Georgia. To date, the DNC has raised some $8.3m for him
and has committed to sending nine field staffers to organize on-the-ground
efforts.
Although he is young, he's an acolyte of the Democratic establishment,
having worked for Representatives John Lewis and Hank Johnson, and he
endorsed Hillary Clinton in the primary. He went to Georgetown followed
by the London School of Economics and speaks fluent French. He has the
support of several Hollywood celebrities.
Democrats think Ossoff is just the guy to bring his affluent suburban
district back into the fold. (Clearly, losing a national election was not
enough to reverse course on that most doomed of 2016 strategies: trading
blue collar whites for wealthy, suburban ones.)
I hope Ossoff wins, but if he does it won't have nearly as much impact
as a Thompson win would have had in Kansas. The fact is that Kansans have
suffered as much under Republican rule as anyone in the country. Democrats
should be able to make their case here as pointedly as anywhere, but they
can't unless they try, and they won't as long as they remain dedicated
to chasing the donor bucks of the upscale urban liberals they've courted
ever since they let the unions go bust and manufacturing jobs move to
ever cheaper labor markets abroad. And make no mistake: no matter how
much Republicans wanted those changes, Democrats let them happen.
Letting districts like KS-4 rot is one way they do that.
Also see Harry Enten's post-election piece,
Is Trump or Brownback to Blame for the Surprisingly Close Race in
Kansas 4?:
Still, Estes's underperformance in Kansas 4 should worry Republicans
because special elections as a group have done a decent job of predicting
midterm results over the past few cycles. Kansas's result comes on top of
Democrats' doing 18 points better than the past presidential vote suggested
in California's 34th special election last week. In no midterm cycle since
2002, except for 2006 when Democrats took back the House, did Democrats
outperform the past presidential vote in at least two districts as much
as they did in California 34 and Kansas 4. Those outcomes are potentially
indicative of a wave large enough for Democrats to take back the House in
2018.
I wouldn't get too excited here, although I'm pretty sure Trump will
be even more extensively despised by 2018. The California race is pretty
atypical -- it was an open primary, with two Democrats nominated for the
runoff, and few (if any) serious Republicans ran. And while anti-Trump
feeling motivated some Thompson volunteers, it's too soon for many Trump
fans to feel betrayed. (For one thing, they're not exactly "high info"
voters.) Georgia-6 next week is probably a better test, and a race in
Montana is coming up soon, too -- both have serious candidates, which
wasn't exactly a given here in Kansas.
One big hole the Democrats have dug for themselves is that they've
lost sight of the notion of a public interest as they've pursued
special interest donors. They need people to understand that there
are large aggregates of people whose interests are being trampled
on in the mad rush to satisfy the big lobbies. Secondly, they need
to bring back the notion of countervailing power: the idea that
government can level the playing field so that people who don't
have power bases (like businesses) can get a fair shake. One can
argue that the Republicans have far too much power, so it would
be only prudent to tilt back toward Democracy.
Of course, it would be terrific to get rid of the exalted role
of money in politics, but as long as the Republicans think that
works to their favor, and as long as they have any substantial
power, that won't happen. The next best thing is to make people
constantly aware of the tinge of political corruption, and that
would be an easier task for Democrats if they'd stop indulging
in it so conspicuously. (And yes, that means stop nominating
Clintons and their cronies.) What Democrats need more than
anything is to re-establish a bond of trust among the voters.
Republicans do this by exploiting the prejudices and rage of
their target audience. Democrats are hard pressed to compete
on that level. The only real chance they have to succeed is to
become trustworthy. To do this they need to recruit plain-spoken
candidates who understand what it means and takes to fight for
the underprivileged. James Thompson is just that, and if he can
make KS-4 competitive, think what more candidates like him can
do all across the nation.
Thursday, April 13, 2017
Daily Log
Tuesday, April 11, 2017
Daily Log
Election day today to fill Mike Pompeo's House seat. Republican
Ron Estes won with 52.5% of the votes, vs. 45.7% for James Thompson
(D) and 2,082 for Chris Rockhold (L). That meaans that the total
vote was 120.867, compared to 275,251 on 2016, when Pompeo won with
60.67% of the vote. So the turnout was less than half (43.52%) of
2016. Thompson won Sedgwick County, which includes Wichita, with
50.32% vs. 48.03% for Estes and 1.64% for Rockhold. Estes won every
other county in the district -- barely in Harvey (Newton), but by
huge margins elsewhere: 61.98% in Butler, 55.79% in Cowley, 62.36%
in Sumner, 63.92% in Pratt, more than 2-to-1 in all of the smaller
counties.
Sunday, April 09, 2017
Music Week
First, a couple more links I missed last night:
Max Boot: The Trump Doctrine Was Written by CNN: I'm always surprised
to link to something by Boot, whose ill effect on US foreign policy is
probably second only to Henry Kissinger, but his critique of Trump is
pretty spot on. Needless to add, I don't support his fantasy about a
"Free Syrian Army" -- predicated as it is on the assumption that only we
know what's best for Syria, and we're willing to let the killing continue
for decades to achieve that.
Isaac Chotiner: Elites Are Giddy Over Trump's Airstrike in Syria, and
That's Terrifying
Kevin Gosztola: How do media outlets know source of chemical attack was
Syrian government? (they don't; they simply believe as much), and
Democrats, Neoconservatives unite in support of strikes in Syria as Trump
launches attack.
Justin Raimondo: Trump's Base Revolts Against Syria Strike: The
author is an anti-war libertarian, a long-time supporter of Ron Paul
who's jumped through hoops the last year to argue that Trump would
be a much more peaceful pick than Hillary Clinton. I rarely bother
with him, but as I noted yesterday, much early opposition to Trump's
tantrum came from the alt-right base, which Raimondo keeps tabs on.
Lauren Wolfe: There Are No Real 'Safe Zones' and There Never Have
Been: Evidently the term, popularized recently by Tillerson,
dates back to Bosnia, where it was used to describe Srebrenica --
before the massacre -- the event that gave us another choice
euphemism, "ethnic cleansing."
Matthew Yglesias: Trump's Syria strike is part of a broader pivot
toward the Gulf states' worldview: Interesting thesis, one that
aligns with Trump's increased support for Saudi Arabia in Yemen as
well as the turnabout on Syria.
Micah Zenko: Trump's Humanitarian Intervention in Syria Is Just Getting
Started: Subtitle: "But the president might be the last to know it."
The author, a CFR hack, doesn't know what his title says, but he does
know that what Trump did won't do the job, or even get close. One thing
that Zenko stresses is how little time occurred between the alleged gas
attack and the punitive response -- too short to be sure what happened,
let alone what the escalation might lead to.
I should also note that there will be a special election here in
Kansas to pick the successor to Rep. Mike Pompeo (R-Koch), who has
moved on to become Trump's CIA Director. The favored Republican is
Ron Estes, who combines the worst aspects of Pompeo and predecessor
Todd Tiahrt (R-Boeing) with a markedly lower IQ -- I wouldn't want
to pick on someone just because he looks stupid, but all evidence
suggests Estes is the real deal. Republicans have plowed a lot of
money into this race, but all they've come up with are smears that
attack Democrat James Thompson for supporting "late-term abortion"
("he's too extreme for Kansas") and split screens with Nancy Pelosi.
Republicans have held the seat since 1994, usually with big margins,
and their base has grown as the district has spread out from Wichita.
The Nation finally took note of Thompson: see
John Nichols: A Berniecrat Takes on Trump and the Koch Brothers in
Kansas. I will add that Thompson hasn't tried to make this a
referendum on Trump nor does his advertising cite Bernie Sanders.
I think he missed an opportunity there, but he has a strong personal
story, and his ads have a lot of guns, so we'll see how that plays
out.
There are also special elections to fill House vacancies in Georgia
and Montana. See:
Charlie May: A blue wave begins? Republicans may be in trouble in Kansas,
Montana and Georgia elections.
Music: Current count 28009 [27981] rated (+28), 404 [400] unrated (+4).
Round number notice, as I passed 28,000 records rated. At 30/week
it takes 8-9 months to accumulate a thousand, so unless I slow down
I'll probably hit 29,000 around the end of the year, and 30,000 close
to Labor Day 2018. Big assumption. I've certainly slowed down going
through the new jazz queue, mostly because this week's four A-listed
records on Intakt and Cuneiform got four or more plays each. On the
other hand, the records I downloaded or checked out on Napster got
much less attention -- usually a single play, which is what kept the
week from being a major wipeout.
The old music by Herbie Hancock, Freddy Hubbard, and Pete La Roca
was suggested as I was slogging through the database adding entries
to the jazz guides (currently 590 + 299 pages, so +5 and +13 over
the week -- damn slow progress). For Hancock and Hubbard, I
stopped after the Blue Notes ran out (well, I included one Hubbard
MPS, which had gotten some Critics Poll reissue votes last year).
Both artists declined afterwards, and I figured I had heard enough
for now. La Roca had two widely spaced Blue Notes and one outlier,
and I wound up most impressed by the latter (John Gilmore is the
secret ingredient, as he so often was).
Other recent jazz albums were suggested by the Downbeat Critics
Poll album ballot (Cameron Graves, Heads of State, Derrick Hodge,
Kneebody, Julian Lage, One for All, Bria Skonberg, Nate Smith --
Trio 3 and JLCO were also on the ballot but unrated in my queue).
Can't say as I had missed much, but now I can say I didn't. I took
the time to compile my
usual notes. The invite
from Downbeat's editor claimed that some critics can fill out the
20-page ballot in 25 minutes, but it took me over six hours, and
that only because I skimmed through the backstretch, most often
repeating last year's picks rather than taking the extra time to
rethink everything. Horrible experience.
The non-jazz records were suggested by Robert Chrisgau's
latest: obviously, I like the New Pornographers and Shins
considerably less, but was pleasantly surprised by Conor Oberst's
neo-Dylanisms. I had previously given Old 97's' Graveyard
Whistling a B+(***). Still need to check out that Craig
Finn record.
New records rated this week:
- Chicago-London Underground: A Night Walking Through Mirrors (2016 [2017], Cuneiform): [cdr]: A-
- Colorado Jazz Repertory Orchestra: Invitation (2016 [2017], OA2): [cd]: B+(**)
- Tom Dempsey/Tim Ferguson Quartet: Waltz New (2015 [2017], OA2): [cd]: B+(**)
- Cameron Graves: Planetary Prince (2017, Mack Avenue): [r]: B-
- Heads of State: Four in One (2017, Smoke Sessions): [r]: B+(**)
- Oscar Hernández & Alma Libre: The Art of Latin Jazz (2016 [2017], Origin): [cd]: B+(**)
- Derrick Hodge: The Second (2016, Blue Note): [r]: B-
- The Jazz at Lincoln Center Orchestra: The Music of John Lewis (2013 [2017], Blue Engine): [cd]: B+(*)
- Kneebody: Anti-Hero (2017, Motéma): [r]: B
- Julian Lage: Live in Los Angeles (2016, Mack Avenue, EP): [r]: B
- The Microscopic Septet: Been Up So Long It Looks Like Down to Me: The Micros Play the Blues (2016 [2017], Cuneiform): [cdr]: A-
- The New Pornographers: Whiteout Conditions (2017, Collected Works/Concord): [r]: B+(***)
- Conor Oberst: Ruminations (2016, Nonesuch): [r]: B+(**)
- Conor Oberst: Salutations (2017, Nonesuch): [r]: A-
- One for All: The Third Decade (2015 [2016], Smoke Sessions): [r]: B+(**)
- Matt Otto With Ensemble Ibérica: Ibérica (2016 [2017], Origin): [cd]: B+(**)
- The Ed Palermo Big Band: The Great Un-American Songbook: Volumes I & II (2016 [2017], Cuneiform, 2CD): [cdr]: B+(*)
- The Shins: Heartworms (2017, Columbia): [r]: B+(*)
- Bria Skonberg: Bria (2016, Okeh/Masterworks): [r]: B+(***)
- Nate Smith: Kinfolk: Postcards From Everywhere (2017, Ropeadope): [r]: B
- Spoon: Hot Thoughts (2017, Matador): [r]: B+(***)
- Trio 3: Visiting Texture (2016 [2017], Intakt): [cd]: A-
- Trio Heinz Herbert: The Willisau Concert (2016 [2017], Intakt): [cd]: A-
Old music rated this week:
- Herbie Hancock: Cantaloupe Island (1962-65 [1994], Blue Note): [r]: B+(***)
- Herbie Hancock: Speak Like a Child (1968, [2005], Blue Note): [r]: B+(*)
- Herbie Hancock: The Prisoner (1969 [2000], Blue Note): [r]: B+(**)
- Freddie Hubbard: Goin' Up (1960 [1961], Blue Note): [r]: B+(***)
- Freddie Hubbard: Hub Cap (1961, Blue Note): [r]: B+(**)
- Freddie Hubbard: The Hub of Hubbard (1969 [1971], MPS): [r]: B+(*)
- Pete La Roca: Basra (1965 [1995], Blue Note): [r]: A-
- Pete La Roca: Turkish Women at the Bath (1967 [2004], Fresh Sound): [r]: A-
- Pete (LaRoca) Sims: SwingTime (1997, Blue Note): [r]: B
Unpacking: Found in the mail last week:
- Buffalo Jazz Octet: PausaLive (Cadence Jazz)
- Peter Campbell: Loving You: Celebrating Shirley Horn (self-released)
- Oliver Lake Featuring Flux Quartet: Right Up On (Passin' Thru): April 21
- Gregory Lewis: Organ Monk: The Breathe Suite (self-released): May 5
- Jason Miles: Kind of New 2: Blue Is Paris (Lightyear): advance, May 12
- Jared Sims: Change of Address (self-released): April 14
- Günter Baby Sommer: Le Piccole Cose: Live at Theater Gütersloh (Intuition)
- Trichotomy: Known-Unknown (Challenge)
- Ronny Whyte: Shades of Whyte (Audiophile): May 5
- Alex Wintz: Life Cycle (Culture Shock Music): May 19
Saturday, April 08, 2017
Trump Flirts With Infamy
On Thursday, April 6, 2017, Donald Trump ordered the US Navy to
fire 59 cruise missiles from ships in the Mediterranean targeting
the al-Shayrat airbase in central Syria (near Homs). This was widely
reported as the first time US forces had directly attacked forces
loyal to Syrian President Bashar Assad. My first reaction to write
up another
Day of Infamy post, like
I did the day after March 17, 2003, when Bush launched his invasion
and occupation of Iraq with a similar volley of cruise missiles.
But since those missiles blew up on or near their target, the US
hasn't followed up with an invasion or any notable escalation of
war. It's not even much of a precedent, as the US has been bombing
Syrian territory held by ISIS for several years, and has stationed
"military advisers" ("special forces") well inside Syria's pre-war
borders. And the US and its nominal allies have been running guns
and munitions to various anti-Assad groups within Syria almost from
the very start of Syria's Civil War. Obama had gone on record as
insisting that Assad "must go" early in that war -- an extraordinarily
arrogant stance coming from the leader of a nation which used to
proclaim its belief that each nation has a right to choose its own
leaders and political system ("self-determination").
The US has had a checkered relationship with Syria and the Assad
dynasty since it seized power in the mid-1960s, sometimes forming
alliances against common enemies (like Iraq and al-Qaeda), but one
issue has effectively kept Syria on the US enemies list and that is
Israel -- especially since 1967 when Isreal seized and annexed a
strip of territory it calls the Golan Heights. That issue pushed
Syria into becoming a military client of the Soviet Union (later
Russia -- in neither case for ideological reasons, but because its
opposition to Israel closed off access to American arms), and that
alignment only (plus the similar one with Iran) only added to the
peculiar combination of antipathy, indifference, opportunism, and
intolerance which has characterized America's increasingly violent
and fitful intervention in the Middle East.
The immediate rationale for this particular act of war was the
use of poisonous gas, allegedly by Assad's forces, in the town of
Khan Sheikhoun, in "rebel-held territory" in Idlib Province. Obama
had arbitrariy proclaimed a "red line" that would be crossed should
Syria use poison gas. When Syria appeared to have used poison gas in
2013, the US prepared a "punitive" attack against Syria, but backed
down, partly because Congress was wary of authorizing US intervention
in Syria, but also because Russia intervened and negotiated a deal
between Assad and Kerry committing Syria to destroy its stocks of
chemical weapons. Although few Republicans wanted to intervene in
Syria, neocons were critical of Obama for failing to punish Syria,
and Trump picked up that theme on the campaign trail. Given a similar
provocation, it's hardly surprising that Trump would want to show his
toughness by bombing first -- especially given that the US had a long
history, dating back to Reagan in Libya, of punitive bombing against
Middle Eastern targets. (Clinton did the same in Afghanistan and Sudan,
and turned the pummeling of Iraq into a kneejerk response every time
he wanted to deflect attention from his own scandals. Trump understood
this political tactic well enough to tweet (not sure when): "Now that
Obama's poll numbers are in tailspin -- watch for him to launch a
strike in Libya or Iran. He is desperate.")
But while Trump's now-signature attack isn't far removed from
"business as usual" for the US in the region, it will take some
effort to various threads that came together to make Trump's own
decision little more than a kneejerk response. One question has
to do with the chemical attack cited as the rationale. It's hard
to get politically untainted data from the site, but it makes
little if any sense that Assad would use chemical weapons after
having given them up. As
Jason Diltz reports, one possible explanation, promoted by Russia,
is "that no such gas attack took place to begin with, and that a Syrian
conventional strike hit a rebel warehouse full of chemicals." Russia,
having brokered the deal to rid Assad of chemical weapons, isn't a
disinterested observer here, but it is likely that chemical weapons
caches fell into "rebel" hands early in the war, and there has been
reason to suggest that some of the pre-2013 poison gas incidents had
been "false flag" operations by "rebels" to goad the US into taking
punitive action against Assad.
More generally, Assad has evidently been gaining ground recently,
and several countries had come to the conclusion that Assad would
continue to play a role in a negotiated post-conflict Syria -- even
the US seemed to be moving toward that conclusion, at least as part
of Trump's more amicable stance toward Russia. So why would Assad
risk all that by doing something practically guaranteed to trigger
a belligerent response from Trump? It makes no sense -- which doesn't
prove it's untrue but does raise suspicion. If you look at who benefits
from the chemical attack, it isn't Assad or his foreign allies; it's the
anti-Assad "rebels" and elements within the US security establishment
who have long benefited from sowing discord with Russia and Iran;
e.g., the very people who applauded Trump loudest. Diltz also reports
that
the Pentagon is investigating whether Russian planes took part in
the chemical attack, and that Rex Tillerson says
Russia bears responsibility for Assad's gas attack. Strategic
thinkers in and around the Pentagon have long cherished Russia as
an enemy.
The key thing in Trump's attack against the Syrian airfield wasn't
what he did so much as how quickly he did it. Speed saved Trump from
a lot of possible headaches: he never had to explain what he intended
to do, and he didn't give anyone the chance to second-guess him, let
alone organize opposition. He didn't consult anyone in Congress. Despite
Nikki Haley's recent flurry of tantrums, he didn't engage the UN. What
he wanted to do was to show that he could act decisively (unlike Obama,
or even Bush, but ironically much more like Clinton). He informed the
president of China only after the missiles were launched, and only
because they were having dinner together and he was too pleased with
himself to keep a secret like that. About the only one he did as much
as notify before the fact was the Russians, who were given ample time
to clear the air base, minimizing damage and casualties. (Press reports
stated that the 59 cruise missiles -- at $1.5 million each he liquidated
$90 million in inventory in seconds -- had killed nine Syrians.) You'd
think that hardcore Trump-Russia conspiracy devotees would be up in
arms over such collusion, but most of them are Clinton dead-enders,
and by and large they were so elated by the fireworks they let such
details pass.
So even if you've forgotten the movie Wag the Dog, it was
pretty obvious that the chief objective in bombing Syria had to do
with domestic politics. Trump has been struggling in the polls, and
he's especially been dogged by charges of underhanded hanky-panky with
Vladimir Putin and the Russians -- whose interference in America's
notoriously corrupt political system is popularly regarded as nefarious
(as opposed to, say, Israel's completely kosher manipulations). So in
one stealth blow, Trump shows his independence from Putin as well as
his allegiance to the imperial war state, and gets a moment doing the
one thing Americans of most political stripes seem to regard as truly
"presidential": blowing shit up. And to think that until he did just
that, Trump was widely regarded as a dangerous maniac.
Conspicuous among those applauding Trump were not only perennial
Republican war-mongers like John McCain and Lindsey Graham, but
virtually all of the so-called opposition leadership, starting with
Chuck Shumer ("the right thing to do") and Nancy Pelosi. Even former
presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton came in from the woods to, just
before the fact, demand that Trump step up to the challenge and bomb
Syria's airfields. (Anyone who thought that Trump might be less
hawkish than Clinton has by now been thoroughly disabused of such
fantasies, but thus far Trump still hasn't done anything crazier
than Clinton herself promised.) Even John Kerry, who negotiated the
chemical weapons deal with Assad and Putin, has turned into one of
Trump's loudest cheerleaders.
Still, the speed with which Trump acted belies the likely fact
that he actually has no idea how to end the war. When someone like
Kerry looks at Trump's escalation, he sees pressure pointed toward
a negotiated settlement, and he sees bombing Assad now as a means
of bringing his ambitions down a notch or two. He no doubt recalls
Bosnia, where a round of American bombing brought the Serbs to an
agreement known as the Dayton Accords. But that was a relatively
simple and easy conflict, and the US had virtually no history as a
nemesis to Serbia (or Yugoslavia) so had a relatively clean track
record as an arbiter. Yugoslavia was also a country that could be
sliced up into fairly neat regions, so the outlines of a solution
were much more obvious. Also there was very little international
involvement, so other countries (even the US) had no real stakes
in the outcome. Even so, the Dayton Accords were hardly a model of
impartial diplomacy: they halted a war, but didn't repair the ruins,
and war soon flared up again in Kosovo, which was resolved far less
elegantly.
Anyone who gives Syria even a modicum of thought must realize that
the only way the war ends there is in an agreement which shares power
among all factions. That is especially difficult because there are so
many factions, many defined against each other, and many backed by
various foreign powers, few (if any) out of any concern for the people
who live (or, increasingly, lived) in Syria. The only way to cut through
this Gordian Knot is to systematically focus on what would be best for
the people, regardless of what it means for the outside parties -- but
that is a skill that Americans in particular have great difficulty with.
Some aspects of a solution seem fundamental. First, power should be
radically decentralized, with each section determined democratically,
and much flexibility as to how to organize each section. (This is what
should have been done in Aghanistan and Iraq, but wasn't because the
US wanted to control local politics through the apparatus of a central
state, no matter how alien or unpopular that state became.) This would
allow, for instance, some sections to be popularly organized as Islamist
statelets, others to be dominated by Sunnis or Alawis or Kurds, and
others to favor secular socialism (or even Texas-style crony capitalism,
Bush's initial plan for Iraq). Those local sections would need to be
demilitarized, and to allow free movement of people to other sections.
There would need to be a comprehensive amnesty, and limits on punishment
inside sections (some sort of "bill of rights," where mobility was one
such right).
Such an agreement could be agreed to or imposed, and indeed a broadly
agreed to framework might have to be imposed on recalcitrant factions.
If imposed, it should be done by neutral soldiers who have no lasting
political interests in Syria, and should involve disarmament. An agreed
framework could slowtrack disarmament. The settlement would gradually
remove all foreign forces, and provide an international agreement against
aggression against Syria (Israel and Turkey are two countries with bad
track records here). It would also come with a redevelopment bank that
would provide grants and loans for rebuilding and development, and would
be subject to policing of corruption.
I don't see how any other solution might work, although I can imagine
various half-assed compromises, like leaving Assad in charge of a rump
Syrian state that would be prohibited from infringing the basic rights
of the Syrian people, with vague promises of future elections, etc. --
you might call this "surrender with dignity." Or if you cannot condone
Assad, you might conspire to turn the country over to Al-Qaeda and hope
they evolve into Saudi Arabia. Or I suppose the world powers might get
Turkey to occupy and annex Syria, although there's no reason to think
they'd do a better job than they have in their Kurdish regions. But
none of these are remotely good ideas. They're merely better than
maintaining Syria as a hot battleground for the cold wars of a dozen
regional and international rivals -- i.e., the status quo.
While Kerry might relish the prospect of using the Trump stick to
bully Assad and others to a Bosnia-like settlement (or better), it's
hard to see Rex Tillerson (let alone Trump) even imagining as much,
much less accomplishing it having basically decapitated the State
Department (he, of course, in the role of the chicken's disembodied
head). Ironically, the only one involved who possesses anything near
that sort of imagination is Putin, so wouldn't a plan designed to
drive a wedge between Putin and Trump be counterproductive? That's
pretty clearly why McCain and Graham, and for that matter Shumer and
Pelosi and Clinton and her crew, were so quick to climb on board.
Still, without a plan this will go down in history as just another
arbitrary and ultimately pointless American atrocity, like so many
before it, and Trump's blip in the polls will dissolve into the hole
dug by his nasty incompetence. His day of infamy is likely to quickly
be forgotten, until his next one anyway. It's not just that those who
are ignorant of history are condemned to repeat it. Those who respond
only to the moment's temptation will never have firm ground to stand
on.
One last point I want to make: what disturbs me more than Trump's
missile attack has been how easily, how uncritically many Democrats
and most of the media have lapped up the rationale behind the attack.
OK, whatever rationale suited their prejudices best -- some exalted
in American power and Trump's "presidential" resolve, some preferred
to play up the vileness of the "enemy," some even believed that the
killing and destruction served some humanitarian greater good. But
all of them bought into the idea that the US (and the US alone) is
entitled to play God and deliver justice. Back in 2008 when Barack
Obama said he wants to change the way we think about war, nobody
expected that what he meant was that the US should simply become
more efficient and precise in its ability to project power across
the globe, especially through riskless, remotely controlled long
distance weapons. Surely a more reasonable reading would have been
that the US should back away from its world policing role in favor
of developing international organizations that could keep the peace
by putting all nations on an equal footing.
Of course, no one expects the Republicans to understand all that,
but shouldn't we demand as much from the Democrats. After all, what
kind of practical resistance can they offer against Trump and company
without making a commitment to peace, justice, and humanity?
Some more links on Trump's little venture into Syria:
Michael R Shear/Michael R Gordon: 63 Hours: From Chemical Attack to
Trump's Strike in Syria: An hour-by-hour countdown focusing on
Trump: what he knew (not much), what options he had (not many), when
he decided to blow things up.
Peter Baker: For Obama, Syria Chemical Attack Shows Risk of 'Deals
With Dictators': Misleading title, and for that matter article.
I don't see any current quote from Obama -- just lots of former
Obama advisers like Anne-Marie Slaughter who were always hawkish
on Syria, who felt like the US missed an opportunity to flex its
muscles when Obama agreed to chemical weapons disarmament. The
dumbest of these quotes is from
Tom Malinowski, arguing that "deterrence is more effective than
disarmament." The real problem with the deal was that it didn't end
the war, which was the context that made any surviving chemical
weapons (including those in "rebel" hands) so dangerous. Still,
from a PR angle, it's automatically assumed that any poison gas in
Syria is Assad's fault, and this article (like so many in the NY
Times) reinforces that propaganda. (Not that I don't mind saying
that the war is Assad's fault, although its continuation is not
exclusively his fault.)
Moustafa Bayoumi: Trump's senseless Syria strikes accomplish nothing;
also:
Julian Borger/Spencer Ackerman: Trump's response to Syria's chemical
attack exposes administration's volatility.
Phyllis Bennis: The War in Syria Cannot Be Won. But It Can Be Ended.
I heard Bennis interviewed on Democracy Now with two Syrian women who
were almost giddy with delight over Trump's rocket attack in Syria, so
when she says "the left is profoundly divided over the conflict" that
may be in the back of her mind. I'd say that the Syrian women failed
to understand that the problem in Syria is not just Assad (although
it's hard to overstate how badly he's acted) but war itself, something
Trump and Putin and many others are fully guity of. The fact is that
nothing good can happen until the war stops.
Lauren Carroll: Fact-checking Trump's changing opinion on Syria and the
'red line'
Peter Cary: Hillary Clinton called for Donald Trump to 'take out' Assad
airfields hours before air strikes: Talk about lending comfort to
the enemy. The day after the strikes, Michelle Goldberg posted
Hillary Clinton Is Not Going Away and answering "Good." Goldberg's
apologia included this paragraph:
As bittersweet as it was to hear Clinton talk and imagine the sort of
president she might have been, the interview offered a stark reminder
of why many on the left distrusted her. Speaking hours before Trump
launched airstrikes on Syria, she made it clear that she'd also have
been a hawkish president. The United States, she said, should take out
Bashar al-Assad's airfields, "and prevent him from being able to use
them to bomb innocent people and drop Sarin gas on them." During the
campaign, she said, people asked her if she was afraid that her plan
to impose a no-fly zone in Syria would lead to a Russian response.
"It's time the Russians were afraid of us!" she said heatedly.
"Because we were going to stand up for human rights, the dignity
and the future of the Syrian people."
The Russians should be afraid of us? The whole world should cower
before our Shock and Awe? Running guns to Al-Qaeda while bombing ISIS
somehow is a stand for "human rights, the dignity and the future of
the Syrian people"? Given the alternative, I'm still sorry that she
lost, but really, this is batshit insane! And while at least I can
ascribe much of the horror that Trump leads on his own peculiar mix
of cynicism and laziness, compounded by the general mean-spiritedness
of his adopted political party, Clinton comes off as a true believer
in her self-aggrandizing fantasy. The rejection of her was the only
sane aspect of the 2016 election. It speaks volumes that the American
people were so desperate to get rid of her that they were willing to
accept the alternative. The more she returns to public life, the more
she detracts from the urgent task of resisting Trump.
Juan Cole: What Is It With US Presidents and Tomahawk Cruise-Missile
Strikes? Cole notes numerous examples, some I've referred to above,
others I hadn't -- e.g., Obama's first air assault against ISIS in
Syria started in 2014 with 47 Tomahawk missiles. I think the answer
to Cole's question is that the Tomahawks have much more range than
fighter-bombers or drones and require little preparation, so they're
the easiest weapon to choose when presidents want immediate results.
Still, the real question is why are such missile attacks so addicting
to presidents? What makes them feel entitled to kill so cavalierly?
And why can't they come up with more effective ways to resolve such
problems? A big part of this is that American politicians have become
obsessed with their omnipotence, so they find these massive missile
volleys very reassuring. I remember that back in the 1980s when DOD
planners were thinking of putting weapons in space, they designed one
that was nothing more than a huge tungsten rod that could be dropped
anywhere in the world. The tungsten would resist burning up in the
atmosphere, and it would gather the speed (and energy) of a meteor
before it crashed in a tremendous explosion. They named this terror
Rods
From God. And more generally, their term for showering a target
with overwhelming force was Shock and Awe.
Steve Coll: Trump's Confusing Strike on Syria: Another comment
which shows that once you get past gut reactions, Trump had no plan
or inkling what he was doing:
If President Trump broadens his aims against Assad, to establish
civilian safe havens, for example, or to ground Syria's Air Force,
or to bomb Assad to the negotiating table, he will enter the very
morass that Candidate Trump warned against. He would have to manage
risks -- military confrontation with Russia, an intensified refugee
crisis, a loss of momentum against ISIS -- that Obama studied at
great length and concluded to be unmanageable, at least at a cost
consistent with American interests.
Michael Crowley: Democratic Syria hawks love Trump's airstrikes
Robert Dreyfuss: Trump's Dangerous Syria Attack; also
Janet Reitman: What to Make of Trump's About-Face on Syria.
Greg Grandin: The Real Targets of Trump's Strike Were His Domestic
Critics: Six "thoughts," each hitting home. For example:
The bombing reveals that there are no limits to the media's ability
to be awed, if not shocked, by manufactured displays of techno-omnipotence.
Just as it did in the 1991 Gulf War, the Pentagon passed footage of its
nighttime missile launches to the networks. And just as what happened
then -- when, CBS's Charles Osgood called the bombing of Iraq "a marvel"
and Jim Stewart described it as "two days of almost picture-perfect
assaults" -- today MSNBC's Brian Williams called the Tomahawk takeoff
"beautiful." In fact, he described it as "beautiful" three times: "'They
are beautiful pictures of fearsome armaments making what is for them
what is a brief flight over to this airfield,' he added, then asked
his guest, 'What did they hit?'" Why, don't you know, they hit their
target: Williams and his colleagues' ability to have a critical thought.
Glenn Greenwald: The Spoils of War: Trump Lavished With Media and
Bipartisan Praise for Bombing Syria
Simon Jenkins: His emotions have been stirred -- but Trump's bombs won't
help Syria:
There is nothing in the world more dangerous than an American president
watching television. Donald Trump last night followed Ronald Reagan in
1982 and George Bush in 2001 as an isolationist turned interventionist
in the Middle East. His past pragmatism towards Syria's Assad regime and
its Russian backers underwent a 180-degree turn as 59 American missiles
rained down on a Syrian airbase. Welcome back to mission creep.
None of those three really count as isolationists (a historical stance
I have much respect for, although no one who held such views would have
ever described themselves as such; the label was coined by their opponents,
meant to suggest an ostrich burying its head in the sand, oblivious to
real threats all around). But all three share a remarkably shallow sense
of the world, as well as a cavalier eagerness to use violence when they
see some short-term political advantage. And like any good politician,
Trump put his heart on his sleeve:
Breaking from dinner with the Chinese leader, Trump spoke of his reaction
to "slow and brutal deaths," choking bodies and beautiful babies. He three
times invoked God. He had been moved to act, he said, because Assad's
"attack on children had a big impact on me." As for Russia's role in the
attack, Trump's secretary of state said it was "either complicit or
incompetent."
Safe to say that Trump won't react with the same "emotion" to
reports of Syrian children mangled by American bombs, because he
won't be able to find any political advantage in doing so.
Adam Johnson: Five Top Papers Run 18 Opinion Pieces Praising Syria
Strikes -- Zero Are Critical: Leave the dissent to The Onion.
Fred Kaplan: The Morning After in Syria
Alex Lockie: Syrian forces defiantly take off from airfield hit by
onslaught of US cruise missiles: Additional fallout:
Russia just suspended key military agreements with the US -- raising
the risk of war.
Carol Morello: Trump officials tell Russia to drop its support for Syria's
Assad: Henry Kissinger liked to study Clausewitz. Others preferred
to draw strategy lessons from Sun Tzu. This makes it sound like Trump's
people have been reading up on stupid pet tricks: Roll over. Play dead.
Robert Parry: Trump's 'Wag the Dog' Moment
Vijay Prashad: Is Trump Going to Commit the Next Great American Catastrophe
in Syria? This focuses on the alleged chemical weapons attack, and
covers what (little) is known and how it is known. It doesn't really
move into the question of how the US might parlay misunderstanding into
full-scale catastrophe, although there is a long record of just that
sort of thing.
David Smith: Doves and hawks: how opinion was divided about airstrikes
in Syria: Features four hawks and four doves, the former deeply
ensconced in Trump's White House and War Machine, the doves rather
oddly all right-wingers more/less associated with Trump: Steve Bannon
(recently booted from the NSC), Mike Cernovich (alt-right blogger),
Ann Coulter (all-around bigot), and Rand Paul (part-time libertarian).
Smith also co-wrote
As warplanes return to scene of sarin attack, Trump defends missile
launch: Twenty-four hours after Trump's attack, the bombed airbase
is open again, and planes from it are attacking "rebel"-held Khan
Sheikhun, albeit not with sarin gas this time. Meanwhile, Trump is
basking in the adoring glow of "liberal humanitarians" for making
the children of Syria so much safer.
Joan Walsh: Too Many of Trump's Liberal Critics Are Praising His Strike
on Syria: And not just Democrats with long records as neocon hawks
(like Hillary Clinton):
On CNN's New Day Thursday, global analyst Fareed Zakaria declared, "I
think Donald Trump became president of the United States" last night.
To his credit, Zakaria has previously called Trump a "bullshit artist"
and said, "He has gotten the presidency by bullshitting." But Zakaria
apparently thinks firing missiles make one presidential.
Walsh cites many others, including Bernie Sanders and Kirsten
Gillibrand, who at least had reservations. She also cited
Mark Landler: Acting on Instinct, Trump Upends His Own Foreign Policy,
which points out how impulsively Trump reacted (original title: "On Syria
attack, Trump's heart came first"): quotes Trump as saying "even beautiful
babies were cruelly murdered in this very barbaric attack" -- referring
to the Syrian chemical attack, but those words could just as well describe
many of Trump's own authorized bombing runs.
Also see:
Owen Jones: Why are liberals now cheerleading a warmongering
Trump?
One of the main objections to Trump was that he was unstable, impulsive,
with authoritarian instincts, and would disregard constitutional norms.
This has turned out to be true, while being applauded by his erstwhile
detractors for doing so, emboldening him to go further. Yet "I'm no fan
of Trump, but . . ." will be the battle cry of his erstwhile detractors.
Still, the children of Syria will die, just as they will die in Yemen and
Iraq and elsewhere. History will ask: how did this man become president?
And how did he maintain power when he did? Look no further than the
brittle, weak, pathetic liberal "opposition."
Whitney Webb: Russia Reports Discovery of Rebel-Held Chemical Weapons
at Site of Idlib Gas Attack
Matthew Yglesias: Trump brought his economics team to his Syria strike
watch party, for some reason: Well, there's also this story:
Tom Boggioni: Donald Trump personally profited from missile-maker
Raytheon's stock jump after his Syria attack. There was also
a spike in oil stock prices, which should warm Rex Tillerson's
slimy heart.
North Korea says Syria airstrikes prove its nukes justified:
And here you were, thinking Trump's best and brightest had figured
out all the angles.
The Onion: Trump Confident US Military Strike on Syria Wiped Out
Russian Scandal: OK, probably satire (as "fake news" used to
be called), not least the alleged Trump quote:
After ordering the first U.S. military attack against the regime of
Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, President Donald Trump held a press
conference Friday to express his full confidence that the airstrike
had completely wiped out the lingering Russian scandal. "Based on
intelligence we have received over the past several hours, the attack
on the al-Shayrat air base in Homs has successfully eliminated all
discussions and allegations about my administration's ties to the
Russian government," said Trump, adding that at approximately 4:40
a.m. local time, 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from U.S. naval
ships obliterated all traces of the widespread controversy in news
outlets across the media. "Ordering this strike was not a decision
I took lightly, but given that it was the only way to decisively
eradicate any attention being paid to congressional investigations
into possible collusion between key members of my staff and high-ranking
Kremlin officials, I decided it was a necessary course of action. If
we learn that any remnants of this scandal remain after this attack,
I will not hesitate to order further strikes." Trump went on to say
that he is leaving the option open for a potential ground invasion
of Syria if any troubling evidence emerges that the Russian government
manipulated the outcome of the 2016 presidential election.
Tweets I've noticed along the way:
-
Anne-Marie Slaughter: Donald Trump has done the right thing on
Syria. Finally!! After years of useless handwringing in the face
of hideous atrocities.
-
Lee Fang: Like clock work all cable news has retired generals
(many of whom work at defence firms) on air to give the sports-style
play-by-play
-
Christopher Hayes: As legions of ex-Obama officials endorse the
strike, it's more and more clear the degree to which Obama was
resisting his own advisors.
-
Asad Abukhalil: Let me get this straight: so according to DC
pundits, Trump was a dangerous maniac . . .until he started bombing?
A couple of unrelated links, just to note them:
Part I: Our Dishonest President: I linked to this Los Angeles Times
editorial a while back. It was promised as the first of four daily jeremiads,
so now we also have:
After reading the first one, I predicted they'd have trouble stopping
at four.
Andrew J Bacevich: The Odds Against Antiwar Warriors: Review of
Michael Kazin, War Against War: The American Fight for Peace,
1914-1918.
Ari Berman: The GOP Has Declared War on Democracy: One of probably
many articles on new Supreme Court justice Neil Gorsuch and/or the
way he was confirmed. As far back as Nixon, Republicans have adopted
Vince Lombardi's maxim: "winning is the only thing." They've just
become more craven (and sometimes desperate) about it.
Lee Fang: Koch Brothers' Operatives Fill Top White House Positions,
Ethics Forms Reveal
Rebecca Gordon: Donald Trump Hasa Passionate Desire to Bring Back
Torture: The essential purpose of torture is, and has always
been, to show the subject who's boss, so how surprising is it that
America's most famous (notorious, even) boss should be a fan. That
I'm not may well explain why I've never watched Trump's television
show.
Greg Grandin: Obsession With the Russia Connection Is a High-Risk
Anti-Trump Strategy: "It lets Democrats off the hook for their own
failures -- and betting the resistance on finding a smoking gun is a
fool's game." Article graphic features Rachel Maddow.
William Greider: Why Today's GOP Crackup Is the Final Unraveling of
Nixon's 'Southern Strategy'
Gary Younge: The Far Right Finally Has Brexit -- and It's Making a
Royal Mess of It
Thursday, April 06, 2017
Daily Log
After finishing my Downbeat Critics Poll ballot, I resumed
work on the jazz guides, starting with Harold Mabern in the '60s-'70s
file. Opening page counts: 582/275. Finished the evening with Roscoe
Mitchell. Closing page counts: 585/286, so +3 and +11.
Tuesday, April 04, 2017
Daily Log
Thought I'd use up some of the fish in the freezer, so thawed out a
pair of red snapper fillets. Thought I'd do a Greek recipe I had made
for my birthday, but couldn't find the recipe, so I borrowed (liberally)
from a baked fish recipe in Tess Mallos' The Complete Middle Eastern
Cookbook (from Crete, actually). Spread a little olive oil around
a baking pan. Sprinkled some panko crumbs and parsley and five chopped
garlic cloves. Rubbed a little oil on the fish, then salt and pepper,
and placed them in the middle of the pan. Peeled two russet potatoes
and cut them quarter-inch planks, half length, and put them in a bowl
with some olive oil, salt, black pepper, and garlic powder. Cut half a
carrot up similarly, and added it. I had half of a yellow onion, so
sliced it in fat (quarter-inch) rounds. I arranged the potato mix
around the fish, sliced three tomatoes and covered the fish, then
squeezed juice from one lemon over everything, and covered the dish
with foil. The recipe called for baking the fish 35-40 minutes at 350F,
removing the foil after 15 minutes. I suspected that was too low and
not enough time, and was right. I set the oven to 375F, then bumped it
up to 400F after an hour, when the potatoes still were nowhere near done.
I probably baked it another 30 minutes after raising the temperature,
finally removing it when the potatoes were done and partly browned,
and the tomatoes had been dried. Fish came out nice and flaky, not
notably dried out. After I pulled it from the oven, I scattered some
flat parsley and squeezed juice from a second lemon.
The recipe didn't call for the carrot or onion, but I happened to
have them left over in the refrigerator, and figured they wouldn't
hurt. In any case the potatoes were the gating factor. The garlic
powder was another improvisation: I thought of it before I realized
that I had fresh garlic. If I make this again, I'll probably start
the oven at 400F, and keep the foil for 30 minutes. The original
recipe called for whole fish instead of fillets. I usually do a
different baked fish recipe, where I top the fish with a salsa
made from canned diced tomatoes, green olives, and capers, topped
with bread crumbs, and I bake that in a 400F oven (that recipe is
here). I've tried
baking potatoes at the same time, which works only if I cut them
small.
Monday, April 03, 2017
Music Week
Music: Current count 27981 [27951] rated (+30), 400 [397] unrated (+3).
Most of this week's records were rolled up in the
March Streamnotes,
and for that matter look there for tips on how I found what.
As you'll see, one event that set me off searching for albums
was the death of alto saxophonist Arthur Blythe. I'm not sure
why, but a reader in Australia (chpowell) sent me a letter with
a batch of links -- all to AMG, which I'm boycotting at present,
but if you're not (my grades where I have them):
As these links suggest, it would be nice to have a more comprehensive
Blythe discography. I was unaware of the two Roots albums that showed up
on Napster and are listed below. I checked Spotify and they have a couple
items I couldn't find on Napster. At some point I need to decide whether
to sign up for their "premium" service, but I've never found much there
not on Napster (not that searching is any easier). They do, for instance,
have the Joey Baron album I've heard, but not the one I haven't.
One grade below will probably prove controversial, if not downright
offensive. Pretty much everyone I know likes the Magnetic Fields' 50
Song Memoir -- Christgau, Tatum, Ryan Maffei posted that "50 Song
Memoir sampler is an A+." I finally looked it up on Napster and found
that they only had 16 songs posted, so I played them. Probably not a
sufficient sample to proclaim anything a masterpiece -- rule of thumb
is the stuff they leave out isn't as good as what they're pitching you
with -- but I disliked it so thoroughly I figure the sample is good
enough for a (low) grade. Admittedly, not without its occasional charm,
and possibly catchy if you can acclimate yourself to his voice, but it
left me with no desire to pursue the matter further. Even made me
suspect I've overrated him in the past. (I'm certainly not as fond
of 69 Love Songs as my A- grade suggests, though I should
also note that my wife, who has impeccable taste in music, adores
all of it, and probably enjoyed what she heard of the new one much
more than I did.)
Jazz Guide compilation continues sporadically -- haven't touched it
for a couple days around
Weekend
Roundup and this post -- currently at 575 pages (20th century)
and 272 pages (21st century). Next artist in the
1960s jazz file is
Freddie Hubbard.
Apologies for dragging my feet on new jazz. Pending queue is
up to 46 now, and I've mostly been handling it FIFO. I'm reminded
of this because
Tim Niland is up
to Volume 4 of the six Ivo Perelman-Matthew Shipp CDs, and
he's broken that series up to review a couple AUM Fidelity releases
I wasn't at all aware of (one with Shipp, the other by William
Parker).
By the way, if anyone can offer some pointers on converting the
Christgau website to a smartphone app, please send them my way.
Seems like a reasonable thing to do, but right now I'm at the wrong
end of the learning curve.
Recommended music links:
New records rated this week:
- Iro Haarla: Ante Lucem (2012 [2016], ECM): [dl]: B+(**)
- Jü: Summa (2016 [2017], Rare Noise): [cdr]: B
- The Magnetic Fields: 50 Song Memoir (2017, Nonesuch, 5CD): [r]: B-
- Laura Marling: Semper Femina (2017, More Alarming): [r]: B+(*)
- MEM3: Circles (2011 [2017], self-released): [cd]: B+(**)
- Bill O'Connell: Monk's Cha Cha: Live at the Carnegie-Farian Room (2016 [2017], Savant): [cd]: B
- Orchestra Baobab: Tribute to Ndiouga Dieng (2017, Nonesuch/World Circuit): [r]: A-
- Rocco John: Peace and Love (2014 [2016], Unseen Rain): [cd]: A-
- Trygve Seim: Rumi Songs (2015 [2016], ECM): [dl]: B
- University of Toronto Jazz Orcherstra: Sweet Ruby Suite (2016 [2017], UofT Jazz): [cd]: B+(*)
- University of Toronto 12Tet: Trillium Falls (2016 [2017], UofT Jazz): [cd]: B
- David Virelles: Antenna (2016, ECM, EP): [dl]: B+(**)
- Daniel Weltlinger: Samoreau: A Tribute to the Fans of Django Reinhardt (2016 [2017], Rectify): [r]: B+(**)
- Jim Yanda Trio: Home Road (2016 [2017], Corner Store Jazz, 2CD): [cd]: B+(*)
Recent reissues, compilations, and vault discoveries rated this week:
- Count Ossie and the Mystic Revelation of Rastafari: Tales of Mozambique (1970-75 [2016], Soul Jazz) **
- Nigeria Soul Power: Afro Funk, Disco and Boogie (1970s-80s [2016], Soul Jazz): [r]: B+(*)
- Jim Yanda Trio: Regional Cookin' (1987 [2017], Corner Store Jazz): [cd]: B+(*)
Old music rated this week:
- John Abercrombie/Arthur Blythe/Terri Lyne Carrington/Anthony Cox/Mark Feldman/Gust Tsilis: Echoes (1996 [2005], Alessa): [r]: B+(*)
- Arthur Blythe: Put Sunshine in It (1985, Columbia): [r]: B
- Lester Bowie: The 5th Power (1978, Black Saint): [r]: C+
- Herbie Hancock: Inventions & Dimensions (1963 [1964], Blue Note): [r]: B+(*)
- The Leaders: Unforseen Blessings (1988 [1989], Soul Note): [r]: B+(*)
- Roots [Arthur Blythe/Sam Rivers/Nathan Davis/Chico Freeman/Don Pullen/Santi Debriano/Tommy Campbell]: Salutes the Saxophone (1991 [1992], In+Out): [r]: A-
- Roots: Stablemates (1992 [1993], In+Out): [r]: A-
- Gust William Tsilis & Alithea With Arthur Blythe: Pale Fire (1988, Enja): [r]: B
Grade changes:
- Syd: Fin (2017, Epic): [r]: [was: B+(***)] A-
Unpacking: Found in the mail last week:
- Chris Greene Quartet: Boundary Issues (Single Malt): April 14
- Larry Ham/Woody Witt: Presence (Blujazz)
- Allegra Levy: Cities Between Us (SteepleChase)
- Jesse Lewis/Ike Sturm: Endless Field (Biophilia)
- Mas Que Nada: Sea Journey (Blujazz)
- Michael Morreale: Love and Influence (Blujazz)
- Renaud Penant: In the Mood for a Classic (ITI Music): April 7
- Torben Waldorff: Holiday on Fire (ArtistShare): April 30
Sunday, April 02, 2017
Weekend Roundup
Let's start with a tweet from Dak Zak, in response to someone asking
"Why couldn't they have done this before the election!?!":
Newspapers everywhere did this before the election. Editorial after
editorial said "stop this man." People didn't hear, listen or care.
As best I can tell (the twitter links are circuitous) the original
question refers to the Los Angeles Times' editorial
Our Dishonest President (the first of a promised four-part series
running through Wednesday, not that I wouldn't be surprised if they find
enough new material for a fifth installment by Thursday. Zak's response
is pretty much true, but he underestimates the media's failure by an order
or magnitude or more. Sure, they warned us to "stop this man," but they
were also so thoroughly bemused by him, and enticed by the ratings his
campaign offered, that they repeatedly let him slip the hook. But more
important, they didn't say "stop this party" -- because ultimately what
makes Trump so disastrous is not that he's "a narcissist and a demagogue
who used fear and dishonesty to appeal to the worst in American voters"
(to quote the LA Times), but that he was swept into power with complete
control of Congress ceded to the Republican Party and its agenda to rig
politics and the economic and social systems to perpetuate oligarchy.
Trump may be especially flagrant (or perhaps just embarrassingly
transparent) but the Republican Party has embraced demagoguery and
dishonesty as essential political tactics for well over a generation.
Trump is more a reflection of the party's propaganda machine than he
is a leader. For proof, look how often he gets caught up in obvious
contradictions and incoherencies, yet always resolves them by moving
in the direction of party orthodoxy.
On the other hand, there is ample evidence that the media is still
being bamboozled by the aura of Republican legitimacy, even while
individual cases like Trump and Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback turn into
public embarrassments. For instance, south-central Kansans will go
to the polls a week from Tuesday to elect a replacement for Trump's
CIA director Mike Pompeo. The Wichita Eagle, which we often think of
as a voice for moderation in Kansas, endorsed Republican Ron Estes,
a Brownback flunky lacking a single original thought (they like to
describe him as "affable"). The Eagle even singled out Estes' vow
to repeal Obamacare as one of their reasons -- even without the
usual nostrum "and replace," even with the editorial facing a
Richard Crowson cartoon slamming Brownback for vetoing a bill
passed by Kansas' Republican legislature to expand Medicaid under
the ACA. You'd think a public-interested media would easily see
through a partisan hack like Estes, especially given that the
Democrats have nominated their strongest candidate in decades
(
James Thompson -- saw one of his ads tonight and I can't say
I was pumped by the gun bits or even the concern for veterans and
jobs, but those things have their constituencies; also thought
he should have hit Trump harder, but if he wins that'll be the
takeaway).
More fallout from the GOP's health care fiasco:
Angela Bonavoglia: The Fight to Save the Affordable Care Act Is Really
a Class Battle
EJ Dionne: The lessons Trump and Ryan failed to learn from history:
Also some lessons they never learned:
But the bill's collapse was, finally, testimony to the emptiness of
conservative ideology. . . . To win the 2012 presidential nomination,
Romney could not afford to be seen as the progenitor of Obamacare
because conservatism now has to oppose even the affirmative uses of
government it once endorsed.
Lee Fang: GOP Lawmakers Now Admit Years of Obamacare Repeal Votes Were a
Sham
Richard Kim: The Tea Party Helped Build the Bridge to Single-Payer:
Picture shows a young guy holding a sign that reads "Health care is a
human right." That, of course, has nothing to do with the Tea Party,
and the argument here is forced:
Since the first year of Obama's presidency, the Republican establishment
has allowed its extreme right-wingers to run off the leash. It has amplified
their every outburst, fed every conspiracy theory, nurtured every grievance,
and enabled every act of hostage-taking. Now, it -- and the vandal in chief
that the Tea Party helped elect president -- is their hostage. In the
battles ahead on infrastructure spending, taxation, and the debt ceiling,
there's no reason to believe that the GOP will behave in any less
dysfunctional a manner.
A better way to look at it is this: during the Obama years, the Tea
Party acted as the "shock troops" of Republican obstruction, and somehow
their role there has come to be viewed as a success. So why shouldn't
the Tea Party/Freedom Caucus continue to obstruct, even with Republicans
controlling Congress and the White House, if they still do things that
the insurgents find objectionable? That's what's happening, and mainline
Republicans don't have the margins they need to rule without the Caucus,
and sometimes realize that catering to them will cause even worse things
to happen. Given that the mainliners are pretty awful on their own, we
might as well enjoy the Caucus's obstruction, but that doesn't get us
to anywhere we need to go.
Sam Knight: Bannon-Style "Administrative Deconstruction" of Obamacare Is
Coming: Aside from the Bannon-speak, the point here is that the guy
in charge of the Obamacare system is its arch-enemy, Tom Price, and there
is still a lot of harm bad administration can do, even if it's nominally
pledged to support the law. Reminds me that the OEO (Office of Economic
Opportunity, one of LBJ's main "War on Poverty" programs) had done quite
a bit of good until Nixon appointed Donald Rumsfeld to run it.
Mike Konczal: Four Lessons from the Health Care Repeal Collapse: I
mentioned this piece in Monday's post, but it's worth mentioning again.
I also just noticed Konczal's December 2, 2016 piece:
Learning From Trump in Retrospect. Probably could only be written
between the election and the inauguration, a period when one could
balance off the sensations of surprise and disgust. Two months into
his reign and we're back to wondering how anyone could have been
taken in by this shallow fraud.
Charles Krauthammer: The road to single-payer health care:
Rest assured he's against it, and wants to see something far worse
than Obamacare even, but he understands the logic that universal
coverage, even in its corrupt Obamacare form, makes more efficient
solutions like "single payer" ("Medicare for All") more attractive.
Paul Krugman: How to Build on Obamacare: Krugman has long been
the most persuasive propagandist for the ACA, so no surprise that
he sticks within its limits: urging that we spend more money to lower
deductibles and make policies more attractive, and revive the "public
option" to provide more marketplace competition. His point is that
"building on Obamacare wouldn't be hard," but Trump would rather see
it "explode," and just for the satisfaction of blaming Democrats --
a tactic which proved viable when Democrats were in power, but looks
pretty puerile at the moment.
Krugman also wrote
Coal Country Is a State of Mind, picking on West Virginia, where:
Why does an industry that is no longer a major employer even in West
Virginia retain such a hold on the region's imagination, and lead its
residents to vote overwhelmingly against their own interests?
Coal powered the Industrial Revolution, and once upon a time it did
indeed employ a lot of people. But the number of miners began a steep
decline after World War II, and especially after 1980, even though coal
production continued to rise. This was mainly because modern extraction
techniques -- like blowing the tops off mountains -- require far less
labor than old-fashioned pick-and-shovel mining. The decline accelerated
about a decade ago as the rise of fracking led to competition from cheap
natural gas.
So coal-mining jobs have been disappearing for a long time. Even in
West Virginia, the most coal-oriented state, it has been a quarter century
since they accounted for as much as 5 percent of total employment.
What, then, do West Virginians actually do for a living these days?
Well, many of them work in health care: Almost one in six workers is
employed in the category "health care and social assistance."
Oh, and where does the money for those health care jobs come from?
Actually, a lot of it comes from Washington.
West Virginia has a relatively old population, so 22 percent of its
residents are on Medicare, versus 16.7 percent for the nation as a whole.
It's also a state that has benefited hugely from Obamacare, with the
percentage of the population lacking health insurance falling from 14
percent in 2013 to 6 percent in 2015; these gains came mainly from a
big expansion of Medicaid.
It's true that the nation as a whole pays for these health care
programs with taxes. But an older, poorer state like West Virginia
receives much more than it pays in -- and it would have received
virtually none of the tax cuts Trumpcare would have lavished on the
wealthy.
Now think about what Trumpism means for a state like this. Killing
environmental rules might bring back a few mining jobs, but not many,
and mining isn't really central to the economy in any case. Meanwhile,
the Trump administration and its allies just tried to replace the
Affordable Care Act. If they had succeeded, the effect would have been
catastrophic for West Virginia, slashing Medicaid and sending insurance
premiums for lower-income, older residents soaring.
A couple quick points here. First is that we live in a time when
business is gaining increasing influence on politics, so while coal
companies represent a vanishingly small number of jobs, they dominate
the political discourse in states like West Virginia. (If, indeed,
jobs mattered you wouldn't find politicians backing company schemes
like mountain-top removal, which is profitable primarily because it
reduces jobs -- well, as long as the companies don't have to pay the
costs of their pollution.) Second, while Democrats are more dependable
supporters of effective transfers to poorer states like West Virginia
(and Mississippi and much of the South), they almost never campaign on
the fact, as they have very little presence in states that have swung
against them primarily on race. Rather, Democrats focus on states where
they have more upscale supporters, and cater to the businesses of those
states (like high-tech in California and Massachusetts, and banking in
New York).
Bill Moyers: Trump and the GOP in Sickness and Health
Charles Ornstein/Derek Willis: On Health Reform, Democrats and Republicans
Don't Speak the Same Language
Jon Queally: Sen. Bernie Sanders Will Introduce "Medicare for All" Bill;
also see
Zaid Jilani: Bernie Sanders Wants to Expand Medicare to Everybody -- Exactly
What Its Architects Wanted.
Kate Zernike et al.: In Health Bill's Defeat, Medicaid Comes of Age
Some scattered links this week in the world of Trump:
Stephen Braun/Chad Day: Flynn Earned Millions From Russian Companies:
OK, that's the jump headline. The article itself is "Document Dump Reveals
Flynn's Russian and Turkish Income Sources." And the "millions" shrink to
"$1.3 million for work for political groups and government contractors, as
well as for speeches to Russian companies and lobbying for a firm owned by
a Turkish businessman." Doesn't seem like much, but then what else can a
former general do? You don't expect him to live on his exorbitant pension,
do you? Lachlan Markay has more:
Michael Flynn Failed to Disclose Payments From Russian Propaganda
Network. Also:
Zack Beauchamp: Michael Flynn's immunity request, explained:
More fundamentally, it's hard to see Democrats granting one to a widely
disliked former Trump official when there's still a chance the FBI might
prosecute him for allegedly lying to the bureau about his contacts with
the Russian envoy to the US. The Trump administration's call for Flynn
to appear before Congress, in Sean Spicer's Friday press briefing, could
very well harden their resolve against immunity.
This is all very bad news for Flynn, who ironically said that asking
for immunity was proof that you had done something wrong when discussing
Hillary Clinton's email scandal during the campaign. "When you are given
immunity, that means that you have probably committed a crime," he told
NBC's Chuck Todd in an interview.
Esme Cribb: Trump Will Sign Repeal of Obama-Era Internet Privacy Rules:
The bill, which passed Congress on straight party votes, allows Internet
service companies to track your on-line activity and sell that information
to other companies without your permission or awareness.
Amy Davidson: Trump v. the Earth: About Trump's executive order to
pretend that burning coal doesn't have any impact on the environment.
Or, as Trump put it, "Promoting Energy Independence and Economic Growth":
President Trump said that his order puts "an end to the war on coal."
In reality, it is a declaration of war on the basic knowledge of the
harm that burning coal, and other fossil fuels, can do. Indeed, it
tells the government to ignore information. The Obama
Administration assembled a working group to determine the "social cost"
of each ton of greenhouse-gas emissions. Trump's executive order disbands
that group and tosses out its findings. Scott Pruitt, the new E.P.A.
administrator -- who, as attorney general of Oklahoma, had joined a
lawsuit attempting to undo the endangerment finding -- announced that
the agency was no longer interested in even collecting data on the
quantities of methane that oil and gas companies release.
Robert Faturechi: Tom Price Intervened on Rule That Would Hurt Profits,
the Same Day He Acquired Drug Stock: Actually $90k in stocks of six
drug companies, so his payback would more closely model the industry-wide
average. "Price was among lawmakers from both parties who signed onto a
bill that would have blocked a rule proposed by the Obama administration,
which was intended to remove the incentive for doctors to prescribe
expensive drugs that don't necessarily improve patient outcomes." This
was back when Price was in Congress, before joining Trump's cabinet.
Related:
Fired US Attorney Preet Bharara Said to Have Been Investigating HHS
Secretary Tom Price; also
When a Study Cast Doubt on a Heart Pill, the Drug Company Turned to
Tom Price.
Ane Gearan: US leads major powers in protesting UN effort to ban nuclear
weapons: Nikki Haley asks, "Is it any surprise that Iran is supportive
of this?" Nearly every nation signed the NPT renouncing nuclear weapons on
the understanding that the grandfathered nuclear powers would disarm as
well -- something which hasn't happened, largely because the US feels it's
important that someone like Donald Trump should have the option of blowing
the world up.
Michelle Goldberg: Why Won't Republicans Resist Trump? That's the link
headline. The article title is even funnier: "Where Are the Good Republicans?"
We're talking about people in Congress whose singular mission over the past
eight years (and this really dates back to the arrival of Newt Gingrich as
House Speaker in 1995) has been to make Democrats look bad. They've refused
to even consider Obama appointees. They passed bills to repeal the ACA fifty
times but couldn't agree on anything to replace it with this year. They've
tried to extort favors by holding the federal debt limit hostage. And when
you ask them for anything they'd consider working with Obama on, the only
things they can come up are points that would make Obama look bad to the
Democratic Party base (like TPP, or more war). If any Republican member of
Congress has felt the slightest twinge of shame over this behavior, he or
she has done a good job of hiding it. And their bottom line is that Trump's,
well, not their leader but their winner, the guy whose surprise win has
allowed them to advance their agenda, which may have some more
hopeful aims but for all practical purposes is to wreck, ruin and despoil
America, to the detriment of nearly everyone who lives here. And really,
the only examples we've seen so far of dissent within Republican ranks
have come from the fringe right, who feel Trump and Ryan and McConnell
aren't moving fast or hard enough toward the end times. Even there the
media is struggling to salvage Republican reputations; see. e.g.,
Ross Barkan: Give Donald Trump credit: the Freedom Caucus really is
terrible.
Malak Habbak: War Correspondents Describe Recent US Airstrikes in Iraq,
Syria, and Yemen.
Ben Hubbard/Michael R Gordon: US War Footprint Grows in Middle East, With
No Endgame in Sight: Anyone who thought that Trump might tone down the
War on Terror -- and I gave that non-zero but not very good odds -- has by
now been thoroughly disabused of such wishful thinking:
The United States launched more airstrikes in Yemen this month than during
all of last year. In Syria, it has airlifted local forces to front-line
positions and has been accused of killing civilians in airstrikes. In Iraq,
American troops and aircraft are central in supporting an urban offensive
in Mosul, where airstrikes killed scores of people on March 17.
Two months after the inauguration of President Trump, indications are
mounting that the United States military is deepening its involvement in
a string of complex wars in the Middle East that lack clear endgames.
Rather than representing any formal new Trump doctrine on military action,
however, American officials say that what is happening is a shift in military
decision-making that began under President Barack Obama. On display are some
of the first indications of how complicated military operations are continuing
under a president who has vowed to make the military "fight to win."
The suggestion is that the only thing that has happened is that the
military has been freed of whatever limiting or inhibitory role Obama
played: Trump's basically given them carte blanche to keep doing what
they've been doing so badly for years. On the other hand, Trump hasn't
gotten involved enough to really screw things up with his "fight to win"
slogan. The fact is the US hasn't "fought to win" since WWII for the
simple reason that there's never been anything you could actually win
by fighting. Rather, US military policy has been to make any challenge
to US power and hegemony as painful as possible, to deter challengers
from even raising the issue. Arguably, that has yielded diminishing
returns as it's become increasingly obvious that US forces are vulnerable
to asymmetric strategies (ranging from guerrilla war to "terrorism") and
because the US has become increasingly inept at occupying hostile areas.
Still, the solution to that problem isn't resolving to "fight to win" --
it's reducing the need to fight at all.
Charles Pierce: The Trump Administration Has Pushed the Limits of American
Absurdity: If one were to teach a writing class, that title might be
a good little assignment. I can imagine dozens of ways to approach it, all
equally valid, and I'd still be surprised when Pierce handed in a piece
with a piece starting with an Ignatius Donnelly quote. (And I'm one of
the few people around who knows who Donnelly was, having read him as a
teenager back before Paul Ryan, for instance, lost his mind in Ayn Rand.)
Of course, Pierce soon moves on to more disturbing, although curiously
mundane, realms of fantasy: namely Sean Spicer's press conferences.
Daniel Politi: Judge: Lawsuit Against Trump Can Proceed, Inciting
Violence Isn't Protected Speech
David E Sanger/Eric Schmitt: Rex Tillerson to Lift Human Rights Conditions
on Arms Sale to Bahrain
Jon Schwarz: Russia Investigation Heading Toward a Train Wreck Because
Republicans Don't Care What Happened: Not a subject I'm at all
partial to, mostly because it seems to cast a Cold War gloss on what
strikes me as ordinary corruption, and partly because it skips over
decades of stories about US interference in other peoples' politics,
as well as the much more common (and I think damaging) Israeli efforts
to steer American politics (anyone remember Netanyahu's campaigning
for Romney, or his collusion with Boehner?). Still, if Republicans
(and Democrats) learned anything from the Clinton years it's that
unbridled investigations take on a life of their own, where being
investigated is never a good omen.
Unfortunately, on this planet we're on a trajectory to the worst possible
outcome. It's now easy to imagine a future in which Trump and Russia become
the millennials' equivalent of the John F. Kennedy assassination: A subject
where no one can honestly be sure whether there was no conspiracy or a huge
conspiracy, the underlying reality concealed by the thick murk of government
secrecy, and progressives exhausting themselves for decades afterwards
trying to prove what really happened.
Lisa Song: As Seas Around Mar-a-Lago Rise, Trump's Cuts Could Damage
Local Climate Work: This is an amusing little piece. I've long
thought that the people who should be most worried about global warming
are the rich -- the people who own nearly all of the property endangered
by climate change, especially from rising sea levels. Yet Republicans
have been oblivious to the threats. They've convinced themselves of the
importance of protecting the rights of individuals to practice predatory
capitalism, and they pretty much completely deny that there can be any
public interest separate from private profit-seeking (although they
somehow believe that no those private interests are harmful to others,
and that the sum of them must be good for everyone). I can't think of
any idea more misguided and dangerous, but they've built not just an
ideology but a political movement around it. I just wonder: when
Mar-a-Lago is underwater, is Trump still going to be thrilled that
those coal and oil magnates were able to make all that money?
Jessica Valenti: Mike Pence doesn't eat alone with women. That speaks
volumes: Evidently, the VP can't pull his mind out of the gutter
long enough to consider sharing a meal with a woman other than his
wife. But then these are strange times, especially in the company
Pence does keep:
The same week the first lady gave a speech at the state department's
International Women of Courage Awards, insisting: "We must continue
to fight injustice in all its forms, in whatever scale or shape it
takes in our lives," the White House press secretary, Sean Spicer,
chastised the veteran reporter April Ryan for "shaking her head" at
him. (Just last month, Trump asked Ryan if the those in the
Congressional Black Caucus were "friends" of hers.)
While the president was asking a room full of women if they had
ever heard of Susan B Anthony, the conservative Fox News host Bill
O'Reilly was under fire for making a racist and sexist comment about
the California congresswoman Maxine Waters' hair and an Iowa legislator
said that if a pregnant woman found out her fetus has died, she should
carry the pregnancy to term anyway.
And while Pence trended on Twitter for his old-school sexism, what
went largely unremarked on was that the vice-president cast the
tie-breaking vote to push forward legislation that allows states to
discriminate against Planned Parenthood and other healthcare providers
that provide abortion when giving out federal Title X funds.
Matthew Yglesias: So far, Donald Trump as delivered almost nothing on
his trade agenda:
On trade, exactly nothing has happened. The long-dead TPP is still dead,
but NAFTA is very much still with us. No new protective measures have
been put in place, and American companies have been subject to no punitive
retaliations. No legislation appears to be in the works.
This status quo acknowledges rising anti-trade sentiment on the left
and right by halting forward progress on any new trade and investment
deals, while refusing to take the risk of altering any existing arrangements.
Part of the reason is that those "existing arrangements" all have
big business supporters, especially among the Goldman-Sachs wing of
the Trump administration, whereas Trump has yet to pick an unemployed
auto-worker or coal miner for any post of influence (they shot their
wad on Nov. 9 and won't get another chance for four years). Yglesias
doesn't mention the "border adjustment tax" here, but it does show up in
The 7 big questions Republicans have to answer on tax reform.
Taxes look to be the next big Congressional battle for Trump and
Ryan, and their proposals are likely to be every bit as unpopular
as what they came up with for health care. Again, their problem
won't be Republicans coming to their senses, but ones who want to
seize the opportunity to make things even worse. At least you
can't say you weren't warned.
Also a few links less directly tied to Trump, though sometimes still
to America's bout of political insanity:
Eric Alterman: The Perception of Liberal Bias in the Newsroom Has Nothing
Whatsoever to Do With Reality: Unlike, say, the conservative bias in
the board rooms. But even that oversimplifies the story. Conservative
scapegoating both presses and seduces the media, with its completely normal
self-image as fair and objective, into legitimizing outrageous claims from
the right and gives viewers/listeners/readers a readymade excuse to doubt
everything they see/hear/read. Moreover, it's not entirely wrong. The fact
is no one can be free from biases any more than one can escape experience
or language. Critical self-reflection helps, as does a willingness to
question one's own precepts. A friend recently asked me how these days
one can figure out who to trust. My reaction is that I never trust anyone
beyond what I can make sense of and verify. If, for instance, you told me
that cutting marginal tax rates on the rich would make the economy grow
in ways that helped people beyond those who saved on their tax bills, I
could look for test cases and see how they turned out. Same if you told
me that spending more money on the military would make it less likely
that a country would be attacked by others. It so happens that there is
a lot of evidence on both of these questions, and the evidence strongly
disputes the assertions. If you look at many such questions, you may
start to think that some sources are more trustworthy than others, but
you should never cease to question them, especially when they don't
make sense.
To take a slightly different perspective, and I find it often helps
to try to refocus from different angles, I've been worrying about (and
distrusting) "liberal bias" since the mid-1960s, when liberals tended
to take political positions I disagreed with (like supporting the US
war in Vietnam). Liberals back then had an active fantasy life, as they
in some cases still have today (e.g., their obsession with Russia).
Both then and now it's fairly easy to pick apart issues where they
are wrong and where their errors are self-serving (the Russia thing
seems to be a way Clinton-supporters can avoid the shortcomings of
their candidate). It shouldn't be surprising that conservatives are
pretty adept at spotting and exploiting cases where liberals spin
things to their own advantage. Nor vice versa -- perspective often
gets clearer from a distance. Still, in reality, bias and interest
isn't symmetrical between right and left, and it is a grave error to
think otherwise. The right, by definition, serves private interests,
often at the expense of the public. The left takes the opposite tack,
favoring the broadest class interest over the most elite. We should
at least be able to agree on that much, but the right has struggled
mightily to confuse the issue, not least with their charges that the
media is rife with "liberal bias."
To understand this, you need to recognize that America was founded
on liberal (Enlightenment) principles, notably on the notion that "all
men are born equal" and share "equal rights under the law," a law meant
to advance "the common welfare" and which is vouchsafed through a system
of democracy. And those principles have been so internalized that even
the right, which at all times has defended the claims of "virtuous elites"
to rule over everyone else, has had to pay lip-service to democracy and
to argue that their self-serving policies benefit some greater good. To
do so they've dressed up their rhetoric with all sorts of market-tested
claims, often disguising themselves as "populists" while practicing their
art of divide-and-conquer -- flattering one part of the demos as the only
true Americans while derogating others as deservedly inferior. And the
more their claims fail, the harder they work as obfuscating their failures.
One way they've done this has been to convince their followers that any
unseemly facts are the product of "liberal bias." Of course, such charges
ring hollow to anyone who's bothered to examine the right's own agenda,
but thus far they've gotten quite a bit of mileage out of this ruse. To
get an idea of how much, consider the Occupy Wall Street formulation
that divides us between a 1% (which is clearly the orientation of the
Republican platform) and the remaining 99%. If politics were understood
this way, the Republicans should never win an election, yet somehow they
manage to keep their share around 30% (vs. a more/less equal 30% for the
Democrats and 40% for those who don't vote). Of course, relatively even
results aren't solely due to the skill of Republican machinations --
many Democrats, including Obama and the Clintons, seem to be very cozy
with the 1% and have a mediocre record of serving the 99%, both making
them vulnerable to the "populist" ploys of a Trump.
Dean Baker: Trade Denialism Continues: Trade Really Did Kill Manufacturing
Jobs: Rebuts and debunks "a flood of opinion pieces and news stories
in recent weeks wrongly telling people that it was not trade that led to
the loss of manufacturing jobs in recent years, but rather automation."
Baker also wrote
The Fed's Interest Rate Hike Will Prevent People From Getting Jobs.
Pepe Escobar: North Korea: The really serious options on the table
Chris Hayes: Policing the Colony: From the American Revolution to
Ferguson: Adapted from Hayes' new book, A Colony in a Nation,
on the persistence of racism in America, explained by the tendency to
even now treat black people as something different from equal citizens
under the law. One sample paragraph:
In Ferguson, people were enraged at Michael Brown's death and grieving
at his passing, but more than anything else they were sick and tired of
being humiliated. At random, I could take my microphone and offer it to
a black Ferguson resident, young or old, who had a story of being harassed
and humiliated. A young honors student and aspiring future politician told
me about watching his mother be pulled over and barked at by police. The
local state senator told me that when she was a teenager, a police officer
drew a gun on her because she was sitting in a fire truck -- at a fireman's
invitation. At any given moment, a black citizen of Ferguson might find
himself shown up, dressed down, made to stoop and cower by the men with
badges.
John Judis: Can Donald Trump Revive American Manufacturing? An Interview
With High-Tech Expert Rob Atkinson: Short answer: well, someone could,
but clearly not Donald Trump.
Greg Kaufmann: A Cruel New Bill Is About to Become Law in Mississippi:
"Legislation passed this week would enrich a private contractor while
throwing people off public assistance." Not Trump's fault, per se, but
another example of the Republicans at work, preying on the poor.
Richard D Wolff: Capitalism Produced Trump: Another Reason to Move Beyond
It
Democratic Mega-donor Saban Doesn't Rule Out Hillary Clinton 2020
Run: More proof that cluelessness is endemic among billionaires.
Daily Log
Fixed some beef soup tonight. No recipe, other than that I borrowed
a couple things from
Moslem-Style Hot and Sour
Soup. I started with the
stock left over from New England Boiled Dinner (corned beef, potatoes,
cabbage, turnips, parsnips, carrots, onions, etc.). I concentrated it
a bit before storing, and skimmed off the extra fat. I bought a couple
pieces of boneless steak (sirloin, I think) on sale. Sliced them down
to half thickness, then cut them into thin strips. Marinated them per
Tropp's Hot and Sour Soup recipe: soy sauce, rice wine, water, sugar,
cornstarch, sesame oil, black pepper, and I also added some Szechuan
roasted pepper salt and five-spice powder. I mixed some potato starch
in cold stock. I diced an onion, and sweated it in some butter, then
added three cloves of garlic, some finely chopped ginger, half a carrot
cut into a small dice. Then a package of fresh shiitake mushrooms. I
cut five small potatoes and one turnip down to about 1/3-inch dice.
I added the potatoes and stock, some extra spices (whole cloves,
allspice, two star anise), and simmered for 15 minutes, then added
the turnips, and simmered for another 45 minutes. I turned the fire
out and we went out to walk the dog. When we got back, I brought it
back to a boil, added some soy sauce, white wine vinegar, and black
pepper. I turned the heat down to a simmer, added the beef, swirled
it around, then added the thickener (perhaps a bit too much). I took
an egg, broke it up with a fork, and slowly poured it into the soup,
breaking up the threads. Checked the taste, then finished with two
chopped scallions and some parsley. I tried to pick the hard spices
out, but some lurked as surprises.
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Mar 2017 |
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